Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIAKIM-18 in Madagascar from 15 Mar 2018 00:00 UTC to 16 Mar 2018 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIAKIM-18

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIAKIM-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2018-000023-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (16 Mar 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 20 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 00:00	93	17.3 million	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
2	15 Mar 2018 06:00	93	18.5 million	No people	Madagascar
3	15 Mar 2018 12:00	83	18.3 million	No people	Madagascar
4	15 Mar 2018 18:00	102	20.5 million	No people	Madagascar
5	16 Mar 2018 00:00	102	20.4 million	No people	Madagascar
6	16 Mar 2018 06:00	83	19.8 million	No people	Madagascar
7	16 Mar 2018 12:00	65	15.3 million	No people	Madagascar
8	16 Mar 2018 18:00	83	20 million	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	390000 people	-14.1, 55	Madagascar
2	15 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	2.3 million people	-14.9, 53.9	Madagascar
3	15 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	2.7 million people	-15.2, 53	Madagascar
4	15 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	5.9 million people	-15.8, 51.7	Madagascar
5	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	5.9 million people	-16, 51	Madagascar
6	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	6.5 million people	-15.8, 50.5	Madagascar
7	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.5 million people	-15.8, 50	Madagascar
8	16 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	8.2 million people	-15.8, 49.6	Madagascar
8	17 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	14.4 million people	-16.5, 48.9	Madagascar
8	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	16.8 million people	-17.6, 48.6	Madagascar
8	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	16.5 million people	-19, 48.6	Madagascar
8	18 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	14.7 million people	-21.1, 49.2	Madagascar
8	19 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.2 million people	-25.6, 51.2	Madagascar
8	20 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-30.2, 54.2
8	21 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-35.3, 57.6

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Toamasina	Madagascar
Antsiranana	Madagascar
Mahajanga	Madagascar
Antananarivo	Madagascar
Toliara	Madagascar
Fianarantsoa	Madagascar

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Maroantsetra	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	24000 people
Mananara	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	41000 people
Mandritsara	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	-
Antalaha	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	34000 people
Andapa	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	20000 people
Fenerive	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	-
Sambava	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	31000 people
Tamatave	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	200000 people
Ambanja	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Vohemar	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	-
Ambilobe	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	14000 people
Ambato Boeni	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	-
Marovoay	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	31000 people
Moramanga	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	29000 people
Antananarivo	Antananarivo	Madagascar	Capital	1.4 million people
Saka	Antananarivo	Madagascar	City	-
Antsirabe	Antananarivo	Madagascar	City	150000 people
Ambositra	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Mananjary	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	27000 people
Fianarantsoa	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	160000 people
Sahasinaka	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	-
Manakara	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	35000 people
Farafangana	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	25000 people
Ihosy	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	17000 people
Betroka	Toliara	Madagascar	City	-
Tolanaro		Madagascar	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Maroantsetra	WMN	4	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Mananara Nord	WMR	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Mandritsara	WMA	307	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3700
Antalaha Antsirabato	ANM	6	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Andapa	ZWA	473	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Befandriana	WBD	250	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4100
Sainte Marie	SMS	2	Civ.	Paved	No	3300
Doany	DOA	unknown				0
Bealanana	WBE	1120				0
Sambava	SVB	6	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Antsohihy Ambalabe	WAI	28	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Anahidrano		60				0
Port Berge	WPB	65	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Analalava	HVA	105	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3900
Tsaratanana	TTS	327	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4300
Ambatondrazaka	WAM	766	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Toamasina	TMM	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Ambanja	IVA	11	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3100
Vohemar	VOH	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Ampampamena		15				0
Andriamena	WAD	unknown				0
Ambilobe Mahavavy	AMB	22	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Madirovalo	WMV	unknown				0
Mahajanga Amborovy	MJN	26	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Antananarivo Ivato	TNR	1279	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100
Vatomandry	VAT	12	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3800
Atsinanana	ILK	10	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Antananarivo Arivonimamo		1450				0
Mahanoro	VVB	5	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4400
Ambatomainty	AMY	unknown				0
Tsiroanomandidy	WTS	846	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3500
Antsirabe	ATJ	1523	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4900
Ankavandra	JVA	130	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Miandrivazo	ZVA	62	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Mananjary	MNJ	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Ambatolahy	AHY	unknown				0
Malaimbandy	WML	182	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3900
Fianarantsoa	WFI	1115	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Manakara Sud	WVK	10	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Ambalavao		972	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3600
Farafangana	RVA	8	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3400
Ihosy	IHO	762	Civ.	Unpaved	No	5400
Tolagnaro	FTU	8	Civ.	Paved	No	5900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Maroantsetra	MGWMN	Madagascar
Mananara	MGWMR	Madagascar
Saint Mary Island		Madagascar
Antataha	MGANM	Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie		Madagascar
Fenerive		Madagascar
Sambava	MGSVB	Madagascar
Foulpointe		Madagascar
Analalava		Madagascar
Maromandia		Madagascar
Tamatave (Toamasina)	MGTMM	Madagascar
Vohemar		Madagascar
Andevoranto		Madagascar
Majunga (Mahajanga)	MGMJN	Madagascar
Vatomandry	MGVAT	Madagascar
Mahanoro	MGVVB	Madagascar
Mananjary	MGMNJ	Madagascar
Manakara	MGWVK	Madagascar
Farafangana	MGRVA	Madagascar
Manantenina		Madagascar
Ste Luce		Madagascar
Tolanaro	MGFTU	Madagascar

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Sahamaloto	Sahamaloto	1958
Antanifotsy	Antanifotsy	1958
Ambilivily		1954
Amboromalandy		1934
Mantasoa	Varahina-Nord	1938
Tsiazompaniry	Varahina-Sud	1956

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Maroantsetra, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2018 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (150 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 16 Mar 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambatoharana	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Fahambahy	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Mananara	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Soanierana Ivongo	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Antanambe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manompana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manakalana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ampasimbe	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Mahanoro	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 10:00	Ambohidara	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Androrangambo	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Analanampotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Vatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Antanetilava	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 04:00	Mahavanona	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Ampasina	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 04:00	Antakobola	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambodiharina	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Ilomotro	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Andohonko	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Tanambe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 09:00	Fenerive	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 12:00	Andranotsara	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Lonkintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Lokintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Lohatrozona	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambodiatafa	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Marosiky	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Ambahy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 10:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 10:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Vohilava	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambodifototra	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Ambalavontaka	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 19:00	Tamotamo	Madagascar	0.2
	19 Mar 2018 08:00	Befasy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Foulpointe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambariomena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antsahabe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Andramy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Seranandavitra	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Masomeloka	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ambalabe	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Taratasy	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 14:00	Ambinanivolo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 18:00	Soahazo	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Ambohitsara	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 07:00	Manantenina	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Fararano	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antsorokaka	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 09:00	Akondro	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Vatomandry	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Manakambahiny	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 15:00	Nosy-Varika	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 19:00	Moravano	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Mahatsaborimaika	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Marofinaritra	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Ankarefo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 17:00	Mahela	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 07:00	Esama	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 08:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ampanakana	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambohitralanana	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Maintinandry	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 19:00	Appontement	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 19:00	Ankoadavo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 15:00	Anasindrano	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Antanifatsy	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Ambinanysahavary	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 22:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Andranomahitsy	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Ankaramanihy	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.