Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MEKKHALA-26
in Japan

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Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230600UTC 19.1N 124.7E GOOD
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 240600UTC 21.0N 124.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 250600UTC 23.5N 125.8E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 260600UTC 26.4N 128.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 270600UTC 32.0N 134.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 280600UTC 37.4N 148.6E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230600
WARNING 230600.
WARNING VALID 240600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 19.1N 124.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 21.0N 124.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 23.5N 125.8E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 26.4N 128.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 32.0N 134.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 37.4N 148.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 230446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

SUPER TYPHOON MEKKHALA (2607) HAS ENTERED THE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY.

AT 230300 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON MEKKHALA (2607) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE TWO
FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (125.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (125.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
TWO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (26.1 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (128.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
THREE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (31.4 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (134.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
THREE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (37.7 N)
ONE FOUR SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (147.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 230300
WARNING 230300.
WARNING VALID 240300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 19.1N 124.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240300UTC AT 20.8N 124.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230300UTC 19.1N 124.9E GOOD
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 240300UTC 20.8N 124.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 250000UTC 22.6N 125.2E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 260000UTC 25.0N 127.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 270000UTC 29.6N 131.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 280000UTC 35.9N 141.8E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 28KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 18.9N, 125.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
925HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 100KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG
VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 230300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260623013013
2026062300 07W MEKKHALA 018 02 330 07 SATL 025
T000 189N 1252E 115 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 199N 1247E 105 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 208N 1246E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 220N 1249E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 231N 1253E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T060 243N 1261E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 261N 1276E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 312N 1337E 055 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 378N 1471E 050 R050 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 018
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 18.9N 125.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 125.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.9N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.8N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 22.0N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 23.1N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 24.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 26.1N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 31.2N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 37.8N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 125.1E.
23JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 478 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230000Z IS 943 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND 240300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062218 183N1256E 125
0726062218 183N1256E 125
0726062218 183N1256E 125
0726062300 189N1252E 115
0726062300 189N1252E 115
0726062300 189N1252E 115
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 18.9N 125.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 125.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.9N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.8N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 22.0N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 23.1N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 24.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 26.1N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 31.2N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 37.8N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 19.2N 125.1E.
23JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 478 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230000Z IS 943 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND 240300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (EIGHT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


0001109300
00001


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230000UTC 18.9N 125.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 240000UTC 20.6N 124.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 250000UTC 22.6N 125.2E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 260000UTC 25.0N 127.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 270000UTC 29.6N 131.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 280000UTC 35.9N 141.8E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 28KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230000
WARNING 230000.
WARNING VALID 240000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 18.9N 125.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 20.6N 124.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 22.6N 125.2E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 25.0N 127.0E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 29.6N 131.0E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 35.9N 141.8E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 222100
WARNING 222100.
WARNING VALID 232100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 18.4N 125.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 20.3N 124.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 222100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 222100UTC 18.4N 125.4E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 232100UTC 20.3N 124.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
45HF 241800UTC 21.8N 124.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 251800UTC 23.9N 125.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 261800UTC 27.0N 127.6E 175NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 271800UTC 33.1N 134.2E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 222100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260622200625
2026062218 07W MEKKHALA 017 02 295 05 SATL 015
T000 183N 1256E 125 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 191N 1249E 120 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 202N 1245E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 213N 1246E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 223N 1249E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T060 235N 1254E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 248N 1261E 070 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 290N 1300E 060 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 347N 1392E 055 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 18.3N 125.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 125.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.1N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 21.3N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 22.3N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 23.5N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 24.8N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 29.0N 130.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 34.7N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 125.4E.
22JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 507 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221800Z IS 934 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062218 183N1256E 125
0726062218 183N1256E 125
0726062218 183N1256E 125
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 18.3N 125.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N 125.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.1N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 18.3N, 125.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
925HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 100KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND
MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND INCREASED
VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221800UTC 18.3N 125.6E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 231800UTC 20.2N 124.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 241800UTC 21.8N 124.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 251800UTC 23.9N 125.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 261800UTC 27.0N 127.6E 175NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 271800UTC 33.1N 134.2E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221800
WARNING 221800.
WARNING VALID 231800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 18.3N 125.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.2N 124.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.8N 124.7E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 23.9N 125.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 27.0N 127.6E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 33.1N 134.2E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221500UTC 18.2N 125.8E GOOD
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 230300UTC 19.1N 125.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
24HF 231500UTC 20.0N 124.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
45HF 241200UTC 21.4N 124.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 251200UTC 23.5N 125.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 261200UTC 26.6N 127.4E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 271200UTC 32.4N 134.0E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 221500
WARNING 221500.
WARNING VALID 231500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 18.2N 125.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 19.1N 125.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 20.0N 124.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 18.1N, 126.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
925HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 100KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. S-NPP/ATMS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT96 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 221500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 18.1N 126.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 126.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.8N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.6N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.8N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.8N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 23.0N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 24.3N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 28.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 34.6N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 125.9E.
22JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 513 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221200Z IS 937
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (EIGHT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 221500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260622130915
2026062212 07W MEKKHALA 016 02 285 08 SATL 015
T000 181N 1261E 125 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 188N 1252E 130 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 196N 1246E 125 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 208N 1244E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 218N 1247E 095 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T060 230N 1253E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 243N 1259E 075 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 280N 1287E 065 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 346N 1369E 045 R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 18.1N 126.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 126.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.8N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.6N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.8N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.8N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 23.0N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 24.3N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 28.0N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 34.6N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 125.9E.
22JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 513 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221200Z IS 937 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062212 181N1261E 125
0726062212 181N1261E 125
NNNN


0000824800
00001


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221200UTC 18.1N 126.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 230000UTC 19.0N 125.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
24HF 231200UTC 19.8N 124.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 241200UTC 21.4N 124.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 251200UTC 23.5N 125.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 261200UTC 26.6N 127.4E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 271200UTC 32.4N 134.0E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221200
WARNING 221200.
WARNING VALID 231200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 925 HPA
AT 18.1N 126.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.0N 125.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
915 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 19.8N 124.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 21.4N 124.6E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 23.5N 125.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 26.6N 127.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 32.4N 134.0E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 220900
WARNING 220900.
WARNING VALID 230900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 935 HPA
AT 18.0N 126.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 222100UTC AT 18.8N 125.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 19.5N 124.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220900UTC 18.0N 126.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 222100UTC 18.8N 125.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 230900UTC 19.5N 124.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
45HF 240600UTC 20.7N 124.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 250600UTC 22.8N 125.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 260600UTC 25.5N 126.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 270600UTC 30.8N 131.4E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 17.9N 126.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 126.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 18.7N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.4N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 21.1N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 22.3N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 23.7N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 27.0N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 32.6N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 126.6E.
22JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 518 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 947
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260622071447
2026062206 07W MEKKHALA 015 01 295 09 SATL 015
T000 179N 1269E 115 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 187N 1256E 130 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 194N 1248E 135 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 202N 1245E 125 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 211N 1246E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T060 223N 1249E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 237N 1255E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 270N 1278E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 326N 1339E 045 R034 100 NE QD 115 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 015
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 17.9N 126.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 126.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 18.7N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.4N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 21.1N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 22.3N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 23.7N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 27.0N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 32.6N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 126.6E.
22JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 518 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 947 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z.//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062118 172N1290E 85
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062200 175N1278E 105
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
0726062206 179N1269E 115
NNNN


0000816000
00001


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 17.8N, 127.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
935HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 95KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT96 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220600UTC 17.8N 127.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 221800UTC 18.5N 125.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
24HF 230600UTC 19.3N 125.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 240600UTC 20.7N 124.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 250600UTC 22.8N 125.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 260600UTC 25.5N 126.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 270600UTC 30.8N 131.4E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220600
WARNING 220600.
WARNING VALID 230600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 935 HPA
AT 17.8N 127.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 18.5N 125.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 19.3N 125.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 20.7N 124.6E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 22.8N 125.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 25.5N 126.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 30.8N 131.4E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 220300
WARNING 220300.
WARNING VALID 230300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 940 HPA
AT 17.7N 127.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 18.4N 126.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 19.1N 125.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220300UTC 17.7N 127.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 221500UTC 18.4N 126.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
24HF 230300UTC 19.1N 125.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
45HF 240000UTC 20.4N 124.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 250000UTC 22.3N 124.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 260000UTC 24.8N 125.8E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 270000UTC 29.3N 129.7E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260622021703
2026062200 07W MEKKHALA 014 01 280 11 SATL 015
T000 175N 1278E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 183N 1261E 125 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 189N 1252E 135 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 197N 1245E 125 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 206N 1243E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T060 217N 1245E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 228N 1249E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 258N 1269E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 303N 1308E 045 R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 17.5N 127.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 127.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 18.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.9N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.7N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.6N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.7N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 22.8N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 25.8N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 30.3N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 127.4E.
22JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220000Z IS 961 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.
//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062118 173N1289E 85
0726062118 173N1289E 85
0726062118 173N1289E 85
0726062200 175N1278E 100
0726062200 175N1278E 100
0726062200 175N1278E 100


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 17.5N, 127.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT96 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH
REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220000UTC 17.5N 127.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 221200UTC 18.3N 126.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
24HF 230000UTC 18.9N 125.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
48HF 240000UTC 20.4N 124.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 250000UTC 22.3N 124.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 260000UTC 24.8N 125.8E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 270000UTC 29.3N 129.7E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220000
WARNING 220000.
WARNING VALID 230000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 950 HPA
AT 17.5N 127.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 18.3N 126.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 18.9N 125.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 20.4N 124.1E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 22.3N 124.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 24.8N 125.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 29.3N 129.7E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 212100
WARNING 212100.
WARNING VALID 222100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 955 HPA
AT 17.1N 128.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220900UTC AT 18.0N 126.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 222100UTC AT 18.7N 125.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 212100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 212100UTC 17.1N 128.2E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 220900UTC 18.0N 126.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 222100UTC 18.7N 125.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 231800UTC 19.7N 124.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
69HF 241800UTC 21.3N 124.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 251800UTC 23.3N 124.8E 175NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 261800UTC 26.3N 126.0E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 212108
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Typhoon Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
708 AM ChST Mon Jun 22 2026

...TYPHOON MEKKHALA STRENGTHENS FURTHER AS IT LEAVES GUAM'S AOR...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...17.5N 128.4E

About 810 miles north-northwest of Koror
About 850 miles northwest of Yap
About 1125 miles west-northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...90 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Typhoon Mekkhala was
located near Latitude 17.5 degrees North and Longitude
128.4 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 18 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with a decrease in
forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 90 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through tonight.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to
15 miles. Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the
center up to 120 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This will be the last advisory issued by the National Weather
Service on Mekkhala.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 212100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260621200721
2026062118 07W MEKKHALA 013 01 290 16 SATL 030
T000 173N 1289E 080 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 090 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 182N 1269E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 189N 1255E 115 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 196N 1247E 120 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 204N 1243E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T060 213N 1243E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 225N 1246E 085 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 249N 1261E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 292N 1296E 045 R034 080 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 17.3N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 18.2N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 18.9N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.6N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.4N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 21.3N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 22.5N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 24.9N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 29.2N 129.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 128.4E.
21JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 555 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211800Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z.
//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062100 154N1330E 60
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062106 161N1319E 70
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062112 168N1305E 75
0726062118 173N1289E 80
0726062118 173N1289E 80
0726062118 173N1289E 80
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 212100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 17.3N 128.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 128.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 18.2N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 16.9N, 128.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
955HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS ALSO
DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE EXPANSION OF A
CDO PATTERN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF
THE MOVEMENT. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG
VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211800UTC 16.9N 128.7E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 220600UTC 17.8N 126.8E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 221800UTC 18.4N 125.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 231800UTC 19.7N 124.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
72HF 241800UTC 21.3N 124.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 251800UTC 23.3N 124.8E 175NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 261800UTC 26.3N 126.0E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211800
WARNING 211800.
WARNING VALID 221800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 955 HPA
AT 16.9N 128.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 17.8N 126.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 18.4N 125.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 19.7N 124.2E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.3N 124.0E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 23.3N 124.8E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 26.3N 126.0E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 211500
WARNING 211500.
WARNING VALID 221500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 965 HPA
AT 16.7N 129.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 17.8N 127.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 18.4N 126.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211500UTC 16.7N 129.8E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 150NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 220300UTC 17.8N 127.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 221500UTC 18.4N 126.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 231200UTC 19.6N 125.0E 85NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 241200UTC 21.2N 124.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 251200UTC 23.0N 125.5E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 261200UTC 25.7N 127.6E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 211507
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Typhoon Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
107 AM ChST Mon Jun 22 2026

...TYPHOON MEKKHALA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...16.8N 130.0E

About 720 miles north-northwest of Koror
About 740 miles northwest of Yap
About 1010 miles west-northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...85 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 15 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Typhoon Mekkhala was
located near Latitude 16.8 degrees North and Longitude
130.0 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 15 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with a decrease in
forward speed through Tuesday, then turn toward the northwest and
finally north. This general forecast track could take Mekkhala near
Okinawa Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 85 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through Tuesday, then start to weaken.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to
50 miles. Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the
center up to 145 miles to the north and up to 80 miles to the
south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 211500
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260621134025
2026062112 07W MEKKHALA 012 01 290 13 SATL 020
T000 165N 1306E 075 R064 045 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW Q
D 065 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 175N 1283E 090 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 183N 1266E 105 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 189N 1255E 120 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 196N 1249E 120 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T060 205N 1247E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 215N 1249E 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 239N 1258E 070 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 277N 1280E 045 R034 100 NE QD 105 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 16.5N 130.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 130.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 17.5N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 18.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.9N 125.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.6N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.5N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.5N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 23.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 27.7N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 16.8N 130.0E.
21JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 620 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211200Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 55
0726062106 161N1319E 65
0726062106 161N1319E 65
0726062106 161N1319E 65
0726062112 165N1306E 75
0726062112 165N1306E 75
0726062112 165N1306E 75


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 16.5N 130.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 130.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 17.5N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 16.7N, 130.4E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. IT HAS ALSO DEVELOPED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EXPANSION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
REDUCED TCHP. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211200UTC 16.7N 130.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 220000UTC 17.8N 128.1E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 221200UTC 18.5N 126.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 231200UTC 19.6N 125.0E 85NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 241200UTC 21.2N 124.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 251200UTC 23.0N 125.5E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 261200UTC 25.7N 127.6E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211200
WARNING 211200.
WARNING VALID 221200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 970 HPA
AT 16.7N 130.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.8N 128.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 18.5N 126.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 19.6N 125.0E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 21.2N 124.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 23.0N 125.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 25.7N 127.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210900
WARNING 210900.
WARNING VALID 220900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975
HPA
AT 16.3N 130.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 17.5N 128.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220900UTC AT 18.2N 126.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210900UTC 16.3N 130.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 212100UTC 17.5N 128.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 220900UTC 18.2N 126.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 230600UTC 18.7N 124.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 240600UTC 20.0N 123.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 250600UTC 22.1N 123.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 260600UTC 24.4N 124.7E 215NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 210906
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Typhoon Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
706 PM ChST Sun Jun 21 2026

...MEKKHALA UPGRADED TO TYPHOON AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST OVER THE
PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...16.4N 131.3E

About 660 miles north-northwest of Koror
About 660 miles northwest of Yap
About 920 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 940 miles west-northwest of Rota
About 955 miles west of Tinian
About 960 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...75 mph
Present movement...northwest...305 degrees at 15 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Typhoon Mekkhala was
located near Latitude 16.4 degrees North and Longitude
131.3 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving northwest at 15 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with a
slight decrease in forward speed through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 75 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through Monday.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to
25 miles. Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the
center up to 105 miles to the north and up to 40 miles to the
south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Monday morning.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 011
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 16.1N 131.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 131.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 17.2N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210900
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260621073608
2026062106 07W MEKKHALA 011 01 305 13 SATL 060
T000 161N 1319E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 172N 1295E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 180N 1274E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 185N 1260E 105 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 194N 1252E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T060 202N 1249E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 211N 1248E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 233N 1252E 070 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 268N 1273E 045 R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 011
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 16.1N 131.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 131.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 17.2N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 18.0N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 18.5N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.4N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 21.1N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 23.3N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 26.8N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 131.3E.
21JUN26. TYPHOON 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 665 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210600Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
211500Z, 212100Z, 220300Z AND 220900Z.//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 50
0726062100 154N1330E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 55
0726062106 161N1319E 65
0726062106 161N1319E 65
0726062106 161N1319E 65
NNNN


0000818000
00001


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR STS 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MEKKHALA IS LOCATED AT 15.9N, 131.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT96 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210600UTC 15.9N 131.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 211800UTC 17.4N 129.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 220600UTC 18.0N 127.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 230600UTC 18.7N 124.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 240600UTC 20.0N 123.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 250600UTC 22.1N 123.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 260600UTC 24.4N 124.7E 215NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210600
WARNING 210600.
WARNING VALID 220600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 980 HPA
AT 15.9N 131.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 17.4N 129.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 18.0N 127.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 18.7N 124.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 20.0N 123.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 22.1N 123.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 24.4N 124.7E WITH 215 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 210354
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
154 PM ChST Sun Jun 21 2026

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES
MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST, ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.7N 132.5E

About 570 miles northwest of Yap
About 590 miles north-northwest of Koror
About 835 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 855 miles west of Rota
About 875 miles west of Tinian
About 880 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...65 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...295 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 15.7 degrees North and Longitude
132.5 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 16 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 65 mph. Mekkhala is forecast to
intensify through tonight possibly becoming a typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
145 miles to the north and up to 75 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210300
WARNING 210300.
WARNING VALID 220300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 985 HPA
AT 15.9N 132.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 17.1N 130.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 17.7N 127.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2607 MEKKHALA (2607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210300UTC 15.9N 132.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 211500UTC 17.1N 130.1E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 220300UTC 17.7N 127.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 230000UTC 18.3N 125.5E 85NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 240000UTC 19.7N 124.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 250000UTC 21.4N 123.7E 175NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 260000UTC 23.2N 124.7E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210300
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260621020008
2026062100 07W MEKKHALA 010 01 295 14 SATL 030
T000 154N 1330E 055 R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 166N 1311E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 175N 1289E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 182N 1271E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 189N 1258E 110 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T060 196N 1252E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 205N 1249E 095 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 224N 1250E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 250N 1260E 050 R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 15.4N 133.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 133.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 16.6N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 17.5N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 18.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.6N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.5N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 22.4N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 25.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 132.5E.
21JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 727
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.
//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062018 148N1343E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 55
0726062100 154N1330E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 15.4N 133.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 133.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 16.6N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 17.5N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 18.2N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.6N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.5N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 22.4N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 25.0N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 132.5E.
21JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 727
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210000
WARNING 210000.
WARNING VALID 220000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 990 HPA
AT 15.5N 133.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 16.7N 131.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.5N 128.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 18.3N 125.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 19.7N 124.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 21.4N 123.7E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 23.2N 124.7E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 210009 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN...CORRECTED
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
1009 AM ChST Sun Jun 21 2026


Corrected first paragraph in the discussion

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA CONTINUES TO GAIN STRENGTH, WELL
NORTH OF KOROR...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.0N 133.6E

About 485 miles north of Kayangel
About 485 miles northwest of Yap
About 530 miles north of Koror
About 755 miles west of Guam
About 780 miles west of Rota
About 800 miles west of Tinian
About 810 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...65 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 14 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 15.0 degrees North and Longitude
133.6 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 14 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course and speed through
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 65 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through tonight possibly becoming a
typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
140 miles to the northeast and up to 105 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 202158
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
758 AM ChST Sun Jun 21 2026

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA CONTINUES TO GAIN STRENGTH, WELL
NORTH OF KOROR...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.0N 133.6E

About 485 miles north of Kayangel
About 485 miles northwest of Yap
About 530 miles north of Koror
About 755 miles west of Guam
About 780 miles west of Rota
About 800 miles west of Tinian
About 810 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...65 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 14 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 15.0 degrees North and Longitude
133.6 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 14 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course and speed through
Monday through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 65 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through tonight possibly becoming a
typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
140 miles to the northeast and up to 105 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 202100
WARNING 202100.
WARNING VALID 212100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 992 HPA
AT 14.7N 133.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 16.5N 131.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 17.5N 129.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 202100
WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 260620200159
2026062018 07W MEKKHALA 009 01 290 12 SATL 060
T000 147N 1342E 055 R050 080 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 157N 1319E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 085 NW QD
T024 166N 1297E 075 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 174N 1277E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 182N 1260E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T060 190N 1251E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 198N 1247E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 218N 1244E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 242N 1251E 060 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 14.7N 134.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 134.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 15.7N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 16.6N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 17.4N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 18.2N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 19.0N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 19.8N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.8N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 24.2N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 15.0N 133.6E.
20JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 794
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201800Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.
//
0726061112 54N1765E 15
0726061118 54N1761E 15
0726061200 55N1758E 15
0726061206 57N1753E 15
0726061212 61N1744E 15
0726061218 62N1736E 15
0726061300 63N1724E 15
0726061306 63N1714E 15
0726061312 64N1704E 15
0726061318 70N1692E 15
0726061400 76N1680E 15
0726061406 85N1662E 15
0726061412 91N1642E 15
0726061418 98N1632E 15
0726061500 102N1619E 15
0726061506 104N1605E 15
0726061512 107N1590E 15
0726061518 105N1580E 15
0726061600 107N1567E 15
0726061606 108N1555E 20
0726061612 109N1542E 20
0726061618 111N1528E 20
0726061700 117N1516E 20
0726061706 119N1505E 20
0726061712 120N1494E 15
0726061718 120N1483E 15
0726061800 120N1477E 20
0726061806 120N1468E 20
0726061812 121N1460E 25
0726061818 124N1446E 25
0726061900 129N1431E 30
0726061906 133N1415E 30
0726061912 137N1400E 35
0726061918 140N1386E 40
0726062000 141N1378E 45
0726062006 142N1367E 45
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062012 143N1354E 50
0726062018 147N1342E 55
0726062018 147N1342E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 202100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 14.7N 134.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 134.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 15.7N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 201549
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
149 AM ChST Sun Jun 21 2026

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA MOVING WEST AS IT STRENGTHENS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.6N 134.8E

About 415 miles north-northwest of Yap
About 450 miles north of Kayangel
About 460 miles northwest of Ulithi
About 470 miles north-northwest of Ngulu
About 500 miles north of Koror
About 675 miles west of Guam
About 700 miles west of Rota
About 725 miles west of Tinian
About 730 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...60 mph
Present movement...west...280 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 14.6 degrees North and Longitude
134.8 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west at 16 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with
little change in forward speed through Monday. This general forecast
track could bring Mekkhala near Okinawa around Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 60 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through Monday, possibly becoming a typhoon
Sunday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
140 miles to the north and up to 60 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 201500
WARNING 201500.
WARNING VALID 211500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 996 HPA
AT 14.6N 134.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 16.1N 132.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 17.3N 130.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 200900
WARNING 200900.
WARNING VALID 210900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 1000 HPA
AT 14.4N 136.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 202100UTC AT 15.5N 133.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 16.8N 131.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 200850
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
650 PM ChST Sat Jun 20 2026

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, MOVING WEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.3N 136.3E

About 355 miles north-northwest of Yap
About 380 miles northwest of Ulithi
About 420 miles north of Ngulu
About 495 miles north-northeast of Koror
About 570 miles west of Guam
About 630 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 12 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 14.3 degrees North and Longitude
136.3 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west at 12 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with a
slight increase in forward speed through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Mekkhala is forecast to
intensify through Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
105 miles to the north.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Sunday morning.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 200351
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
151 PM ChST Sat Jun 20 2026

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA IS LOCATED NORTH OF YAP, MOVING AWAY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.4N 137.3E

About 345 miles north of Yap
About 345 miles north-northwest of Ulithi
About 385 miles north-northwest of Fais
About 420 miles north of Ngulu
About 505 miles west of Guam
About 525 miles north-northeast of Koror
About 530 miles west of Rota
About 555 miles west of Tinian
About 565 miles west of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...285 degrees at 9 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 14.4 degrees North and Longitude
137.3 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 9 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with an increase
in forward speed through Sunday, and may strengthen to typhoon
status by Sunday evening.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
105 miles to the north and up to 0 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 200300
WARNING 200300.
WARNING VALID 210300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2607 MEKKHALA (2607) 1000 HPA
AT 14.4N 136.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201500UTC AT 15.1N 135.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 16.4N 133.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 192112
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mekkhala (07W) Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
712 AM ChST Sat Jun 20 2026

...TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.2N 138.0E

About 315 miles north-northwest of Ulithi
About 325 miles north of Yap
About 350 miles north-northwest of Fais
About 410 miles north of Ngulu
About 460 miles west of Guam
About 485 miles west of Rota
About 510 miles west of Tinian
About 520 miles west of Saipan
About 530 miles north-northeast of Koror

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...285 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Mekkhala
was located near Latitude 14.2 degrees North and Longitude
138.0 degrees East. Mekkhala is moving west-northwest at 16 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph. Mekkhala is
forecast to intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
105 miles to the north and up to a mile to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 191550
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm 07W Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
150 AM ChST Sat Jun 20 2026

...07W UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
07W has been upgraded to a tropical storm.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.9N 139.6E

About 270 miles north of Ulithi
About 290 miles north-northwest of Fais
About 320 miles north-northeast of Yap
About 350 miles west of Guam
About 380 miles west of Rota
About 410 miles west of Tinian
About 410 miles north-northeast of Ngulu
About 420 miles west of Saipan
About 440 miles west-southwest of Anatahan
About 485 miles west-southwest of Alamagan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...285 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm 07W was
located near Latitude 13.9 degrees North and Longitude 139.6 degrees
East. 07W is moving west-northwest at 18 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course with a slight decrease in forward speed
through Sunday. This general forecast track would take 07W through
open ocean to the northeast of the Philippines.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 40 mph. 07W is forecast
to intensify through Sunday, possibly becoming a typhoon then.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
105 miles to the north with little or none to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 190936
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 07W Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
736 PM ChST Fri Jun 19 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.4N 141.2E

About 240 miles west of Guam
About 250 miles north-northeast of Ulithi
About 255 miles north of Fais
About 275 miles west of Rota
About 315 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 325 miles west-southwest of Saipan
About 340 miles northeast of Yap
About 370 miles north of Sorol
About 400 miles north-northwest of Faraulep
About 430 miles northeast of Ngulu
About 620 miles northeast of Koror


Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 15 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 07W
was located near Latitude 13.4 degrees North and Longitude
141.2 degrees East. 07W is moving west-northwest at 15 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a slight decrease
in forward speed through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. 07W is forecast to
intensify through Saturday possibly becoming a tropical storm.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Saturday morning.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 190454
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 07W Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
254 PM ChST Fri Jun 19 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.1N 142.5E

About 155 miles west of Guam
About 200 miles west-southwest of Rota
About 245 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 255 miles west-southwest of Saipan
About 265 miles north-northeast of Fais
About 310 miles southwest of Anatahan
About 340 miles north-northwest of Faraulep
About 380 miles southwest of Alamagan
About 410 miles south-southwest of Pagan
About 445 miles south-southwest of Agrihan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 17 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 07W
was located near Latitude 13.1 degrees North and Longitude 142.5
degrees East. 07W is moving west-northwest at 17 mph. It is expected
to maintain this general course into the Philippine Sea with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. 07W is forecast to
intensify through Saturday possibly becoming a tropical storm.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST this evening.

$$

Mesa


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 182157
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 07W Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP072026
757 AM ChST Fri Jun 19 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W FORMS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
This is the first advisory on Tropical Depression 07W.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.3N 144.5E

About 85 miles south-southwest of Guam
About 140 miles south-southwest of Rota
About 200 miles south-southwest of Tinian
About 210 miles south-southwest of Saipan
About 255 miles north of Faraulep
About 290 miles south-southwest of Anatahan
About 320 miles east-northeast of Fais
About 375 miles south-southwest of Alamagan
About 410 miles south-southwest of Pagan
About 450 miles south of Agrihan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...west...275 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 07W
was located near Latitude 12.3 degrees North and Longitude
144.5 degrees East. 07W is moving west at 10 mph. It is expected
to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with a slight
increase in forward speed through Saturday. This general forecast
track takes 07W out into the open ocean of the Philippine Sea.

Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. 07W is forecast to intensify
through Saturday possibly becoming a tropical storm.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Stanko/Doll