Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-26
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 042200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 12.6N 130.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 130.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.0N 132.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.1N 133.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 12.9N 133.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.6N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.2N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.9N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 11.4N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 11.0N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
042200Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 131.2W.
04JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1421
NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050400Z, 051000Z, 051600Z AND 052200Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 042032
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 PM PDT Thu Jun 04 2026

...AMANDA SLIGHTLY STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 131.1W
ABOUT 1560 MI...2510 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 131.1 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue into Friday. A turn toward the west
and southwest at a slower forward speed is forecast for this
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
24 hours. A gradual weakening trend is expected to begin Friday
night or Saturday, and Amanda is forecast to become a post-tropical
remnant low this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 042033
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THIS MORNING SHOWED A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED CENTER OF AMANDA AS THE STORM ENCOUNTERED SOUTHEASTERLY
SHEAR. CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS HAD FALTERED, HOWEVER,
A NEW BURST OF COLD CLOUD TOPS HAS RECENTLY EMERGED NEAR THE CENTER
OF THE STORM. THIS RENEWED CONVECTION COMBINED WITH A RECENT
SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING PEAK WINDS OF 35-39 KT HAS INDICATED A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40
KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 8 KT. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS TO THE NORTH. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THEN SOUTHWEST IS
FORECAST LATER ON FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN
SHIFTED SOUTHWARD, AND FALLS BETWEEN THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS
CONSENSUS AIDS.

THE ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE STORM MAINTAINS MODEST MID-LEVEL MOISTURE,
HOWEVER, DRY AIR IS BEGINNING TO WRAP AROUND ITS SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN PERIPHERY. AFTER 24 H, AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND DRIER
MID-LEVEL AIR, LEADING TO STEADY WEAKENING THIS WEEKEND. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR AMANDA TO WEAKEN TO A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW LATER THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM MAY LOSE
ORGANIZED CONVECTION EARLIER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/2100Z 12.7N 131.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/1800Z 13.1N 133.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 12.9N 133.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 07/0600Z 12.2N 134.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 11.9N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/1800Z 11.0N 137.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 042031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 131.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 131.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 130.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.1N 133.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 133.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 10SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.2N 134.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.9N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 11.0N 137.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 131.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 041616

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 129.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 04.06.2026 12.1N 129.9W WEAK
00UTC 05.06.2026 13.0N 131.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.06.2026 13.6N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.8N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 13.4N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.8N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 12.1N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.6N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.0N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.1N 87.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.6N 87.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.5N 88.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 12.3N 89.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 12.3N 90.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 10.06.2026 13.1N 91.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 14.0N 92.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 14.8N 94.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 041616


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 041616

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 129.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 04.06.2026 0 12.1N 129.9W 1007 32
0000UTC 05.06.2026 12 13.0N 131.2W 1006 35
1200UTC 05.06.2026 24 13.6N 132.4W 1005 36
0000UTC 06.06.2026 36 13.8N 133.4W 1007 29
1200UTC 06.06.2026 48 13.4N 134.3W 1007 27
0000UTC 07.06.2026 60 12.8N 134.7W 1007 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 72 12.1N 135.5W 1007 23
0000UTC 08.06.2026 84 11.6N 136.6W 1007 24
1200UTC 08.06.2026 96 11.0N 137.8W 1008 21
0000UTC 09.06.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.1N 87.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.06.2026 96 11.6N 87.9W 1007 31
0000UTC 09.06.2026 108 11.5N 88.0W 1005 41
1200UTC 09.06.2026 120 12.3N 89.1W 1004 38
0000UTC 10.06.2026 132 12.3N 90.3W 1000 48
1200UTC 10.06.2026 144 13.1N 91.4W 998 48
0000UTC 11.06.2026 156 14.0N 92.8W 997 47
1200UTC 11.06.2026 168 14.8N 94.0W 1000 43


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 041616


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 041440
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

AN AMSR-2 PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED
CENTER, BUT SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR HAS KEPT CONVECTION MAINLY CONFINED
IN THE NORTH AND WEST QUADRANTS OF AMANDA. OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK ESTIMATES DEPICT AN INTENSITY AROUND 35 KT, SO THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 8 KT. AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL STORM WILL SUPPORT A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 12-24 H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST THEN SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST OVER THIS WEEKEND AS WEAK RIDGING
BUILDS TO THE NORTHWEST OF AMANDA. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS
BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH, AND FALLS BETWEEN THE GOOGLE
DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS CONSENSUS AIDS.

EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODEST MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
HAVE LED TO PULSING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER
OF AMANDA. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
12-24 H AS THE STORM REMAINS IN A SEMI-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
HOWEVER, AFTER 24 H, THE STORM WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR AND UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE, LEADING
TO STEADY WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR AMANDA TO
WEAKEN TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY 72 H, BUT IT MAY STRUGGLE
TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED CONVECTION EVEN BEFORE THAT TIME.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/1500Z 12.5N 130.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/1200Z 13.3N 132.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0000Z 13.3N 133.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 06/1200Z 13.0N 134.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 07/0000Z 12.6N 134.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 07/1200Z 12.2N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/1200Z 11.7N 136.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/1200Z 11.3N 137.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 041438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 AM PDT Thu Jun 04 2026

...AMANDA STILL A SHEARED TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 130.5W
ABOUT 1530 MI...2465 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 130.5 West. Amanda is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest and west is expected during the next couple of days.
A turn toward the southwest at a slower forward speed is forecast
later this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible today and tonight. A gradual
weakening trend is expected to begin Friday night or Saturday, and
Amanda is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low this
weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 041438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 130.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.3N 132.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.3N 133.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.0N 134.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.6N 134.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.2N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 11.7N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 11.3N 137.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 130.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 041000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 129.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 129.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 12.8N 130.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.4N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.6N 133.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 13.4N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 13.1N 134.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.7N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 12.2N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 11.6N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
041000Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 129.8W.
04JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1554
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 040600Z IS 1006
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041600Z, 042200Z, 050400Z AND 051000Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 040833
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

...SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT AMANDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE
IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 129.8W
ABOUT 1500 MI...2415 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 129.8 WEST. AMANDA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED IS FORECAST THIS WEEKEND.

RECENT SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
BY FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 040833
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 129.8W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 40SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 129.8W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 129.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.8N 130.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.4N 132.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.1N 134.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.7N 134.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 12.2N 135.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 11.6N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 129.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 040834
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED NEAR AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF
AMANDA DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A RECENT ASCAT-B OVERPASS SHOWED
A FEW 35-KT WIND VECTORS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER, WITH 30-35
KT VECTORS ELSEWHERE NEAR THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS, THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT, WHICH IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY OTHER SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES.

IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER OF AMANDA HAS WOBBLED A LITTLE TO THE
RIGHT SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY, WITH THE INITIAL MOTION NOW 305/7.
A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST SHOULD CAUSE A GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 H OR SO. THEN, A NARROW
RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF AMANDA,
WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE OR ITS REMNANTS TO TURN WESTWARD AND
SOUTHWESTWARD. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS A BLEND OF THE
GOOGLE DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN AND THE VARIOUS CONSENSUS MODELS, IS
A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK THROUGH 48 H AND SIMILAR TO
THE PREVIOUS TRACK AFTER THAT.

AMANDA IS BEING AFFECTED BY ABOUT 15 KT OF SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, AND THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS MOIST
SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 H, AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR A PEAK INTENSITY OF 45 KT. AFTER
THAT TIME, THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY DRY
AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS, AND IT IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOVE INTO AN AREA
OF UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
AS FORECAST BY ALL GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE
GUIDANCE, AND IT SHOWS THE CYCLONE DEGENERATING TO A REMNANT LOW
PRESSURE AREA BY 96 H. OVERALL, THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS ON
THE HIGH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 12.2N 129.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 12.8N 130.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 13.4N 132.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/0600Z 13.4N 133.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 06/1800Z 13.1N 134.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 07/0600Z 12.7N 134.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
96H 08/0600Z 12.2N 135.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0600Z 11.6N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 040410

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 128.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 04.06.2026 0 11.1N 128.9W 1007 28
1200UTC 04.06.2026 12 12.0N 130.1W 1007 30
0000UTC 05.06.2026 24 13.0N 131.5W 1007 33
1200UTC 05.06.2026 36 13.6N 132.6W 1007 32
0000UTC 06.06.2026 48 13.6N 133.4W 1007 29
1200UTC 06.06.2026 60 13.2N 133.9W 1008 26
0000UTC 07.06.2026 72 12.5N 134.3W 1007 25
1200UTC 07.06.2026 84 11.7N 134.8W 1007 23
0000UTC 08.06.2026 96 11.3N 135.5W 1007 22
1200UTC 08.06.2026 108 11.1N 136.4W 1008 23
0000UTC 09.06.2026 120 11.2N 137.6W 1008 22
1200UTC 09.06.2026 132 11.2N 139.2W 1008 24
0000UTC 10.06.2026 144 11.6N 140.9W 1009 24
1200UTC 10.06.2026 156 11.8N 142.8W 1009 25
0000UTC 11.06.2026 168 11.7N 144.8W 1009 24

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.8N 102.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 07.06.2026 72 15.3N 102.2W 1004 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 84 15.8N 101.4W 1003 29
0000UTC 08.06.2026 96 15.8N 100.5W 1002 29
1200UTC 08.06.2026 108 15.9N 99.1W 1004 30
0000UTC 09.06.2026 120 18.4N 100.8W 1004 28
1200UTC 09.06.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 040409


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 040409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 128.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 04.06.2026 11.1N 128.9W WEAK
12UTC 04.06.2026 12.0N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.06.2026 13.0N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.06.2026 13.6N 132.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.6N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 13.2N 133.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.5N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.7N 134.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.3N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.1N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.2N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 11.2N 139.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.6N 140.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 11.8N 142.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 11.7N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.8N 102.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 07.06.2026 15.3N 102.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 15.8N 101.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 15.8N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 15.9N 99.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 18.4N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 040409


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 040400
WARNING ATCG MIL 01E NEP 260604030434
2026060400 01E AMANDA 006 01 305 07 SATL 020
T000 112N 1289W 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 122N 1301W 040 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 130N 1314W 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 134N 1326W 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 135N 1334W 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T060 131N 1341W 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 128N 1344W 035 R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 122N 1350W 030
T120 117N 1363W 030
AMP
120HR POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 11.2N 128.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 128.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 12.2N 130.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 13.0N 131.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 13.4N 132.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 13.5N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 13.1N 134.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 12.8N 134.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 12.2N 135.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 11.7N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
040400Z POSITION NEAR 11.5N 129.3W.
04JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1445
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 040000Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
041000Z, 041600Z, 042200Z AND 050400Z.
//
0126053112 80N1230W 15
0126053118 81N1233W 15
0126060100 82N1236W 15
0126060106 83N1240W 20
0126060112 86N1247W 20
0126060118 89N1255W 20
0126060200 93N1258W 20
0126060206 94N1261W 25
0126060212 94N1263W 25
0126060218 94N1265W 25
0126060300 96N1267W 25
0126060306 100N1271W 30
0126060312 103N1278W 35
0126060318 108N1283W 35
0126060400 112N1289W 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 040231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 PM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...AMANDA SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.4N 129.3W
ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 129.3 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.
A turn toward the west and southwest at a slower forward speed is
forecast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. A
weakening trend is forecast to begin this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 040232
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 PM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

AMANDA HAS NOT APPARENTLY STRENGTHENED SINCE EARLIER TODAY. THERE
ARE A COUPLE OF POORLY-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES OVER THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE, AND A FEW CELLS OF DEEP CONVECTION HAVE BEEN
REDEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER, LIKELY A DIURNAL FLUCTUATION. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS HELD AT 35 KT WHICH IS ROUGHLY IN
AGREEMENT WITH OBJECTIVE ADT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS. HOPEFULLY,
WE WILL GET A SCATTEROMETER PASS OVER THE SYSTEM OVERNIGHT TO HELP
IN ASSESSING THE STRENGTH OF THE CYCLONE.

AN AMSR2 MICROWAVE IMAGE AND RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
THE STORM CENTER IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED
TRACK. ADJUSTING THE WORKING BEST TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
YIELDS AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 300/8 KT. A WEAK MID-LEVEL
RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF AMANDA SHOULD RESULT IN A CONTINUED
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS.
LATER, A NARROW RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE, WHICH SHOULD INDUCE A LEFTWARD TURN AND A
SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IN AROUND 3 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS ONLY SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE DURING THE EARLY PART OF
THE PERIOD, AND VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK LATER ON.
THIS IS A BLEND OF THE LATEST GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND CORRECTED
CONSENSUS FORECAST SOLUTIONS.

AMANDA SHOULD REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
STRENGTHENING FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH WARM SSTS AND MODERATE
EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO
ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY DRY AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS IN A FEW
DAYS WHICH SHOULD CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND TO COMMENCE IN THE 48
HOUR TIME FRAME. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALLOWS FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING THROUGH TOMORROW, WITH WEAKENING OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW DURING THE
LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. THIS NHC FORECAST IS ON THE HIGH SIDE
OF THE INTENSITY MODEL GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0300Z 11.4N 129.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/1200Z 12.2N 130.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 05/1200Z 13.4N 132.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/0000Z 13.5N 133.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 06/1200Z 13.1N 134.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 07/0000Z 12.8N 134.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 08/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0000Z 11.7N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 040231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 128.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.2N 130.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.4N 132.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N 133.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.1N 134.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.8N 134.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 11.7N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 129.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 032200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 128.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 128.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 11.5N 129.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 12.4N 131.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.0N 132.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.3N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 13.0N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.6N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 12.0N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 11.4N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
032200Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 129.0W.
03JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1476
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
031800Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 14
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z, 041000Z, 041600Z, AND 042200Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 032032
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 PM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...AMANDA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 128.9W
ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 10.8 North, longitude 128.9 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the
west and west-southwest at a slower forward speed is forecast this
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.
A weakening trend is forecast later this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 032032
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAVE DEPICTED INCREASING
ORGANIZATION OF AMANDA TODAY WITH CURVED BANDING NOTED. A SAR RCM-2
PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED A SLIGHTLY LARGER AND MORE
UNIFORM WIND FIELD AROUND THE CENTER OF AMANDA, AND THE CENTER
POSITION WAS SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE
INITIAL POSITION OF THE STORM HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY.
SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK ANALYSES RANGE FROM 30-40 KT, SO THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 35 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF
300/8 KT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST WILL SUPPORT A
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS
AND BUILDS WESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INITIAL
POSITION ADJUSTMENT AND MODEL TRENDS, AND IS CLOSE TO THE GOOGLE
DEEPMIND FORECAST TRACK.

THE STORM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A RATHER HUMID LOW- AND
MID-LEVEL AIR MASS, AND ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STEADY
STRENGTHENING WITHIN THE NEXT 36 H. GFS AND EC SHIPS RI PROBABILITY
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DECREASED SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST CYCLE,
SHOWING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 H. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST SHOWS A PEAK INTENSITY OF
50 KT, WHICH LIES NEAR THE HIGHER END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. AMANDA
WILL ENCOUNTER A DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND INCREASING SHEAR
BEYOND 36 H, AND MAY STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION THIS WEEKEND.
SLOW TO STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS A RESULT, AND AMANDA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AT DAY 5, THOUGH SOME
MODELS SUGGEST THIS COULD OCCUR SOONER THAN FORECAST.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/2100Z 10.8N 128.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 04/1800Z 12.4N 131.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 05/1800Z 13.3N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 06/0600Z 13.0N 134.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 07/1800Z 12.0N 135.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
120H 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 032031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 128.9W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 128.9W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 128.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.4N 131.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.3N 133.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.0N 134.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 12.0N 135.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 128.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 031454
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 AM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. OBJECTIVE
DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS ARE AROUND 35
KT. USING THESE ESTIMATES AND THE LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS, THE
DEPRESSION HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WITH THE
INITIAL INTENSITY SET TO 35 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INITIAL
MOTION OF 305/7 KT. THE SYSTEM IS FLANKED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO
THE NORTHEAST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST, SUPPORTING A
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A SLOWER FORWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS IN THE SHORT TERM, BUT HAS BEEN
NUDGED SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH FROM THE PREVIOUS BEYOND DAY 3, LYING
BETWEEN THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS CONSENSUS AIDS.

THE STORM HAS SHOWN INCREASING ORGANIZED CONVECTION THIS MORNING,
AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SUFFICIENTLY SATURATED LOW- AND MID-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STEADY STRENGTHENING OVER
THE NEXT 36 H OR SO. IT IS NOTED THAT GFS AND EC SHIPS RI MODEL
GUIDANCE ARE SHOWING A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 H. THE OFFICIAL NHC
FORECAST MAINTAINS A PEAK INTENSITY OF 55 KT, WHICH LIES NEAR THE
HIGHER END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. AFTER 36-48 H, AMANDA WILL MOVE
INTO A LESS-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASING SHEAR AND A DRIER
MID-LEVEL AIRMASS, SUPPORTING STEADY WEAKENING THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST NOW HAS THE
SYSTEM BECOMING A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AT DAY 5, ALTHOUGH SOME
MODELS SUGGEST THIS COULD OCCUR SOONER THAN FORECAST.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1500Z 10.6N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 11.2N 129.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 04/1200Z 12.1N 130.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 05/1200Z 13.5N 132.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 06/0000Z 13.6N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 06/1200Z 13.4N 134.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 07/1200Z 12.9N 134.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 08/1200Z 12.2N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 031453
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 AM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2026
EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.6N 128.2W
ABOUT 1475 MI...2375 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 128.2 West. Amanda is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the west and
west-southwest at a slower forward motion is forecast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next
couple of days. A weakening trend is forecast later this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 031451
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 128.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 128.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 127.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.2N 129.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.1N 130.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.5N 132.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.6N 133.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.4N 134.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 12.9N 134.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 12.2N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 128.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 030837
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

A COMBINATION OF GEOSTATIONARY AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL, BUT WELL-DEFINED,
CIRCULATION WITH A CLUSTER OF CONVECTION JUST TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. VARIOUS SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE
IN THE 25-35 KT RANGE AND HAVE INCREASED SOME SINCE THE LAST
ADVISORY. BASED ON THIS INCREASE, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED
TO 30 KT.

THE CYCLONE IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE
INITIAL MOTION NOW 310/5 KT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE SYSTEM SHOULD CAUSE A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. AFTER THAT, A WESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD TURN IS EXPECTED
AS A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
CYCLONE. THE MAIN CHANGE IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE SINCE THE LAST
ADVISORY IS TO SHOW A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK AFTER 36 H. BASED ON
THIS, THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK
THROUGH 36 H AND THEN LIES SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

WHILE THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING SOME SOUTHEASTERLY
SHEAR, IT IS EMBEDDED IN A MOIST AIR MASS AND OVER WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. INDEED, DURING THE NEXT 48 H THE ENVIRONMENT IS
FAVORABLE ENOUGH THAT THE SHIPS MODEL RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDICES
ARE SHOWING A 25-30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RI. HOWEVER, THE DYNAMICAL
GUIDANCE IS NOT AS BULLISH ON STRENGTHENING. THE FORECAST PEAK
INTENSITY HAS BEEN RAISED TO 55 KT, WHICH LIES BETWEEN THE GFS- AND
ECMWF-BASED SHIPS MODELS ON ONE SIDE AND THE LESS INTENSE DYNAMICAL
MODELS ON THE OTHER. AFTER PEAK INTENSITY, A COMBINATION OF
INCREASING SHEAR, A DRIER AIR MASS, AND UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0900Z 10.2N 127.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 03/1800Z 10.8N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 04/0600Z 11.6N 129.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 06/0600Z 13.7N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 07/0600Z 13.4N 134.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 08/0600Z 12.8N 135.4W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 030836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 AM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...DEPRESSION GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM ON LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.2N 127.4W
ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 10.2 North, longitude 127.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A
slightly faster northwestward to west-northwestward motion is
forecast through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the system is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 030836
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 127.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 127.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 127.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.6N 129.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.7N 133.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 13.4N 134.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 12.8N 135.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 127.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 030411

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 9.7N 126.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 03.06.2026 9.7N 126.5W WEAK
12UTC 03.06.2026 10.5N 127.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.06.2026 11.0N 129.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.06.2026 11.5N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.06.2026 12.2N 131.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.06.2026 12.7N 132.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 12.6N 132.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 12.4N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.2N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.7N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.4N 135.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.2N 136.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.3N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 11.1N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.2N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.4N 101.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 08.06.2026 14.5N 100.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 15.1N 99.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 16.1N 99.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 18.2N 100.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 030411


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 030411

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 03.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 9.7N 126.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 03.06.2026 0 9.7N 126.5W 1007 22
1200UTC 03.06.2026 12 10.5N 127.6W 1006 29
0000UTC 04.06.2026 24 11.0N 129.0W 1007 29
1200UTC 04.06.2026 36 11.5N 130.1W 1007 29
0000UTC 05.06.2026 48 12.2N 131.3W 1008 30
1200UTC 05.06.2026 60 12.7N 132.3W 1008 28
0000UTC 06.06.2026 72 12.6N 132.8W 1008 26
1200UTC 06.06.2026 84 12.4N 133.4W 1007 25
0000UTC 07.06.2026 96 12.2N 134.3W 1007 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 108 11.7N 134.7W 1007 26
0000UTC 08.06.2026 120 11.4N 135.4W 1006 24
1200UTC 08.06.2026 132 11.2N 136.2W 1007 23
0000UTC 09.06.2026 144 11.3N 137.3W 1007 23
1200UTC 09.06.2026 156 11.1N 138.3W 1008 23
0000UTC 10.06.2026 168 11.2N 139.9W 1009 23

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.4N 101.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.06.2026 132 14.5N 100.6W 1003 27
0000UTC 09.06.2026 144 15.1N 99.6W 1002 28
1200UTC 09.06.2026 156 16.1N 99.8W 1003 28
0000UTC 10.06.2026 168 18.2N 100.4W 1001 26


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 030411


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 030231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 PM PDT Tue Jun 02 2026

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.7N 126.8W
ABOUT 1440 MI...2320 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 9.7 North, longitude 126.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A
slightly faster northwestward to west-northwestward motion is
forecast through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the system is expected to become a tropical storm on Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 030231
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

THE SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE EARLIER TODAY. A SMALL AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTING NEAR AND JUST WEST OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION, BUT CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES ARE LIMITED AT THIS
TIME. CIRRUS CLOUD MOTIONS SHOW FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE AREA. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS
HELD AT 25 KT BASED ON A DVORAK CLASSIFICATION OF T1.5 FROM TAFB, AN
ADT ESTIMATE FROM CIMSS, AND OSCAT DATA.

CENTER FIXES INDICATE A SLOW, BUT GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD, MOTION AT
AROUND 310/3 KT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM
SHOULD CAUSE A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT AT A
SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A WESTWARD
TO SOUTHWESTWARD TURN IS FORECAST IN 3-5 DAYS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLIGHT BUILDING OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE CORRECTED CONSENSUS MODEL GUIDANCE, HCCA.

GIVEN THE SEEMINGLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND WARM SSTS, SOME
STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED. HOWEVER, SINCE THE CYCLONE IS EMBEDDED
IN AN ELONGATED CONVERGENCE ZONE, THIS COULD IMPEDE SIGNIFICANT
INTENSIFICATION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS MODEST STRENGTHENING
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHICH IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH HCCA
AND THE HAFS REGIONAL HURRICANE MODELS. LATER IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD
LEAD TO WEAKENING.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0300Z 9.7N 126.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 03/1200Z 10.2N 127.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 04/0000Z 11.1N 128.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 04/1200Z 12.0N 129.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 05/1200Z 13.6N 132.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 06/0000Z 13.9N 133.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 07/0000Z 13.8N 134.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 08/0000Z 13.3N 135.0W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 030230
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 126.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 126.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 126.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.2N 127.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.1N 128.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.6N 132.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.9N 133.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N 134.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 13.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 126.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 022036
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON FORMS
OVER OPEN WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 126.7W
ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 126.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH (6 KM/H), BUT A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THEN, A SLIGHTLY FASTER
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 022037
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE (90E) THAT NHC HAS BEEN MONITORING FOR
DEVELOPMENT HAS SHOWED INCREASED SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION TODAY. AN
AREA OF SHEARED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS OBSERVED TO THE NORTH OF
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, ALONG WITH FRAGMENTED CURVED BANDS OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. SCATTEROMETER WIND DATA
REVEALED THE SYSTEM HAD A CLOSED CIRCULATION, AND ITS DEFINITION HAS
IMPROVED IN RECENT PASSIVE MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES.
BASED ON THESE DEVELOPMENTS, THE NHC IS INITIATING ADVISORIES ON THE
FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2026 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON, WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD (280/3 KT), BUT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE A BIT FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF A STEERING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE BASIN. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST, AND THE OFFICIAL NHC PREDICTION
LIES BETWEEN THE SIMPLE AND CORRECTED-CONSENSUS AIDS. BY DAYS 4-5, A
SLOWDOWN IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE AND
STEERING CURRENTS COLLAPSE. THERE IS INCREASED TRACK SPREAD DURING
THIS PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOST MODELS GENERALLY SHOW A SLOW WESTWARD OR
SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT, WHICH IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

WARM SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 DEG C AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OR SO. HOWEVER,
EASTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BY LATE WEEK, WHICH WILL
LIKELY LIMIT THE EXTENT OF STRENGTHENING THAT OCCURS. THE OFFICIAL
NHC FORECAST SHOWS THE SYSTEM REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY
WEDNESDAY, WITH A PEAK INTENSITY IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE HCCA
CONSENSUS AID AND THE HAFS MODELS. A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST BY
THIS WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A DRIER AND MORE STABLE
MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER COOLER SSTS, AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
SYSTEM COULD BECOME DEVOID OF CONVECTION BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 9.4N 126.7W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 9.9N 127.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 10.6N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 05/1800Z 13.7N 133.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 06/1800Z 13.7N 134.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 07/1800Z 13.0N 135.5W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 022036
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC TUE JUN 02 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 126.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 9.9N 127.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.6N 128.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.7N 133.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 13.7N 134.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 13.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 126.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=