Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIAKIM-18 in Madagascar from 15 Mar 2018 00:00 UTC to 06:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIAKIM-18

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIAKIM-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2018-000023-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (16 Mar 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 18.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	15 Mar 2018 00:00	93	17.3 million	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
	2	15 Mar 2018 06:00	93	18.5 million	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	390000 people	-14.1, 55	Madagascar
2	15 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	2.3 million people	-14.9, 53.9	Madagascar
2	15 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4.9 million people	-15.6, 52.2	Madagascar
2	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	5.5 million people	-15.8, 50.7	Madagascar
2	16 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	7.8 million people	-15.9, 49.9	Madagascar
2	17 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	15.1 million people	-16.4, 49.3	Madagascar
2	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	15.7 million people	-18.5, 49.1	Madagascar
2	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	4.5 million people	-22.5, 50.7	Madagascar
2	20 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-26.7, 53.3

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Antsiranana	Madagascar
Toamasina	Madagascar
Mahajanga	Madagascar
Antananarivo	Madagascar
Fianarantsoa	Madagascar
Toliara	Madagascar

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Antalaha	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	34000 people
Sambava	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	31000 people
Maroantsetra	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	24000 people
Vohemar	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	-
Andapa	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	20000 people
Mananara	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	41000 people
Fenerive	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	-
Mandritsara	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	-
Ambilobe	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	14000 people
Tamatave	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	200000 people
Ambanja	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Moramanga	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	29000 people
Ambato Boeni	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	-
Marovoay	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	31000 people
Antananarivo	Antananarivo	Madagascar	Capital	1.4 million people
Antsirabe	Antananarivo	Madagascar	City	150000 people
Saka	Antananarivo	Madagascar	City	-
Mananjary	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	27000 people
Ambositra	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Sahasinaka	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	-
Manakara	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	35000 people
Fianarantsoa	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	160000 people
Farafangana	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	25000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Antalaha Antsirabato	ANM	6	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Sambava	SVB	6	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Vohemar	VOH	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Maroantsetra	WMN	4	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Andapa	ZWA	473	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Mananara Nord	WMR	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Doany	DOA	unknown				0
Sainte Marie	SMS	2	Civ.	Paved	No	3300
Mandritsara	WMA	307	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3700
Bealanana	WBE	1120				0
Ambilobe Mahavavy	AMB	22	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Befandriana	WBD	250	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4100
Ampampamena		15				0
Toamasina	TMM	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Ambanja	IVA	11	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3100
Antsohihy Ambalabe	WAI	28	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Anahidrano		60				0
Analalava	HVA	105	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3900
Ambatondrazaka	WAM	766	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Port Berge	WPB	65	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Tsaratanana	TTS	327	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4300
Vatomandry	VAT	12	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3800
Andriamena	WAD	unknown				0
Atsinanana	ILK	10	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Mahanoro	VVB	5	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4400
Madirovalo	WMV	unknown				0
Antananarivo Ivato	TNR	1279	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100
Mahajanga Amborovy	MJN	26	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Antananarivo Arivonimamo		1450				0
Antsirabe	ATJ	1523	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4900
Mananjary	MNJ	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Tsiroanomandidy	WTS	846	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3500
Manakara Sud	WVK	10	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Fianarantsoa	WFI	1115	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Ambalavao		972	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3600
Farafangana	RVA	8	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3400

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Antataha	MGANM	Madagascar
Sambava	MGSVB	Madagascar
Maroantsetra	MGWMN	Madagascar
Vohemar		Madagascar
Mananara	MGWMR	Madagascar
Saint Mary Island		Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie		Madagascar
Fenerive		Madagascar
Foulpointe		Madagascar
Tamatave (Toamasina)	MGTMM	Madagascar
Maromandia		Madagascar
Analalava		Madagascar
Andevoranto		Madagascar
Vatomandry	MGVAT	Madagascar
Mahanoro	MGVVB	Madagascar
Majunga (Mahajanga)	MGMJN	Madagascar
Mananjary	MGMNJ	Madagascar
Manakara	MGWVK	Madagascar
Farafangana	MGRVA	Madagascar
Manantenina		Madagascar

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Sahamaloto	Sahamaloto	1958
Antanifotsy	Antanifotsy	1958
Ambilivily		1954
Mantasoa	Varahina-Nord	1938
Tsiazompaniry	Varahina-Sud	1956
Amboromalandy		1934

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Maroantsetra, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2018 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (158 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 15 Mar 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 18:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Mahavanona	Madagascar	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Antakobola	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Fahambahy	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 18:00	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 21:00	Mananara	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Ambatoharana	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 10:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Analanampotsy	Madagascar	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Ampasina	Madagascar	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Fenerive	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.4
	17 Mar 2018 20:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 20:00	Foulpointe	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 01:00	Soanierana Ivongo	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Manompana	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 16:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 10:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 14:00	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Antanambe	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 09:00	Ampasimbe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 19:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Vavony	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Manakalana	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 00:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 16:00	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampanotoamaizina	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambila-Lemaitso	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 20:00	Vatobe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 17:00	Antanetilava	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Ambodihariha	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Antetezambaro	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 05:00	Tampina	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Kalomalala	Madagascar	0.3
	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Tamatave	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 22:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 21:00	Vohitsara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 21:00	Ambinanysahavary	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Amboditafara	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ilomotro	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Andohonko	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 01:00	Vohilava	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Tanambe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Andramy	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 03:00	Marofinaritra	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 03:00	Ankarefo	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Ampitabe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 00:00	Lohatrozona	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 19:00	Taratasy	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Vohitramposina	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 01:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 19:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 03:00	Ambodifototra	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 23:00	Ambodiatafa	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 23:00	Lonkintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 16:00	Lokintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 04:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 04:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 05:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 05:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Manakambahiny	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 08:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 02:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 14:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 12:00	Marosiky	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 10:00	Vatomandry	Madagascar	0.2
	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Befasy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 05:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 05:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Tamotamo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Appontement	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Ankoadavo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Soahazo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Moravano	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Maintinandry	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 10:00	Androrangambo	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 03:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 01:00	Ambohitralanana	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 07:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Antanifatsy	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 10:00	Seranandavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Mahanoro	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Fararano	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Antsorokaka	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambohidara	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Andranotsara	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 10:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 12:00	Ambodiharina	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 19:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 16:00	Ambalabe	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 06:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 06:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Soahanina	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Mahatsaborimaika	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 16:00	Ambinanivolo	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Akondro	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ampanakana	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Manampatra	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Vilamatsa	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Manantenina	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Esama	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 06:00	Ankaramanihy	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.