Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NEOGURI-19
in Japan, Russian Federation,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 158 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (20 Oct 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 158 km/h 0.4 m 143 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 223 km/h 0.6 m 660 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan104,971 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Oct 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Oct 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Oct 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Oct 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Oct 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Oct 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Oct 2019 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 9 18 Oct 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Oct 2019 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 12 19 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 13 19 Oct 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 19 Oct 2019 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 20 Oct 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 20 Oct 2019 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

660 mm

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan31,864 
50-100 mmJapan21,992,414 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Oct 2019 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 Oct 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Oct 2019 00:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Oct 2019 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Oct 2019 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Oct 2019 00:00 80 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 8 18 Oct 2019 06:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 9 18 Oct 2019 12:00 93 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 10 18 Oct 2019 18:00 117 140 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 11 19 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Oct 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Oct 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 19 Oct 2019 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 20 Oct 2019 00:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 20 Oct 2019 06:00 291 30 thousand
- - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Hsin-chiang, Taiwan. This height is estimated for 20 Oct 2019 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Hsin-chiang Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Hsia-lun Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Sa-ti Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Wu-nan Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Hai-kou Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Chung-ch'i Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 09:45 San-hsing Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 09:45 T'ai-hsi Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 09:30 Sha-shan Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 09:30 Wang-kung Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Lu-kang Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Ching-shui Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Hai huang Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Yuan-li Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Tung-hsiao Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Wangzhai China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Ch'i-ting Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Tanosawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Jogasawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Ominato Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Sekine Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Tanabu Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Mutsu Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Yokohama Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Chikagawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Changchun China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Wuqu China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Luxia China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Talaga Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Tagontong Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Mambongalon Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Chu-nan Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Ch'ien-tzu-chiao Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Kawauchi Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Panyuchwan China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Lu-chia-t'un China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 I-shan China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Gexiang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Gozawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Amidagawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Nagashima Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Nakazawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Uchimambe Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Kobashi Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Shinio Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Shimizu Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Okunai Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Aburakawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Natsuida Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Okamachi Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Nishitazawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Yasula Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Ono Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Arakawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Aomori Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Kobata Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Komagome Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Tosaki Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Nonai Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Miyata Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Yada Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Betakai Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Takisawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Asamushi Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Mora Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Masuda Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Nonaihata Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Higashi-Tazawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Yamaguchi Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Kominato Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:15 San Vicente Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Sizhoutou China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Xianxiang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Sanshan China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Daxu China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Zhuxi China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Qiancang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:30 Kanita Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:15 Da'ao China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Chung-fu Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Chiang-tzu-p'ing Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Tan-shui Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 San-chih Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Huatong China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Guizhou China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:30 Vinzons Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:30 Daet Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Funaoka Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Tairadate Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Wakinosawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Higashitaki Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Matsunoki Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Kuchihiro Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Sukeshirai Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Shimizugawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Karibazawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Makado Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Ahmori-Shubasho Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Kami-Shimizume Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Ichinowatari Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Noheji Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Chojakubo Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Arito Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Yokosawa Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:00 Yacheng China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 09:00 Sansha China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Shacheng China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Xiaguan China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Pucheng China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Kuan-yin Taiwan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Divilican Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Shukunobe Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Tsunashirazu Japan  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Paracale Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Jiaojiang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Qiansuo China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 San-chia-shih China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Chin-ch'ing China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Shangpan China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Ma-chia-tun China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Sichalu China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Donggang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Siqianjie China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Chin-shan Taiwan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Guoju China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Chung-tse China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Chiao-t'ou China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Da'ao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Beilong China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Xiabu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Kaiyangtu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Longwan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Gao'ao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Shan-ch'ien China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Jiangtan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Hsia-fou-t'ou China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Hsia-chia-fou China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Dituan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Banping China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Bei'ao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 08:45 Ushitaki Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Wang-chia-tun China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Ch'ang-ling-tzu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Santang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:30 Touyan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Koroto China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Songmen China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Xiaowu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Shih-ma-chuang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:15 Kanmen China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Alayao Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Wangjiawopu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:00 Lipu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:00 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Fu-chou-wan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Baishuijing China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Takahoko Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Hiranuma Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Oibegawa Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Shinaya Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Rokkasho Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Ichiyanagi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Dedo Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Kurauchi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Tomari Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Amagamori Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Sunagamori Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Shiogama Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Origasa Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Mukawame Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Tien-chiao-chang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Cabog Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Dingalan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Jiaoliudao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Wu-tao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Dangjin Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Chunghung-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Kooni Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Ahyon-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Sanguanmiao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Ma-chang-fang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Baisha China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Chenyu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:45 Huanshan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:30 Wan-li Taiwan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:30 Chi-lung Taiwan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:30 Ch'ang-t'an-li Taiwan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:30 Lao-tung Taiwan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:30 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:30 Talingting Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:30 Pangas Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:30 Binauangan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:30 Mactang Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:30 Capalonga Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Perez Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Cavilla Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Alabat Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Mascarina Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Apad Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Shahousuo China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Wudao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Chonghyon-dong Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Masan-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Wonha-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Namyang Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Banhei-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Hasambong Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Nabaul Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Capantolan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Mangas Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Lingayen Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Labangan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Damaloguen Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Baloboc Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Binmale Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:00 Yongampo-ri Democratic People's Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:00 Genjo Democratic People's Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Nakaza Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Ishimine Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Kadena Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Atsuta Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Fusozaki Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Henna Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:00 Chamdu Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:00 Changjong-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:00 Chinch'ang Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Incheon Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Xinzhaizi China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Yingchengzi China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:30 Gezhenpu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Polillo Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Abucay Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 08:15 Litang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Mauban Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Bugallon Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Alacan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:15 Ishikawa Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:15 Kin Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:15 Ichi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 06:15 Teima Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Agoo Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Tondol Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Pandan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Hepu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 09:15 Shihphu China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Fu-lien Taiwan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 10:45 Xihuzui China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Dinghai China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Luomen China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 07:00 Ta-chan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Baiyan China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Hsu-ch'ien-ts'un China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Fu-jung China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 P'u-ch'i China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Qingjiang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Dajing China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Baixi China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Ch'ing-chiang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Chumen China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:15 Wenqiao China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Hedo Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:00 Ada Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 11:45 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Bauang Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 San Fernando Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Baccuit Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Palintocang Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Santiago Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Caba Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 Aringay Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 12:00 San Cornelio Philippines  0.1