Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NEOGURI-19
in Japan, Russian Federation,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NEOGURI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 158 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (20 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 158 km/h 0.4 m 90 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 223 km/h 0.6 m 660 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan31,569 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Oct 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Oct 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Oct 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Oct 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Oct 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Oct 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Oct 2019 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 9 18 Oct 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 18 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 19 Oct 2019 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 12 19 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 13 19 Oct 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 19 Oct 2019 18:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

660 mm

Up to 8 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan19,146 
50-100 mmJapan8,115 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Oct 2019 12:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 Oct 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Oct 2019 00:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Oct 2019 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Oct 2019 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Oct 2019 00:00 80 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 8 18 Oct 2019 06:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 9 18 Oct 2019 12:00 93 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 10 18 Oct 2019 18:00 117 140 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 11 19 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 19 Oct 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 19 Oct 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 19 Oct 2019 18:00 342 20 thousand
- - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Hsin-chiang, Taiwan. This height is estimated for 20 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hsin-chiang Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hsia-lun Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Sa-ti Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Wu-nan Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hai-kou Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chung-ch'i Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 San-hsing Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 T'ai-hsi Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Sha-shan Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Wang-kung Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Lu-kang Taiwan  0.4
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ching-shui Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hai huang Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Yuan-li Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Tung-hsiao Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ch'i-ting Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chu-nan Taiwan  0.3
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ch'ien-tzu-chiao Taiwan  0.3
19 Oct 2019 22:45 I-shan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 22:45 Gexiang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 22:15 Changchun China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 22:15 Wuqu China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 22:15 Yacheng China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 22:15 Sansha China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Shacheng China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Xiaguan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Pucheng China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Talaga Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Tagontong Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Mambongalon Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Da'ao China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Luxia China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Sizhoutou China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Xianxiang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Sanshan China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Daxu China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Zhuxi China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Qiancang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kuan-yin Taiwan  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Huang-ch'i China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 San Vicente Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Chung-fu Taiwan  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Chiang-tzu-p'ing Taiwan  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Tan-shui Taiwan  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 San-chih Taiwan  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Paracale Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Vinzons Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Banacboc Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Guoju China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chung-tse China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chiao-t'ou China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Da'ao China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Shih-ma-chuang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Baisha China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Touyan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Chenyu China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Huanshan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Kanmen China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 P'u-ch'i China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chumen China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Banping China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:45 Bei'ao China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 22:00 Beilong China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Chin-shan Taiwan  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Siqianjie China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Xiabu China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Kaiyangtu China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Longwan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Gao'ao China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Shan-ch'ien China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Jiangtan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Hsia-fou-t'ou China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Hsia-chia-fou China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:00 Dituan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Dinghai China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Luomen China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Ta-chan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 P'u-t'o China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ch'eng-ao China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hsu-ch'ien-ts'un China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Qingjiang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 19:00 Daet Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Talingting Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Pangas Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Binauangan Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Mactang Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Capalonga Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chonghyon-dong Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Masan-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Wonha-ri Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Namyang Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Banhei-ri Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Baixiang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Shangpan China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Sichalu China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:15 Shih-t'ang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Jiaojiang China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Qiansuo China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 San-chia-shih China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Incheon Republic of Korea  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Lingayen Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Labangan Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Damaloguen Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Bugallon Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Baloboc Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Maniboc Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Binmale Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Canaoalan Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Carael Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Dagupan Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Bateng Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Alacan Philippines  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Dangjin Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Chunghung-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Kooni Republic of Korea  0.2
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ahyon-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
19 Oct 2019 19:00 Alayao Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Perez Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Cavilla Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Alabat Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Mascarina Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Apad Philippines  0.2
19 Oct 2019 21:30 Songmen China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Lipu China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 23:45 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.2
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Wan-li Taiwan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 San Jose Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Dajing China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Baixi China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Ch'ing-chiang China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Wenqiao China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:15 Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:15 Nabaul Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:15 Capantolan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:15 Mangas Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Baiyan China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Fu-jung China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Gozawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Amidagawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Nagashima Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Nakazawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Uchimambe Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kobashi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Shinio Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Shimizu Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Okunai Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Aburakawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Natsuida Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Okamachi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Nishitazawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Yasula Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Ono Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Arakawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Aomori Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kobata Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Komagome Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Tosaki Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Nonai Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Miyata Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Yada Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Betakai Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Takisawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Asamushi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Mora Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Masuda Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Nonaihata Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Higashi-Tazawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Yamaguchi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kominato Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Chi-lung Taiwan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Ch'ang-t'an-li Taiwan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Lao-tung Taiwan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kanita Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hasambong Republic of Korea  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Linao Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Bisagu Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Aparri Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Alilinu Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Punta Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Balza Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Buguey Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:30 Agoo Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Funaoka Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Tairadate Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Wakinosawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:15 Argosino Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Mauban Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Hepu China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Asahi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hokota Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Noda Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Katsuori Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Taiyo Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Otake Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Muyokama Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Omi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Kyochikama Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Hamatsuga Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Aotsuka Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Kyuchu Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Kashima Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Koya Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:15 Shihphu China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Polillo Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Abucay Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Cabog Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Dingalan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Cabuluan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:45 Catuguran Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Futakawame Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Shiribiki Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Hitokawame Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Kawaguchi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Ichikawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Takadate Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Hashimukai Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Hararo Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Niida Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Hachinohe Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Machibatake Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Tanesashi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Shirahama Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Mimigahoe Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Okuki Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Kanahama Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Uwano Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Okkoshi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Denkiani Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Kadonohama Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Kawajiri Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Kawasiri Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Okubo Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Tamagawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:15 Taneichi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Oyagaw Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Ogushi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Natsumi Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Kamigama Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Shukunobe Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Higashitaki Japan  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Matsunoki Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:00 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:15 Tondol Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Sinsong Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Tongmokp Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Mongmal Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Sosan Republic of Korea  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Songch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Yagi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Uge Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kudschi Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Minato Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kita-Samuraihama Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Honnami Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Nei Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Shiromae Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kuji Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Noda Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Ojiri Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Tamagawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Minami-Samuraihama Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kuki Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Kosode Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Noda-Tamagawa Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 23:45 Horinai Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Jomalig Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Real Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Infanta Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:15 Binibitinan Philippines  0.1
20 Oct 2019 00:00 Litang China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:30 Caba Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 20:30 Aringay Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Kuninaka Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Ichimasui Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Karimata Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Sugama Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Hirara Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Arasato Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:30 Bora Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:30 Panukulan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:15 San Juan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:15 Fugu Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:15 Naguilian Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 19:15 Abulug Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 18:00 Labayat Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:45 Ganlan China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:45 Dongsha China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:45 Gaoting China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:45 Nanfeng China  0.1
19 Oct 2019 22:45 Changtu China  0.1