Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NEOGURI-19 in Japan, Russian Federation, from 16 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NEOGURI-19

in Japan, Russian Federation,

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Japan, Taiwan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (16 Oct 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	54 km/h	0.5 m	46 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	223 km/h	0.6 m	660 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

223 km/h

Up to 890 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Japan, Taiwan	892,361	+
	Japan	8,332
	Taiwan	884,029

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	16 Oct 2019 12:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, Taiwan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Japan, Philippines	407,916	+
	Japan	194,734
	Philippines	213,182
50-100 mm	Japan, Philippines	13,645,048	+
	Japan	13,108,397
	Philippines	536,651

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	16 Oct 2019 12:00	620	410 thousand			-	-	-	-	Japan, Philippines

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Lingayen, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2019 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Lingayen	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Labangan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Damaloguen	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Bugallon	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Baloboc	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Maniboc	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Binmale	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Carael	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Dagupan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Bateng	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Alacan	Philippines	0.5
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Agoo	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Panasgasan	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Nabaul	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Capantolan	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Mangas	Philippines	0.4
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Caba	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Aringay	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Hsin-chiang	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Hsia-lun	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Sa-ti	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Wu-nan	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Hai-kou	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Chung-ch'i	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Tondol	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	San-hsing	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	T'ai-hsi	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Linao	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Bisagu	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Aparri	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Alilinu	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Punta	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Balza	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Buguey	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	San Cornelio	Philippines	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Sha-shan	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Wang-kung	Taiwan	0.3
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Lu-kang	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Bauang	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Baccuit	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Palintocang	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Abulug	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Catuguran	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Talaga	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Tagontong	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Mambongalon	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Tandoc	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Perez	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Cavilla	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Alabat	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Mascarina	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Apad	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	San Jose	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	San Vicente	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Ching-shui	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Hai huang	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Mauban	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Luna	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Agdeppa	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Santa Cruz	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Tagudin	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Dili	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Bitalag	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Pinipin	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	San Fernando	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Yuan-li	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Tung-hsiao	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Cabaritan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Calamias	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Tammocalao	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Bacnotan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Candon	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Candon Pt	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Matanobong	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Tangaoan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Ch'i-ting	Taiwan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	San Juan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Fugu	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Naguilian	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Santa Maria	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Paracale	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Vinzons	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Banacboc	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Daet	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Narvacan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Caluekan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Polillo	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Bisliang	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Cabungalunan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Abucay	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Calutcot	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Patnanongan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Fuarte	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Vigan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Basiing	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Calaguikhik	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Talingting	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Pangas	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Binauangan	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Mactang	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Capalonga	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:00	Alayao	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:00	Jose Panganiban	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Takenouchicho	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Sakai-Minato	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Fukuura	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Yoshizu	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	O-Shinozucho	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kumozu	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kamiguchi	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Higuchi	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Goto	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kamidani	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Mihonoseki	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Mihonseki	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Abe	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Yonago	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Higashi-Fukuhara	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kami-fukubara	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kaike-Onsen	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kuzumo	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Soda	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kaya	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kawaoka	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Odaka	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Sueyoshi	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Muki	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Yodoe	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Nawa	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Kami Daison	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Shitatsubo	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Takahashi	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Nagano	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:15	Uwaichi	Japan	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Calay-ab	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Magsingal	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Guisit	Philippines	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Da'ao	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Changchun	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Luxia	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Argosino	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Chu-nan	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Ch'ien-tzu-chiao	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Patro	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Cabugao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Binacud	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Battog	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Lobit	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Badoc	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Real	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Infanta	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Labayat	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Fukaya	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Sunagamori	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Shiogama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Origasa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Mukawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Sabishiro	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Yokawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Omisawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Momoishi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Mikawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Futakawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Shiribiki	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Hitokawame	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Kawaguchi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Ichikawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Takadate	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Hashimukai	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Hararo	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Hachinohe	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Tanesashi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:30	Shirahama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	An-ping	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	San-ku-ts'un	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Chung-ho	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Hai-pu	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Wuqu	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Yacheng	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Sansha	China	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Paoay	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Gonzaga	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Calayab	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Nang-guyudan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Talinaan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Panukulan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Yung-lung	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Chiang-chun	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Fu-hsing	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Pu-tai	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:45	Chang-t'an	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Pandan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Binibitinan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	San Benigno	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Talatal	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Pasuquin	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Yung-an-ts'un	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Bawa	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Cabiraoan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Ngalan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Libjo	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Budbudac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Niida	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Machibatake	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Mimigahoe	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Okuki	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Kanahama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Uwano	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Okkoshi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Denkiani	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Kadonohama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Kawajiri	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Kawasiri	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Okubo	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Tamagawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 13:45	Taneichi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Casambalangan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	San Vincente	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Bojeador C	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Kuan-yin	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Buraan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:30	Jomalig	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:15	Kinasakitan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Cabog	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Dingalan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Yagi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Uge	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Kudschi	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Minato	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Kita-Samuraihama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Honnami	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Nei	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Shiromae	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Kuji	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Noda	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Ojiri	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Tamagawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Minami-Samuraihama	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Kuki	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Kosode	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Noda-Tamagawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:00	Horinai	Japan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Payac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Bangui	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	K'o-tzu-liao	Taiwan	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Tangatong	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Kilkiling	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Claveria	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Batitgao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Namuac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:00	Bangan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 15:45	Aggao	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 17:45	Divilican	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.