Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIRRILY-24 in Australia from 23 Jan 2024 00:00 UTC to 02 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24

in Australia

01 Feb 2024 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (01 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	61 km/h	0.5 m	96 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	122 km/h	1.4 m	441 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	1,263

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	23 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Jan 2024 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	23 Jan 2024 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Jan 2024 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Jan 2024 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Jan 2024 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	24 Jan 2024 12:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
8	24 Jan 2024 18:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	25 Jan 2024 00:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
10	25 Jan 2024 06:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
11	25 Jan 2024 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
12	25 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	26 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	26 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	27 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	27 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	28 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	28 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	29 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	29 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	29 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	29 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	30 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	30 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	30 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	30 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	31 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	31 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	31 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	31 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	01 Feb 2024 00:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Australia	1,831
100-250 mm	Australia	2,007
50-100 mm	Australia	1,227

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	23 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Jan 2024 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	23 Jan 2024 12:00	142	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Jan 2024 18:00	207	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Jan 2024 00:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Jan 2024 06:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	24 Jan 2024 12:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	24 Jan 2024 18:00	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Jan 2024 00:00	228	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Jan 2024 06:00	190	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Australia
11	25 Jan 2024 12:00	147	Few people			-	-	-	-	Australia
12	25 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	26 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	26 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	27 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	27 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	27 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	27 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	28 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	28 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	28 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	28 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	29 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	29 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	29 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	29 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	30 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	30 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	30 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	30 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	31 Jan 2024 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	31 Jan 2024 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	31 Jan 2024 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	31 Jan 2024 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	01 Feb 2024 00:00	470	4 thousand				-	-	-	Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Karumba	Australia	0.5
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Broadmount	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Keppel Sands	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Alma	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Coowonga	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Coorooman	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Emu Park	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 05:15	Farnborough	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 05:15	Yeppoon	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 05:15	Tanby	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 05:15	Kinka	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Weipa	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	01 Feb 2024 04:15	Benaraby	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 04:15	Boyne Island	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 04:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 04:00	Toolooa	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 04:00	Parsons Point	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 04:00	Southend	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 04:30	Bustard Head	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Houone	New Caledonia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Tiabet	New Caledonia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Kamma	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	01 Feb 2024 03:15	Seventeen Seventy	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:00	Tewantin	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:00	Noosaville	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:00	Noosa Heads	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Poum	New Caledonia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Badu	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:00	Tin Can Bay	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Broughton	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Elim	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Karaisa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Bendoroda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Price	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Clinton	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Inkerman	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Pine Point	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Ardrossan	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Parham	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Cooktown	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:45	Avondale	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:45	Moore Park	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:30	Goolwa	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:30	Hindmarsh Island	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 04:30	Beachport	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 04:30	Southend	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:15	Port Elliot	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:15	Middleton	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:15	Encounter Bay	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:15	Victor Harbour	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:15	Hindmarsh Valley	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Julia	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Miallo	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Douglas	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Hockley	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 04:30	Cardwell	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Alva	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Rita Island	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Prime	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Moonee Beach	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Upper Corindi	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Woolgoolga	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Woogoolga	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Corindi	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:45	Red Rock	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:00	Poum-Plage	New Caledonia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:00	Paagoumene	New Caledonia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:00	Arama	New Caledonia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 05:00	Pam	New Caledonia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:30	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:30	Bamaga	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Mossman	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 06:00	Wonga	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:45	Rupari	Australia	0.1
	01 Feb 2024 03:45	Tulkineara	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.