Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-26
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 080414

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 08.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 99.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 08.06.2026 0 15.5N 99.8W 1004 27
1200UTC 08.06.2026 12 14.9N 99.8W 1004 32
0000UTC 09.06.2026 24 15.1N 99.2W 1004 26
1200UTC 09.06.2026 36 15.9N 99.2W 1007 28
0000UTC 10.06.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.2N 136.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 08.06.2026 0 11.2N 136.1W 1006 25
1200UTC 08.06.2026 12 11.1N 137.4W 1006 25
0000UTC 09.06.2026 24 10.8N 138.5W 1007 25
1200UTC 09.06.2026 36 10.6N 140.0W 1008 24
0000UTC 10.06.2026 48 10.4N 141.5W 1009 24
1200UTC 10.06.2026 60 10.2N 142.9W 1008 23
0000UTC 11.06.2026 72 10.1N 143.9W 1008 21
1200UTC 11.06.2026 84 9.9N 144.5W 1006 21
0000UTC 12.06.2026 96 10.0N 144.5W 1006 20
1200UTC 12.06.2026 108 9.7N 143.9W 1005 20
0000UTC 13.06.2026 120 9.2N 143.4W 1005 21
1200UTC 13.06.2026 132 9.2N 142.5W 1005 21
0000UTC 14.06.2026 144 9.3N 142.5W 1005 20
1200UTC 14.06.2026 156 9.1N 142.8W 1005 19
0000UTC 15.06.2026 168 9.1N 143.4W 1005 19

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.0N 86.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.06.2026 12 11.0N 86.7W 1007 37
0000UTC 09.06.2026 24 11.3N 86.7W 1004 38
1200UTC 09.06.2026 36 11.2N 86.5W 1007 32
0000UTC 10.06.2026 48 10.9N 86.9W 1006 32
1200UTC 10.06.2026 60 11.0N 87.6W 1007 24
0000UTC 11.06.2026 72 11.5N 88.4W 1006 27
1200UTC 11.06.2026 84 12.6N 89.1W 1006 29
0000UTC 12.06.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 080414


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 080414

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 99.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 08.06.2026 15.5N 99.8W WEAK
12UTC 08.06.2026 14.9N 99.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 15.1N 99.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 15.9N 99.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.2N 136.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.2N 136.1W WEAK
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.1N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 10.8N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 10.6N 140.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.4N 141.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 10.2N 142.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 10.1N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 9.9N 144.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 10.0N 144.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 9.7N 143.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 13.06.2026 9.2N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 13.06.2026 9.2N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 14.06.2026 9.3N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 14.06.2026 9.1N 142.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 15.06.2026 9.1N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.0N 86.7W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.0N 86.7W WEAK
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.3N 86.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 11.2N 86.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.9N 86.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 11.0N 87.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 11.5N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 12.6N 89.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 080414


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 080400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 11.3N 136.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 136.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 11.1N 136.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 10.8N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 10.5N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.3N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 10.1N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
080400Z POSITION NEAR 11.2N 136.3W.
08JUN26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1212 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
080000Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 12
FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (TWO-E) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 080233
TCDEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 PM HST SUN JUN 07 2026

ORGANIZED CONVECTION SURROUNDING AMANDA HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED
TODAY, AND ONLY A COUPLE OF SMALL CELLS REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. PREVAILING WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING
MID-LEVEL DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT HAVE TAKEN THEIR TOLL ON AMANDA, AND
THE SYSTEM NO LONGER HAS ENOUGH ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO BE
CONSIDERED A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THUS, THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY OF
AMANDA AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 25 KT.
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE
ANY ADDITIONAL RETURN OF DEEP CONVECTION AND THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD
GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATING AROUND MID-WEEK.

THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AROUND 5 KT, AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD
AND LIES BETWEEN HCCA AND VARIOUS OTHER CONSENSUS AIDS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT
OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0300Z 11.3N 136.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 08/1200Z 11.1N 136.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 09/0000Z 10.8N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 09/1200Z 10.5N 139.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 10/0000Z 10.3N 140.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 10/1200Z 10.1N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 080232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Amanda Advisory Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
500 PM HST Sun Jun 07 2026

...AMANDA DEGENERATES TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 136.3W
ABOUT 1375 MI...2215 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Amanda
was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 136.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h)
and this motion is generally expected to continue over the next
several days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts. The post-tropical remnant low of Amanda is forecast to
dissipate by mid-week.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 080231
TCMEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC MON JUN 08 2026

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 136.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 136.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 136.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.1N 136.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.8N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.5N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 10.3N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 10.1N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 136.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 072200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 11.4N 135.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N 135.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 11.1N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 10.8N 137.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 10.5N 138.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 10.2N 139.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.0N 140.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 9.7N 141.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
072200Z POSITION NEAR 11.3N 135.8W.
07JUN26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1236 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071800Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080400Z, 081000Z, 081600Z AND 082200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 02E (TWO-E) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 072034
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1100 AM HST SUN JUN 07 2026

...AMANDA FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LATER
TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 135.7W
ABOUT 1415 MI...2275 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 135.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H)
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT
AND DISSIPATION IN A FEW DAYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 072035
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1100 AM HST SUN JUN 07 2026

THIS MORNING'S IMPRESSIVE BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AMANDA'S
SURFACE CENTER HAS QUICKLY DISSIPATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, AND
A COUPLE OF SMALL CELLS IN THE NW PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION ARE ALL
THAT REMAINS OF ITS CLOUD PATTERN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
GENEROUSLY HELD AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. PERSISTENT
EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND A DRY MID-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD CAUSE A GRADUAL SPIN-DOWN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD,
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE CYCLONE REMAINS OVER WARM WATERS. THE
WARM OCEAN, ON THE OTHER HAND, WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO AMANDA
PRODUCING INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS,
BUT WILL LACK SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THEREFORE, AMANDA
SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT.

AMANDA'S INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, 245/4
KT, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE
REMNANTS OF THE CYCLONE DISSIPATE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. THE
NHC FORECAST LIES NEAR THE LATEST GOOGLE DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN, THE
ECMWF/GFS BLEND, AND THE HCCA MULTI-MODEL CORRECTED CONSENSUS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/2100Z 11.3N 135.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 09/1800Z 10.2N 139.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 10/0600Z 10.0N 140.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 10/1800Z 9.7N 141.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 072033
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC SUN JUN 07 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 135.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 135.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 135.5W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 10.2N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 10.0N 140.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 9.7N 141.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 135.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 071600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 11.6N 135.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 135.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 11.2N 136.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 10.9N 137.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 10.6N 137.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 10.2N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 9.9N 140.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 9.7N 141.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
071600Z POSITION NEAR 11.5N 135.5W.
07JUN26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1247 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 071200Z IS
1007 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 072200Z, 080400Z, 081000Z AND 081600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (TWO-E) WARNINGS (WTPN 32 PHNC) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 071446
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 AM HST SUN JUN 07 2026

ALTHOUGH AMANDA'S CIRCULATION ONCE AGAIN BECAME EXPOSED TO THE
EAST OF THE SHEARED CLOUD PATTERN OVERNIGHT, DEEP CONVECTION HAS
REDEVELOPED OVER THE SURFACE CENTER. RECENT METOP-A/B SCATTEROMETER
OVERPASSES INDICATED JUST A FEW 30 KT WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST
QUADRANT, AND THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS
DEFINED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY
AND AGREES WITH TAFB'S DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE.

AMANDA IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KT IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW
THROUGH AN INCREASINGLY DRY/STABLE AND SHEARED SURROUNDING
ENVIRONMENT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND AMANDA SHOULD CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH THE
PERIOD. ALTHOUGH OCEANIC SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG AMANDA'S PATH
ARE WARM (27-28C), FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE
INHIBITING ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THE GLOBAL MODEL SIMULATED/IR
FORECASTS FROM BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE THAT AMANDA WILL LOSE
ORGANIZED CONVECTION SOON, AND THE NHC FORECAST FOLLOWS SUIT WITH
THE CYCLONE DEGENERATING INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/1500Z 11.5N 135.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 08/0000Z 11.2N 136.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 08/1200Z 10.9N 137.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 09/0000Z 10.6N 137.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 09/1200Z 10.2N 139.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 10/0000Z 9.9N 140.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 10/1200Z 9.7N 141.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 071444
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Amanda Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
500 AM HST Sun Jun 07 2026

...AMANDA FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SOON...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 135.4W
ABOUT 1425 MI...2295 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Amanda
was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 135.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and
turn toward the west-southwest is expected today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Amanda is expected to become a post-tropical remnant low by tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 071437
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC SUN JUN 07 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 135.4W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 135.4W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 135.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.2N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 10.9N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.6N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.2N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 9.9N 140.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 9.7N 141.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 135.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 070834
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Amanda Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
1100 PM HST Sat Jun 06 2026

...AMANDA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 135.1W
ABOUT 1440 MI...2315 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 210 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Amanda
was located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 135.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the south-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).
A gradual turn toward the west-southwest is expected Sunday or
Sunday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Amanda is expected to continue weakening and become a remnant low by
late Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 070836
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1100 PM HST SAT JUN 06 2026

AMANDA REMAINS A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE AND IS QUICKLY ON
THE PATH TO BECOMING A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW. CONVECTION HAS
REMAINED SPORADIC AND CONFINED PRIMARILY TO THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE
DUE TO PERSISTENT EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DRY MID-LEVEL AIR. AN
OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER PASS SAMPLED WINDS UP TO 29 KT NORTHWEST OF
THE CENTER, WHICH ALIGNS WITH THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES
FROM TAFB AND OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS. BASED ON
THESE DATA, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, OR 210/3 KT. A LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED NORTH OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
RESULTING IN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
DAY SUNDAY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED, AND THE
NHC FORECAST TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

PERSISTENT EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DRY MID-LEVEL AIR ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIMITING ORGANIZATION, DESPITE THE WARM SSTS
ALONG THE TRACK. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND AMANDA IS
EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR A FEW DAYS
BEFORE DISSIPATING.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0900Z 11.7N 135.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 07/1800Z 11.4N 135.6W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 09/1800Z 10.2N 139.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 10/0600Z 9.9N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 070834
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC SUN JUN 07 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 135.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 210 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 135.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 135.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.4N 135.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 10.2N 139.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 9.9N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 135.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 070410

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 07.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 134.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 07.06.2026 0 12.3N 134.7W 1007 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 12 11.8N 135.3W 1006 27
0000UTC 08.06.2026 24 11.5N 136.4W 1006 23
1200UTC 08.06.2026 36 11.2N 137.4W 1006 23
0000UTC 09.06.2026 48 10.7N 138.6W 1007 24
1200UTC 09.06.2026 60 10.3N 140.2W 1008 21
0000UTC 10.06.2026 72 10.0N 141.9W 1009 22
1200UTC 10.06.2026 84 9.8N 143.6W 1009 21
0000UTC 11.06.2026 96 9.5N 145.1W 1009 21
1200UTC 11.06.2026 108 9.4N 146.0W 1007 20
0000UTC 12.06.2026 120 9.4N 146.4W 1007 20
1200UTC 12.06.2026 132 8.8N 146.3W 1007 20
0000UTC 13.06.2026 144 8.3N 146.0W 1006 20
1200UTC 13.06.2026 156 8.0N 145.8W 1006 20
0000UTC 14.06.2026 168 7.7N 145.5W 1006 18

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.1N 100.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.06.2026 12 14.1N 100.8W 1004 26
0000UTC 08.06.2026 24 14.8N 100.5W 1002 29
1200UTC 08.06.2026 36 15.3N 100.1W 1003 31
0000UTC 09.06.2026 48 16.0N 100.5W 1004 27
1200UTC 09.06.2026 60 16.7N 101.5W 1006 29
0000UTC 10.06.2026 72 18.5N 100.8W 1004 19
1200UTC 10.06.2026 84 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.4N 87.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 09.06.2026 60 11.4N 87.9W 1006 33
0000UTC 10.06.2026 72 11.1N 88.0W 1003 36
1200UTC 10.06.2026 84 11.4N 88.5W 1002 32
0000UTC 11.06.2026 96 12.0N 89.1W 1000 40
1200UTC 11.06.2026 108 13.0N 90.2W 1001 37
0000UTC 12.06.2026 120 14.3N 91.4W 1003 32
1200UTC 12.06.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 070409


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 070409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 134.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.3N 134.7W WEAK
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.8N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.5N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.2N 137.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 10.7N 138.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 10.3N 140.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.0N 141.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 9.8N 143.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 9.5N 145.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 9.4N 146.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 9.4N 146.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 8.8N 146.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 13.06.2026 8.3N 146.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 13.06.2026 8.0N 145.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 14.06.2026 7.7N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 14.1N 100.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 07.06.2026 14.1N 100.8W WEAK
00UTC 08.06.2026 14.8N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 15.3N 100.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 16.0N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 16.7N 101.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 18.5N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.4N 87.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 09.06.2026 11.4N 87.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.1N 88.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 11.4N 88.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 12.0N 89.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 13.0N 90.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 14.3N 91.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 070409


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 070400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 12.2N 134.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N 134.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 11.7N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 11.3N 135.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 11.0N 136.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 10.8N 137.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 10.5N 138.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.2N 139.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 9.7N 141.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
070400Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 134.9W.
07JUN26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1253 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 070000Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
071000Z, 071600Z, 072200Z AND 080400Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 070236
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 PM HST SAT JUN 06 2026

AMANDA IS QUICKLY ON THE PATH TO BECOMING A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT
LOW. DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED SPORADIC AND CONFINED PRIMARILY TO
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO PERSISTENT EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR
AND DRY MID-LEVEL AIR. ADDITIONALLY, THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS DEFINED WITHIN A BROAD LOW-CLOUD SWIRL.
A RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS SAMPLED WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT NORTH OF
THE CENTER, WHICH ALIGNS WITH THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES
FROM TAFB AND OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS. BASED ON
THESE DATA, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST, OR 215/3 KT. A LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED NORTH OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
RESULTING IN A CONTINUED SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION.
THE LATEST GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED, AND THE NHC FORECAST
TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

PERSISTENT EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DRY MID-LEVEL AIR
ENTRAINMENT WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION, DESPITE
THE WARM SSTS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
FROM THE DYNAMICAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREES IN SHOWING ONLY
OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION. THEREFORE, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS
FORECAST, AND AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION SHOULD PERSIST
FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL DAYS BEFORE DISSIPATING BY THURSDAY.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0300Z 12.1N 134.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 07/1200Z 11.7N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 08/0000Z 11.3N 135.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 08/1200Z 11.0N 136.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 09/0000Z 10.8N 137.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 09/1200Z 10.5N 138.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 10/0000Z 10.2N 139.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 11/0000Z 9.7N 141.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 070234
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Amanda Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
500 PM HST Sat Jun 06 2026

...AMANDA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.1N 134.9W
ABOUT 1440 MI...2315 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Amanda
was located near latitude 12.1 North, longitude 134.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday, followed
by a turn toward the west-southwest Sunday night or Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Amanda is expected to continue weakening and become a remnant low by
late Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 070234
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC SUN JUN 07 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 134.9W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 134.9W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 134.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.7N 135.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.3N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.0N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.8N 137.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.5N 138.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 10.2N 139.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 9.7N 141.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 134.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 062200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 017
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 01E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z --- NEAR 12.4N 134.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 134.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 11.9N 134.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.4N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 11.1N 136.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 10.9N 136.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 10.7N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 10.4N 139.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 9.8N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
062200Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 134.7W.
06JUN26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1259 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061800Z IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
070400Z, 071000Z, 071600Z AND 072200Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 062033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Amanda Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
1100 AM HST Sat Jun 06 2026

...AMANDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 134.7W
ABOUT 1445 MI...2325 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Amanda
was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 134.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday, followed
by a turn toward the west-southwest Sunday night or Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast through the
weekend, and Amanda is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by
late Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 062034
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1100 AM HST SAT JUN 06 2026

SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING, DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AMANDA HAS
WEAKENED AND SEPARATED FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DUE TO EAST-
SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE SYSTEM BECOMING A
SWIRL OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. A TIMELY 1737 UTC ASCAT-B
OVERPASS REVEALED A PEAK WIND OF 27 KT. THEREFORE, THE INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO POSSIBLY GENEROUS 30 KT.

CONTINUED EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND A DRY MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
DESPITE THE SYSTEM REMAINING OVER SSTS OF 27-28C. THOSE WARM
WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE SYSTEM PRODUCING INTERMITTENT
BURSTS OF CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, BUT THEY ARE LIKELY
TO BECOME LESS AND LESS ORGANIZED, RESULTING IN AMANDA BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IN 36-48 HOURS.

AMANDA IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OR 215/4 KT. A HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE SHOULD STEER IT SOUTHWESTWARD OR
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE NHC FORECAST
LIES NEAR THE LATEST GOOGLE DEEP MIND ENSEMBLE MEAN AND HCCA
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/2100Z 12.3N 134.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 07/0600Z 11.9N 134.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 07/1800Z 11.4N 135.2W 25 KT 30 MPH
36H 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/1800Z 10.9N 136.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 09/0600Z 10.7N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 09/1800Z 10.4N 139.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 10/1800Z 9.8N 141.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 062033
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC SAT JUN 06 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 134.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 134.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 134.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 11.9N 134.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.4N 135.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 10.9N 136.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 10.7N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 10.4N 139.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 9.8N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 134.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 061612

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N 135.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 06.06.2026 12.6N 135.0W WEAK
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.3N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.9N 135.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.7N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.3N 137.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.0N 138.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 10.6N 139.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.3N 141.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 10.2N 142.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 10.1N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 9.7N 144.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 9.4N 144.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 9.1N 143.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 13.06.2026 8.9N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 13.06.2026 8.5N 143.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 11.9N 88.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.9N 88.8W WEAK
12UTC 10.06.2026 12.2N 89.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 12.8N 90.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 13.6N 91.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 14.7N 93.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 15.3N 93.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 13.06.2026 16.0N 94.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 13.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 061612


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 061612

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 06.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.6N 135.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 06.06.2026 0 12.6N 135.0W 1004 36
0000UTC 07.06.2026 12 12.3N 135.2W 1004 31
1200UTC 07.06.2026 24 11.9N 135.6W 1004 31
0000UTC 08.06.2026 36 11.7N 136.3W 1004 27
1200UTC 08.06.2026 48 11.3N 137.1W 1005 25
0000UTC 09.06.2026 60 11.0N 138.0W 1006 25
1200UTC 09.06.2026 72 10.6N 139.5W 1007 23
0000UTC 10.06.2026 84 10.3N 141.0W 1008 24
1200UTC 10.06.2026 96 10.2N 142.4W 1008 21
0000UTC 11.06.2026 108 10.1N 143.4W 1008 22
1200UTC 11.06.2026 120 9.7N 144.1W 1007 20
0000UTC 12.06.2026 132 9.4N 144.2W 1006 20
1200UTC 12.06.2026 144 9.1N 143.8W 1006 19
0000UTC 13.06.2026 156 8.9N 143.4W 1005 19
1200UTC 13.06.2026 168 8.5N 143.3W 1005 19

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 11.9N 88.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 10.06.2026 84 11.9N 88.8W 1006 28
1200UTC 10.06.2026 96 12.2N 89.6W 1005 31
0000UTC 11.06.2026 108 12.8N 90.6W 1003 30
1200UTC 11.06.2026 120 13.6N 91.8W 1003 29
0000UTC 12.06.2026 132 14.7N 93.0W 1001 31
1200UTC 12.06.2026 144 15.3N 93.9W 1001 41
0000UTC 13.06.2026 156 16.0N 94.2W 1005 29
1200UTC 13.06.2026 168 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 061612


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 061600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z --- NEAR 12.6N 134.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 134.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 12.2N 135.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 11.6N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 11.2N 135.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 11.0N 136.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 10.8N 137.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 10.6N 138.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 9.9N 141.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 9.3N 142.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
061600Z POSITION NEAR 12.5N 134.8W.
06JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1249
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 061200Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
062200Z, 070400Z, 071000Z AND 071600Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 061502
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 AM HST SAT JUN 06 2026

THIS MORNING'S SATELLITE PRESENTATION CONSISTS OF A SHEARED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A RECENT COLD CLOUD TOP (-77C) BURST OF DEEP
CONVECTION JUST WEST OF AMANDA'S SURFACE CENTER. A 0902 UTC
OCEANSAT-3 SCATTEROMETER OVERPASS REVEALED ONLY A COUPLE OF 35 KT
WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT WITH WINDS BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CYCLONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE WIND
RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT
35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH THE OCEANIC SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ARE WARM (27-28C), UNDERCUTTING EASTERLY SHEAR, A SURROUNDING
DRY/STABLE AIR MASS, AND UPPER-LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW SHOULD INHIBIT
ANY CHANCE OF STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE PERIOD. SUBSEQUENTLY,
GLOBAL MODEL-SIMULATED/IR SATELLITE FORECASTS INDICATE THAT AMANDA
WILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE SURFACE
CENTER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK; HOWEVER, THE CLOUD PATTERN SHOULD
LACK ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE, AMANDA IS PREDICTED TO
DEGENERATE INTO A VERTICALLY SHALLOW REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY IN
AGREEMENT WITH THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE SOUTHWEST, OR 215/4 KT.
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF AMANDA SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH MID-NEXT WEEK. THE
NHC FORECAST LIES NEAR THE GFS AND ECMWF SIMPLE CONSENSUS, THE HCCA
CORRECTED-CONSENSUS, AND THE GDM FNV3 ENSEMBLE MEAN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/1500Z 12.5N 134.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 07/1200Z 11.6N 135.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 08/0000Z 11.2N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/1200Z 11.0N 136.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 09/0000Z 10.8N 137.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 09/1200Z 10.6N 138.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 10/1200Z 9.9N 141.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 11/1200Z 9.3N 142.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 061459
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
500 AM HST Sat Jun 06 2026

...AMANDA REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 134.6W
ABOUT 1435 MI...2310 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 134.6 West. Amanda is
moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through the weekend followed by a
gradual turn toward the west-southwest by early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast through the weekend, and Amanda is
expected to degenerate into a remnant low by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 061459
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 134.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 134.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 134.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.6N 135.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.2N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.0N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.8N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.6N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 9.9N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 9.3N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 134.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 061436
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 AM HST SAT JUN 06 2026

THIS MORNING'S SATELLITE PRESENTATION CONSISTS OF A SHEARED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A RECENT COLD CLOUD TOP (-77C) BURST OF DEEP
CONVECTION JUST WEST OF AMANDA'S SURFACE CENTER. A 0902 UTC
OCEANSAT-3 SCATTEROMETER OVERPASS REVEALED ONLY A COUPLE OF 35 KT
WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT WITH WINDS BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CYCLONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE WIND
RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT
35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH THE OCEANIC SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ARE WARM (27-28C), UNDERCUTTING EASTERLY SHEAR, A SURROUNDING
DRY/STABLE AIR MASS, AND UPPER-LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW SHOULD INHIBIT
ANY CHANCE OF STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE PERIOD. SUBSEQUENTLY,
GLOBAL MODEL-SIMULATED/IR SATELLITE FORECASTS INDICATE THAT AMANDA
WILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE SURFACE
CENTER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK; HOWEVER, THE CLOUD PATTERN SHOULD
LACK ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE, AMANDA IS PREDICTED TO
DEGENERATE INTO A VERTICALLY SHALLOW REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY IN
AGREEMENT WITH THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE SOUTHWEST, OR 225/4 KT.
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF AMANDA SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGH MID-NEXT WEEK. THE
NHC FORECAST LIES NEAR THE GFS AND ECMWF SIMPLE CONSENSUS, THE HCCA
CORRECTED-CONSENSUS, AND THE GDM FNV3 ENSEMBLE MEAN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/1500Z 12.5N 134.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 07/1200Z 11.6N 135.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 08/0000Z 11.2N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/1200Z 11.0N 136.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 09/0000Z 10.8N 137.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 09/1200Z 10.6N 138.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 10/1200Z 9.9N 141.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 11/1200Z 9.3N 142.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 061435
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
500 AM HST Sat Jun 06 2026

...AMANDA REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 134.8W
ABOUT 1435 MI...2310 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 134.8 West. Amanda is
moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through the weekend followed by a
gradual turn toward the west-southwest by early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast through the weekend, and Amanda is
expected to degenerate into a remnant low by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 061435
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 134.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 134.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.6N 135.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.2N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.0N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.8N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 10.6N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 9.9N 141.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 9.3N 142.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 134.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 061000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 134.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 134.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.4N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.0N 135.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.4N 136.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 11.0N 136.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 10.8N 137.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 10.5N 138.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.0N 140.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 9.3N 143.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
061000Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 134.8W.
06JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1250
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060600Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
061600Z, 062200Z, 070400Z AND 071000Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 060836
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1100 PM HST FRI JUN 05 2026

AMANDA'S OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES OVER AND WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER DUE TO THE PERSISTENT MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY
SHEAR. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND OBJECTIVE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS RANGE FROM 35 TO 40 KT. GIVEN THE CURRENT
SATELLITE PRESENTATION AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST,
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 35 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST, OR 230/4 KT. A LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM, RESULTING IN CONTINUED SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS AMANDA GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND BECOMES
INCREASINGLY SHALLOW, IT SHOULD BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL
TRADE WIND FLOW. THE LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED, AND THE NHC FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED FROM
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR, DRY-AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND INCREASING
UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIMITING CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION. SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE DYNAMICAL MODELS
GENERALLY AGREES, SHOWING ONLY OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS NEAR
THE CONSENSUS GUIDANCE AND CONTINUES TO SHOW AMANDA STEADILY
WEAKENING OVER THE WEEKEND, THEN DEGENERATING INTO A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW LATE SUNDAY.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0900Z 12.7N 134.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 06/1800Z 12.4N 135.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 07/0600Z 12.0N 135.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 07/1800Z 11.4N 136.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 08/0600Z 11.0N 136.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 10/0600Z 10.0N 140.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 11/0600Z 9.3N 143.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 060833
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
1100 PM HST Fri Jun 05 2026

...AMANDA HOLDING STEADY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 134.7W
ABOUT 1435 MI...2310 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 134.7 West. Amanda is
moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast through the weekend, and Amanda is
expected to degenerate into a remnant low late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 060833
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC SAT JUN 06 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 134.7W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 134.7W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 134.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.4N 135.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.4N 136.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.0N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 10.0N 140.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 9.3N 143.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 134.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 060410

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 134.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.0N 134.3W WEAK
12UTC 06.06.2026 12.6N 134.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.3N 135.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.8N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.4N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.1N 137.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 10.8N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 10.5N 139.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.3N 141.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 10.1N 143.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 9.9N 144.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 9.4N 145.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 9.0N 146.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 8.4N 145.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 13.06.2026 7.8N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.7N 102.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 07.06.2026 14.7N 102.6W WEAK
00UTC 08.06.2026 15.6N 101.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 16.1N 101.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 18.3N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 11.5N 88.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 09.06.2026 12.2N 88.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.9N 89.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 12.5N 90.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 13.3N 91.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 13.9N 92.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 14.7N 93.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 14.7N 94.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 13.06.2026 14.9N 95.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 060410


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 060410

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 06.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 134.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 06.06.2026 0 13.0N 134.3W 1006 30
1200UTC 06.06.2026 12 12.6N 134.6W 1006 29
0000UTC 07.06.2026 24 12.3N 135.0W 1006 28
1200UTC 07.06.2026 36 11.8N 135.5W 1005 28
0000UTC 08.06.2026 48 11.4N 136.3W 1005 25
1200UTC 08.06.2026 60 11.1N 137.2W 1006 24
0000UTC 09.06.2026 72 10.8N 138.3W 1007 25
1200UTC 09.06.2026 84 10.5N 139.8W 1007 24
0000UTC 10.06.2026 96 10.3N 141.6W 1008 24
1200UTC 10.06.2026 108 10.1N 143.3W 1009 21
0000UTC 11.06.2026 120 9.9N 144.6W 1008 22
1200UTC 11.06.2026 132 9.4N 145.8W 1007 20
0000UTC 12.06.2026 144 9.0N 146.2W 1007 19
1200UTC 12.06.2026 156 8.4N 145.6W 1006 19
0000UTC 13.06.2026 168 7.8N 144.8W 1005 21

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.7N 102.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.06.2026 36 14.7N 102.6W 1003 28
0000UTC 08.06.2026 48 15.6N 101.6W 1003 24
1200UTC 08.06.2026 60 16.1N 101.7W 1004 29
0000UTC 09.06.2026 72 18.3N 100.8W 1004 25
1200UTC 09.06.2026 84 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 11.5N 88.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 09.06.2026 84 12.2N 88.4W 1006 32
0000UTC 10.06.2026 96 11.9N 89.3W 1004 33
1200UTC 10.06.2026 108 12.5N 90.0W 1002 38
0000UTC 11.06.2026 120 13.3N 91.0W 998 46
1200UTC 11.06.2026 132 13.9N 92.4W 999 37
0000UTC 12.06.2026 144 14.7N 93.4W 1000 42
1200UTC 12.06.2026 156 14.7N 94.8W 1000 38
0000UTC 13.06.2026 168 14.9N 95.0W 1000 39


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 060410


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 060400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z --- NEAR 13.0N 134.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N 134.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 12.7N 134.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 12.2N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 11.8N 135.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 11.4N 136.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 11.0N 137.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 10.7N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.4N 139.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 10.1N 141.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
060400Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 134.3W.
06JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1267
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060000Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
061000Z, 061600Z, 062200Z AND 070400Z.//
NNNN


0000430000
00001


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 060235
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 PM HST FRI JUN 05 2026

AMANDA HAS PRODUCED A MODEST INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS, WITH CLOUD-TOP TEMPERATURES COOLING TO AROUND -80C.
HOWEVER, THIS RENEWED BURST OF CONVECTION REMAINS CONFINED PRIMARILY
TO THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE, WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
LOCATED NEAR OR BENEATH THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.
SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB, ALONG WITH OBJECTIVE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS, RANGE FROM 35 TO 40 KT. GIVEN THE
RECENT INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND THESE ESTIMATES, THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS HELD AT 35 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST, OR 230/4 KT. A LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING NORTH OF THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
STEER AMANDA GENERALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS
THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND BECOMES INCREASINGLY SHALLOW, IT SHOULD
BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW, RESULTING IN A
CONTINUED SOUTH-OF-WEST MOTION DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE
LATEST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, AND THE NHC
FORECAST TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND LIES
NEAR THE CONSENSUS AIDS.

PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR, INCREASING DRY-AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND
INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE LIMITING
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. WHILE SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS SUGGESTS OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, THESE EPISODES ARE UNLIKELY
TO RESULT IN ANY SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION. AS AMANDA GRADUALLY
CONTINUES SOUTHWESTWARD AND BECOMES INCREASINGLY SHALLOW, STEADY
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS NEAR THE
CONSENSUS GUIDANCE AND CONTINUES TO SHOW AMANDA DEGENERATING INTO A
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 12.9N 134.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 12.7N 134.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 07/0000Z 12.2N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 07/1200Z 11.8N 135.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 08/0000Z 11.4N 136.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 08/1200Z 11.0N 137.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 09/0000Z 10.7N 138.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 10/0000Z 10.4N 139.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 11/0000Z 10.1N 141.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 060232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
500 PM HST Fri Jun 05 2026

...AMANDA HOLDING STEADY ON A SOUTHWEST TRACK...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.9N 134.3W
ABOUT 1740 MI...2805 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 134.3 West. Amanda is
moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast on Saturday, and Amanda is expected
to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 060232
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC SAT JUN 06 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 134.3W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 15NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 134.3W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 134.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.7N 134.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.2N 135.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.8N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.4N 136.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 10.7N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 10.4N 139.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 10.1N 141.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 134.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 052200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051800Z --- NEAR 13.2N 133.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 133.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 12.9N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.5N 134.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.1N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.6N 135.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 11.3N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 11.0N 137.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 10.7N 139.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 10.5N 140.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
052200Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 134.0W.
05JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1285
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051800Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
060400Z, 061000Z, 061600Z AND 062200Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 052035
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
1100 AM HST Fri Jun 05 2026

...AMANDA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 134.1W
ABOUT 1725 MI...2775 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 134.1 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the
west-southwest is expected today, followed by a southwestward motion
by Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is expected through
this weekend, and Amanda is forecast to degenerate into a remnant
low on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Adams/Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 052036
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1100 AM HST FRI JUN 05 2026

RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED CENTER
WITH ONLY A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION PRESENT TO THE WEST OF THE
CENTER. A SAR SATELLITE PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED AN
OBLONG CIRCULATION AND A DEGRADED STRUCTURE ON THE EAST SIDE
OF AMANDA. DUE TO THESE FACTORS AND OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 32-36 KT, THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 35 KT.

SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND MID-LEVEL DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ARE IMPACTING
AMANDA. SMALL PULSES OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW AMANDA TO MAINTAIN TROPICAL
CYCLONE STATUS. HOWEVER, INCREASINGLY HOSTILE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHOULD CAUSE
AMANDA TO DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY LATE
SUNDAY.

AMANDA IS BEING STEERED BY A LARGE-SCALE RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE
STORM, AND IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST AROUND 4 KT. A TURN
TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AS UPPER-LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST
HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD AND LIES BETWEEN THE GOOGLE
DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS CONSENSUS AIDS. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE REMNANT
LOW OF AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST, GUIDED BY THE
LOW-LEVEL TRADE WINDS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/2100Z 13.1N 134.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 12.9N 134.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 12.5N 134.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 12.1N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 11.6N 135.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 08/0600Z 11.3N 136.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 08/1800Z 11.0N 137.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 09/1800Z 10.7N 139.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 10/1800Z 10.5N 140.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 052034
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 134.1W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 15SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 134.1W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 133.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 134.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.5N 134.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.1N 135.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.6N 135.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.3N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 11.0N 137.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 10.7N 139.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 10.5N 140.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 134.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN=


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 051613

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 05.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 133.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 05.06.2026 0 13.3N 133.2W 1006 34
0000UTC 06.06.2026 12 13.3N 134.1W 1007 28
1200UTC 06.06.2026 24 12.8N 134.7W 1007 28
0000UTC 07.06.2026 36 12.5N 135.2W 1007 28
1200UTC 07.06.2026 48 11.9N 135.7W 1007 24
0000UTC 08.06.2026 60 11.6N 136.3W 1006 24
1200UTC 08.06.2026 72 11.2N 137.1W 1007 24
0000UTC 09.06.2026 84 11.1N 138.2W 1007 23
1200UTC 09.06.2026 96 10.9N 139.7W 1008 24
0000UTC 10.06.2026 108 10.9N 141.6W 1009 24
1200UTC 10.06.2026 120 10.7N 143.4W 1009 22
0000UTC 11.06.2026 132 10.4N 144.5W 1009 21
1200UTC 11.06.2026 144 10.3N 145.5W 1008 21
0000UTC 12.06.2026 156 9.9N 145.8W 1008 18
1200UTC 12.06.2026 168 9.4N 145.7W 1007 19

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.9N 102.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 08.06.2026 60 15.3N 101.8W 1003 25
1200UTC 08.06.2026 72 15.2N 101.3W 1004 28
0000UTC 09.06.2026 84 15.4N 100.7W 1005 23
1200UTC 09.06.2026 96 16.0N 101.3W 1006 28
0000UTC 10.06.2026 108 18.2N 100.5W 1003 27
1200UTC 10.06.2026 120 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.8N 88.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 09.06.2026 96 12.5N 89.3W 1007 34
0000UTC 10.06.2026 108 13.0N 90.6W 1004 34
1200UTC 10.06.2026 120 13.6N 91.5W 1001 38
0000UTC 11.06.2026 132 14.8N 93.1W 1003 30
1200UTC 11.06.2026 144 15.8N 94.8W 1004 27
0000UTC 12.06.2026 156 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 051613


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 051613

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 133.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 05.06.2026 13.3N 133.2W WEAK
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.3N 134.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 12.8N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.5N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.9N 135.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.6N 136.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.2N 137.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.1N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 10.9N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.9N 141.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 10.7N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 10.4N 144.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 10.3N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 9.9N 145.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 12.06.2026 9.4N 145.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.9N 102.0W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 08.06.2026 15.3N 101.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 08.06.2026 15.2N 101.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 15.4N 100.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 16.0N 101.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 18.2N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.8N 88.6W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 09.06.2026 12.5N 89.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 13.0N 90.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 13.6N 91.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 14.8N 93.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 15.8N 94.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 051613


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 051600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 13.3N 133.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N 133.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 13.1N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 12.8N 134.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 12.3N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 11.8N 135.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 11.4N 136.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 11.1N 137.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 10.8N 139.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 10.6N 140.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
051600Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 133.7W.
05JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1305
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 051200Z IS 1004 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 052200Z, 060400Z, 061000Z AND 061600Z.//
NNNN


0000471300
00001


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 051446
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 AM HST FRI JUN 05 2026

AN AMSR2 SATELLITE PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER, BUT PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO
IMPACT AMANDA AS THE CENTER REMAINS ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE
CONVECTION. OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES
RANGE FROM 35-44 KT AND EARLIER ASCAT DATA DEPICTED PEAK WINDS OF
38-42 KT, SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 40 KT.

CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AMANDA HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. DIURNAL PULSES OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW AMANDA TO MAINTAIN TROPICAL
CYCLONE STATUS. HOWEVER, THE STORM WILL ENCOUNTER DRIER MID-LEVEL
AIR AND INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER THE NEXT 36-48 H.
THEREFORE, SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE INCREASINGLY
HOSTILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, AND AMANDA IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY LATE SUNDAY.

THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT AROUND 9 KT. A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF AMANDA WILL SUPPORT A WESTWARD MOTION
TODAY, BEFORE THE STORM TURNS TO THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY AS
RIDGING BUILDS TO THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY DURING THE
FIRST DAY OR SO, AND LIES BETWEEN THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS
CONSENSUS AIDS. THE REMNANT LOW IS LIKELY TO TURN BACK TOWARD THE
WEST BY DAYS 3-5 WHILE BEING STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WINDS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 13.3N 133.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 13.1N 134.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 06/1200Z 12.8N 134.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 12.3N 135.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 11.8N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 08/0000Z 11.4N 136.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 08/1200Z 11.1N 137.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 09/1200Z 10.8N 139.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 10/1200Z 10.6N 140.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 051442
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
500 AM HST FRI JUN 05 2026

...AMANDA FORECAST TO TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 133.7W
ABOUT 1695 MI...2725 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 133.7 WEST. AMANDA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY,
FOLLOWED BY A SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION BY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. AMANDA IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 051441
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.1N 134.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.8N 134.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.3N 135.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 10NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.8N 135.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.4N 136.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.1N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 10.8N 139.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 10.6N 140.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 133.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 051000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050600Z --- NEAR 13.4N 132.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N 132.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.4N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 13.2N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.8N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.2N 135.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.7N 135.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 11.3N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 11.0N 138.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.9N 139.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
051000Z POSITION NEAR 13.4N 132.8W.
05JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1358
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050600Z IS
1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 051600Z, 052200Z, 060400Z AND 061000Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 050833
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 AM PDT Fri Jun 05 2026

...AMANDA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BUT FORECAST TO TURN
WESTWARD LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 132.7W
ABOUT 1630 MI...2625 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 132.7 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn
toward the west is expected later today, followed by a
southwestward motion by Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, but gradual weakening
is likely to begin by tonight and continue through the weekend.
Amanda is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 050833
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT FRI JUN 05 2026

AMANDA'S CENTER BECAME EMBEDDED BENEATH A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION
A FEW HOURS AGO, ALTHOUGH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STILL SHOWS
SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR IMPINGING ON THE CIRCULATION UNDERNEATH THE
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. A PAIR OF ASCAT PASSES BETWEEN 0500 AND 0600
UTC SHOWED PEAK WINDS OF 39-42 KT, AND AMANDA'S INITIAL INTENSITY
THEREFORE REMAINS 40 KT. THE BIGGEST LIMITING FACTORS OF AMANDA'S
FUTURE INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TO BE A GRADUALLY DRIER AIR MASS AND A
MORE CONVERGENT UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. AS A
RESULT, THE BURSTS OF CONVECTION ARE LIKELY TO BECOME SMALLER AND
SMALLER, WITH AMANDA GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND POSSIBLY BECOMING A
REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 60 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE
TREND SHOWN BY THE HCCA AND GDMI INTENSITY AIDS.

A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION (290/8 KT) CONTINUES, BUT SPRAWLING
LOW- TO MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE TO AMANDA'S NORTHWEST SHOULD CAUSE
THE STORM TO TURN WESTWARD LATER TODAY AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD BY
SATURDAY. THE NHC OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
SOUTHWARD AFTER 36 HOURS, TRENDING TOWARD THE HCCA AND GDMI
GUIDANCE, WHICH LIES ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE. THE
REMNANT LOW IS LIKELY TO TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST BY DAYS 3-5
WHILE BEING STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WINDS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0900Z 13.4N 132.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 13.4N 133.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 13.2N 134.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 12.8N 134.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 12.2N 135.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 07/1800Z 11.7N 135.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 08/0600Z 11.3N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 09/0600Z 11.0N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 10/0600Z 10.9N 139.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER BERG=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 050832
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 132.7W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 132.7W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 132.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.2N 134.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.8N 134.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.2N 135.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.7N 135.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.3N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 11.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 10.9N 139.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 132.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 050412

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 131.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 05.06.2026 13.0N 131.6W WEAK
12UTC 05.06.2026 13.1N 133.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.2N 134.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 12.8N 134.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.3N 135.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.7N 136.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.3N 136.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 10.8N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 10.5N 139.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 10.1N 140.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 10.0N 141.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 9.9N 142.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 9.7N 143.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 9.5N 144.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 12.06.2026 9.5N 144.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.1N 101.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 07.06.2026 14.1N 101.5W WEAK
00UTC 08.06.2026 15.0N 100.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 15.4N 100.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 15.5N 99.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 15.8N 99.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 050412


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 050412

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 05.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 131.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 05.06.2026 0 13.0N 131.6W 1005 36
1200UTC 05.06.2026 12 13.1N 133.1W 1006 33
0000UTC 06.06.2026 24 13.2N 134.1W 1007 29
1200UTC 06.06.2026 36 12.8N 134.8W 1007 29
0000UTC 07.06.2026 48 12.3N 135.3W 1007 28
1200UTC 07.06.2026 60 11.7N 136.0W 1007 25
0000UTC 08.06.2026 72 11.3N 136.7W 1007 25
1200UTC 08.06.2026 84 10.8N 137.6W 1007 23
0000UTC 09.06.2026 96 10.5N 139.0W 1008 23
1200UTC 09.06.2026 108 10.1N 140.2W 1008 21
0000UTC 10.06.2026 120 10.0N 141.5W 1009 21
1200UTC 10.06.2026 132 9.9N 142.7W 1009 20
0000UTC 11.06.2026 144 9.7N 143.6W 1008 20
1200UTC 11.06.2026 156 9.5N 144.6W 1008 20
0000UTC 12.06.2026 168 9.5N 144.9W 1007 17

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.1N 101.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.06.2026 60 14.1N 101.5W 1004 29
0000UTC 08.06.2026 72 15.0N 100.4W 1003 28
1200UTC 08.06.2026 84 15.4N 100.0W 1004 27
0000UTC 09.06.2026 96 15.5N 99.1W 1005 22
1200UTC 09.06.2026 108 15.8N 99.4W 1006 24
0000UTC 10.06.2026 120 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 050412


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 050400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 13.2N 131.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 131.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 13.5N 132.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 13.4N 133.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 13.0N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 12.6N 134.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 12.1N 135.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 11.7N 136.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 11.3N 137.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 11.0N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
050400Z POSITION NEAR 13.3N 132.1W.
05JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1400
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 1004
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 051000Z, 051600Z, 052200Z AND 060400Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 050233
TCDEP1

Tropical Storm Amanda Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 PM PDT Thu Jun 04 2026

Since the prior advisory, a more significant burst of deep
convection formed close to Amanda’s center with cloud top
temperatures earlier reaching as low as -80C. Underneath the cirrus,
a 2225 UTC AMSR2 microwave pass showed some inner core organization
on the 37-GHz channel, though the 89-GHz channel showed less
organization with the center tilted with height due to persistent
southeasterly shear. Subjective and objective satellite intensity
estimates range from 33-44 kt and the initial intensity remains
40 kt for this advisory.

The tropical storm has maintained a west-northwestward motion,
estimated at 290/9 kt. Amanda should gradually turn to the west and
then west-southwest while slowing down as a narrow mid-level ridge
builds in to its northwest. By this weekend, Amanda should become
more vertically shallow, but a prominent low-level ridge
north of Hawaii should maintain this south of west motion
through the remainder of the forecast. The track guidance this
evening shifted a little north in the short term, and the NHC track
forecast has been nudged in that direction. This forecast lies
roughly in between the HCCA and GDMI track aids.

While convection has increased some over Amanda this evening, it
still does not have a lot of organization on conventional satellite
imagery. While the forecast environment does not change much over
the next 24 hours, the mid-level moisture starts to decrease more
appreciably after that time. In response, most of the guidance shows
gradual weakening beginning after 24 hours, though Amanda might
continue to sputter along with occasional bursts of deep convection
as it remains over 27-28 C sea-surface temperatures. Shear increases
further beyond 60 h, and the latest NHC intensity forecast still
shows Amanda becoming a remnant low by the end of the weekend,
though the circulation may survive a few additional days before
opening up into a trough.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0300Z 13.3N 132.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/1200Z 13.5N 132.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 06/0000Z 13.4N 133.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/1200Z 13.0N 134.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 07/0000Z 12.6N 134.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 07/1200Z 12.1N 135.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 08/0000Z 11.7N 136.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 09/0000Z 11.3N 137.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 10/0000Z 11.0N 139.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 050232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 PM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

...SMALL AMANDA CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN
EAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 132.0W
ABOUT 1590 MI...2560 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 132.0 WEST. AMANDA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H) AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. A TURN TOWARDS THE WEST
AND THEN SOUTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORECAST SPEED IS ANTICIPATED BY
THIS WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND THIS WEEKEND. AMANDA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 050231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 132.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 132.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 131.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.5N 132.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.4N 133.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.6N 134.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.1N 135.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.7N 136.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 11.3N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 11.0N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 132.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 042200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 12.6N 130.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 130.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.0N 132.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.1N 133.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 12.9N 133.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.6N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.2N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 11.9N 135.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 11.4N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 11.0N 137.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
042200Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 131.2W.
04JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1421
NM SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
050400Z, 051000Z, 051600Z AND 052200Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 042032
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 PM PDT Thu Jun 04 2026

...AMANDA SLIGHTLY STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 131.1W
ABOUT 1560 MI...2510 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 131.1 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue into Friday. A turn toward the west
and southwest at a slower forward speed is forecast for this
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next
24 hours. A gradual weakening trend is expected to begin Friday
night or Saturday, and Amanda is forecast to become a post-tropical
remnant low this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 042033
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THIS MORNING SHOWED A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED CENTER OF AMANDA AS THE STORM ENCOUNTERED SOUTHEASTERLY
SHEAR. CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS HAD FALTERED, HOWEVER,
A NEW BURST OF COLD CLOUD TOPS HAS RECENTLY EMERGED NEAR THE CENTER
OF THE STORM. THIS RENEWED CONVECTION COMBINED WITH A RECENT
SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING PEAK WINDS OF 35-39 KT HAS INDICATED A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40
KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 8 KT. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS TO THE NORTH. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THEN SOUTHWEST IS
FORECAST LATER ON FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN
SHIFTED SOUTHWARD, AND FALLS BETWEEN THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS
CONSENSUS AIDS.

THE ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE STORM MAINTAINS MODEST MID-LEVEL MOISTURE,
HOWEVER, DRY AIR IS BEGINNING TO WRAP AROUND ITS SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN PERIPHERY. AFTER 24 H, AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND DRIER
MID-LEVEL AIR, LEADING TO STEADY WEAKENING THIS WEEKEND. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR AMANDA TO WEAKEN TO A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW LATER THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM MAY LOSE
ORGANIZED CONVECTION EARLIER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/2100Z 12.7N 131.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/1800Z 13.1N 133.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 12.9N 133.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 07/0600Z 12.2N 134.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 11.9N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/1800Z 11.0N 137.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 042031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 131.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 131.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 130.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.1N 133.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 133.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 10SW 10NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.2N 134.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.9N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 11.0N 137.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 131.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 041616

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 129.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 04.06.2026 12.1N 129.9W WEAK
00UTC 05.06.2026 13.0N 131.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.06.2026 13.6N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.8N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 13.4N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.8N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 12.1N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.6N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.0N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.1N 87.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.6N 87.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.5N 88.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 12.3N 89.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 12.3N 90.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 10.06.2026 13.1N 91.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 14.0N 92.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 11.06.2026 14.8N 94.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 041616


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 041616

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 129.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 04.06.2026 0 12.1N 129.9W 1007 32
0000UTC 05.06.2026 12 13.0N 131.2W 1006 35
1200UTC 05.06.2026 24 13.6N 132.4W 1005 36
0000UTC 06.06.2026 36 13.8N 133.4W 1007 29
1200UTC 06.06.2026 48 13.4N 134.3W 1007 27
0000UTC 07.06.2026 60 12.8N 134.7W 1007 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 72 12.1N 135.5W 1007 23
0000UTC 08.06.2026 84 11.6N 136.6W 1007 24
1200UTC 08.06.2026 96 11.0N 137.8W 1008 21
0000UTC 09.06.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.1N 87.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.06.2026 96 11.6N 87.9W 1007 31
0000UTC 09.06.2026 108 11.5N 88.0W 1005 41
1200UTC 09.06.2026 120 12.3N 89.1W 1004 38
0000UTC 10.06.2026 132 12.3N 90.3W 1000 48
1200UTC 10.06.2026 144 13.1N 91.4W 998 48
0000UTC 11.06.2026 156 14.0N 92.8W 997 47
1200UTC 11.06.2026 168 14.8N 94.0W 1000 43


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 041616


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 041440
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

AN AMSR-2 PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED
CENTER, BUT SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR HAS KEPT CONVECTION MAINLY CONFINED
IN THE NORTH AND WEST QUADRANTS OF AMANDA. OBJECTIVE AND SUBJECTIVE
DVORAK ESTIMATES DEPICT AN INTENSITY AROUND 35 KT, SO THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 8 KT. AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL STORM WILL SUPPORT A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 12-24 H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST THEN SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST OVER THIS WEEKEND AS WEAK RIDGING
BUILDS TO THE NORTHWEST OF AMANDA. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS
BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH, AND FALLS BETWEEN THE GOOGLE
DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS CONSENSUS AIDS.

EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODEST MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
HAVE LED TO PULSING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER
OF AMANDA. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
12-24 H AS THE STORM REMAINS IN A SEMI-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
HOWEVER, AFTER 24 H, THE STORM WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR AND UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE, LEADING
TO STEADY WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR AMANDA TO
WEAKEN TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY 72 H, BUT IT MAY STRUGGLE
TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED CONVECTION EVEN BEFORE THAT TIME.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/1500Z 12.5N 130.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/1200Z 13.3N 132.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0000Z 13.3N 133.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 06/1200Z 13.0N 134.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 07/0000Z 12.6N 134.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 07/1200Z 12.2N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/1200Z 11.7N 136.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/1200Z 11.3N 137.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 041438
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 AM PDT Thu Jun 04 2026

...AMANDA STILL A SHEARED TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 130.5W
ABOUT 1530 MI...2465 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 130.5 West. Amanda is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest and west is expected during the next couple of days.
A turn toward the southwest at a slower forward speed is forecast
later this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible today and tonight. A gradual
weakening trend is expected to begin Friday night or Saturday, and
Amanda is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low this
weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 041438
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 130.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.3N 132.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.3N 133.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.0N 134.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.6N 134.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.2N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 11.7N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 11.3N 137.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 130.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 041000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 129.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 129.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 12.8N 130.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.4N 132.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.6N 133.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 13.4N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 13.1N 134.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.7N 134.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 12.2N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 11.6N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
041000Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 129.8W.
04JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1554
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 040600Z IS 1006
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041600Z, 042200Z, 050400Z AND 051000Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 040833
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

...SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT AMANDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE
IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 129.8W
ABOUT 1500 MI...2415 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 129.8 WEST. AMANDA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED IS FORECAST THIS WEEKEND.

RECENT SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
BY FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 040833
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 129.8W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 40SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 129.8W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 129.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.8N 130.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.4N 132.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.1N 134.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.7N 134.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 12.2N 135.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 11.6N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 129.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 040834
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT THU JUN 04 2026

DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED NEAR AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF
AMANDA DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A RECENT ASCAT-B OVERPASS SHOWED
A FEW 35-KT WIND VECTORS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER, WITH 30-35
KT VECTORS ELSEWHERE NEAR THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS, THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT, WHICH IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY OTHER SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES.

IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER OF AMANDA HAS WOBBLED A LITTLE TO THE
RIGHT SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY, WITH THE INITIAL MOTION NOW 305/7.
A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST SHOULD CAUSE A GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 H OR SO. THEN, A NARROW
RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF AMANDA,
WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE OR ITS REMNANTS TO TURN WESTWARD AND
SOUTHWESTWARD. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK, WHICH IS A BLEND OF THE
GOOGLE DEEPMIND ENSEMBLE MEAN AND THE VARIOUS CONSENSUS MODELS, IS
A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK THROUGH 48 H AND SIMILAR TO
THE PREVIOUS TRACK AFTER THAT.

AMANDA IS BEING AFFECTED BY ABOUT 15 KT OF SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, AND THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS MOIST
SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 H, AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR A PEAK INTENSITY OF 45 KT. AFTER
THAT TIME, THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY DRY
AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS, AND IT IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOVE INTO AN AREA
OF UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
AS FORECAST BY ALL GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE
GUIDANCE, AND IT SHOWS THE CYCLONE DEGENERATING TO A REMNANT LOW
PRESSURE AREA BY 96 H. OVERALL, THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS ON
THE HIGH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 12.2N 129.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 12.8N 130.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 13.4N 132.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/0600Z 13.4N 133.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 06/1800Z 13.1N 134.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 07/0600Z 12.7N 134.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
96H 08/0600Z 12.2N 135.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0600Z 11.6N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 040410

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 128.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 04.06.2026 0 11.1N 128.9W 1007 28
1200UTC 04.06.2026 12 12.0N 130.1W 1007 30
0000UTC 05.06.2026 24 13.0N 131.5W 1007 33
1200UTC 05.06.2026 36 13.6N 132.6W 1007 32
0000UTC 06.06.2026 48 13.6N 133.4W 1007 29
1200UTC 06.06.2026 60 13.2N 133.9W 1008 26
0000UTC 07.06.2026 72 12.5N 134.3W 1007 25
1200UTC 07.06.2026 84 11.7N 134.8W 1007 23
0000UTC 08.06.2026 96 11.3N 135.5W 1007 22
1200UTC 08.06.2026 108 11.1N 136.4W 1008 23
0000UTC 09.06.2026 120 11.2N 137.6W 1008 22
1200UTC 09.06.2026 132 11.2N 139.2W 1008 24
0000UTC 10.06.2026 144 11.6N 140.9W 1009 24
1200UTC 10.06.2026 156 11.8N 142.8W 1009 25
0000UTC 11.06.2026 168 11.7N 144.8W 1009 24

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.8N 102.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 07.06.2026 72 15.3N 102.2W 1004 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 84 15.8N 101.4W 1003 29
0000UTC 08.06.2026 96 15.8N 100.5W 1002 29
1200UTC 08.06.2026 108 15.9N 99.1W 1004 30
0000UTC 09.06.2026 120 18.4N 100.8W 1004 28
1200UTC 09.06.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 040409


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 040409

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.06.2026

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 128.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 04.06.2026 11.1N 128.9W WEAK
12UTC 04.06.2026 12.0N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.06.2026 13.0N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.06.2026 13.6N 132.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 13.6N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 13.2N 133.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.5N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.7N 134.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.3N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.1N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.2N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 11.2N 139.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.6N 140.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 10.06.2026 11.8N 142.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 11.06.2026 11.7N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 14.8N 102.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 07.06.2026 15.3N 102.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 15.8N 101.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 15.8N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 15.9N 99.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 18.4N 100.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 040409


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 040400
WARNING ATCG MIL 01E NEP 260604030434
2026060400 01E AMANDA 006 01 305 07 SATL 020
T000 112N 1289W 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 122N 1301W 040 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 130N 1314W 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 134N 1326W 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 135N 1334W 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T060 131N 1341W 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 128N 1344W 035 R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 122N 1350W 030
T120 117N 1363W 030
AMP
120HR POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 11.2N 128.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 128.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 12.2N 130.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 13.0N 131.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 13.4N 132.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 13.5N 133.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 13.1N 134.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 12.8N 134.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 12.2N 135.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 11.7N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
040400Z POSITION NEAR 11.5N 129.3W.
04JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1445
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 040000Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
041000Z, 041600Z, 042200Z AND 050400Z.
//
0126053112 80N1230W 15
0126053118 81N1233W 15
0126060100 82N1236W 15
0126060106 83N1240W 20
0126060112 86N1247W 20
0126060118 89N1255W 20
0126060200 93N1258W 20
0126060206 94N1261W 25
0126060212 94N1263W 25
0126060218 94N1265W 25
0126060300 96N1267W 25
0126060306 100N1271W 30
0126060312 103N1278W 35
0126060318 108N1283W 35
0126060400 112N1289W 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 040231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 PM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...AMANDA SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.4N 129.3W
ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 129.3 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.
A turn toward the west and southwest at a slower forward speed is
forecast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. A
weakening trend is forecast to begin this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 040232
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 PM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

AMANDA HAS NOT APPARENTLY STRENGTHENED SINCE EARLIER TODAY. THERE
ARE A COUPLE OF POORLY-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES OVER THE NORTHERN
SEMICIRCLE, AND A FEW CELLS OF DEEP CONVECTION HAVE BEEN
REDEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER, LIKELY A DIURNAL FLUCTUATION. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS HELD AT 35 KT WHICH IS ROUGHLY IN
AGREEMENT WITH OBJECTIVE ADT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS. HOPEFULLY,
WE WILL GET A SCATTEROMETER PASS OVER THE SYSTEM OVERNIGHT TO HELP
IN ASSESSING THE STRENGTH OF THE CYCLONE.

AN AMSR2 MICROWAVE IMAGE AND RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT
THE STORM CENTER IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED
TRACK. ADJUSTING THE WORKING BEST TRACK OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
YIELDS AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 300/8 KT. A WEAK MID-LEVEL
RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF AMANDA SHOULD RESULT IN A CONTINUED
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS.
LATER, A NARROW RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE, WHICH SHOULD INDUCE A LEFTWARD TURN AND A
SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IN AROUND 3 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS ONLY SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE DURING THE EARLY PART OF
THE PERIOD, AND VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK LATER ON.
THIS IS A BLEND OF THE LATEST GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND CORRECTED
CONSENSUS FORECAST SOLUTIONS.

AMANDA SHOULD REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
STRENGTHENING FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH WARM SSTS AND MODERATE
EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO
ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY DRY AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS IN A FEW
DAYS WHICH SHOULD CAUSE A WEAKENING TREND TO COMMENCE IN THE 48
HOUR TIME FRAME. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALLOWS FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING THROUGH TOMORROW, WITH WEAKENING OVER THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW DURING THE
LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. THIS NHC FORECAST IS ON THE HIGH SIDE
OF THE INTENSITY MODEL GUIDANCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0300Z 11.4N 129.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/1200Z 12.2N 130.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 05/1200Z 13.4N 132.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/0000Z 13.5N 133.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 06/1200Z 13.1N 134.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 07/0000Z 12.8N 134.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 08/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0000Z 11.7N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 040231
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC THU JUN 04 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 129.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 128.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.2N 130.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.0N 131.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.4N 132.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N 133.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.1N 134.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.8N 134.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 12.2N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 11.7N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 129.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 032200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 128.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 128.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 11.5N 129.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 12.4N 131.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.0N 132.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 13.3N 133.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 13.0N 134.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 12.6N 134.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 12.0N 135.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 11.4N 136.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
032200Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 129.0W.
03JUN26. TROPICAL STORM 01E (AMANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1476
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
031800Z IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 14
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z, 041000Z, 041600Z, AND 042200Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 032032
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 PM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...AMANDA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 128.9W
ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 10.8 North, longitude 128.9 West. Amanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the
west and west-southwest at a slower forward speed is forecast this
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.
A weakening trend is forecast later this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 032032
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAVE DEPICTED INCREASING
ORGANIZATION OF AMANDA TODAY WITH CURVED BANDING NOTED. A SAR RCM-2
PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING SHOWED A SLIGHTLY LARGER AND MORE
UNIFORM WIND FIELD AROUND THE CENTER OF AMANDA, AND THE CENTER
POSITION WAS SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE
INITIAL POSITION OF THE STORM HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY.
SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK ANALYSES RANGE FROM 30-40 KT, SO THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 35 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF
300/8 KT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST WILL SUPPORT A
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS
AND BUILDS WESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INITIAL
POSITION ADJUSTMENT AND MODEL TRENDS, AND IS CLOSE TO THE GOOGLE
DEEPMIND FORECAST TRACK.

THE STORM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A RATHER HUMID LOW- AND
MID-LEVEL AIR MASS, AND ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STEADY
STRENGTHENING WITHIN THE NEXT 36 H. GFS AND EC SHIPS RI PROBABILITY
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DECREASED SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST CYCLE,
SHOWING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 H. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST SHOWS A PEAK INTENSITY OF
50 KT, WHICH LIES NEAR THE HIGHER END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. AMANDA
WILL ENCOUNTER A DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND INCREASING SHEAR
BEYOND 36 H, AND MAY STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION THIS WEEKEND.
SLOW TO STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS A RESULT, AND AMANDA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AT DAY 5, THOUGH SOME
MODELS SUGGEST THIS COULD OCCUR SOONER THAN FORECAST.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/2100Z 10.8N 128.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 04/1800Z 12.4N 131.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 05/1800Z 13.3N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 06/0600Z 13.0N 134.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 07/1800Z 12.0N 135.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
120H 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 032031
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 128.9W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 128.9W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 128.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.4N 131.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 132.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.3N 133.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.0N 134.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.6N 134.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 12.0N 135.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 11.4N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 128.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 031454
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 AM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 6-12 HOURS. OBJECTIVE
DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS ARE AROUND 35
KT. USING THESE ESTIMATES AND THE LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS, THE
DEPRESSION HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WITH THE
INITIAL INTENSITY SET TO 35 KT.

AMANDA IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INITIAL
MOTION OF 305/7 KT. THE SYSTEM IS FLANKED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO
THE NORTHEAST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST, SUPPORTING A
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH FRIDAY. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A SLOWER FORWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS IN THE SHORT TERM, BUT HAS BEEN
NUDGED SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH FROM THE PREVIOUS BEYOND DAY 3, LYING
BETWEEN THE GOOGLE DEEPMIND AND VARIOUS CONSENSUS AIDS.

THE STORM HAS SHOWN INCREASING ORGANIZED CONVECTION THIS MORNING,
AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SUFFICIENTLY SATURATED LOW- AND MID-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS STEADY STRENGTHENING OVER
THE NEXT 36 H OR SO. IT IS NOTED THAT GFS AND EC SHIPS RI MODEL
GUIDANCE ARE SHOWING A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 H. THE OFFICIAL NHC
FORECAST MAINTAINS A PEAK INTENSITY OF 55 KT, WHICH LIES NEAR THE
HIGHER END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. AFTER 36-48 H, AMANDA WILL MOVE
INTO A LESS-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASING SHEAR AND A DRIER
MID-LEVEL AIRMASS, SUPPORTING STEADY WEAKENING THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE CONVECTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST NOW HAS THE
SYSTEM BECOMING A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AT DAY 5, ALTHOUGH SOME
MODELS SUGGEST THIS COULD OCCUR SOONER THAN FORECAST.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1500Z 10.6N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 11.2N 129.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 04/1200Z 12.1N 130.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 05/1200Z 13.5N 132.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 06/0000Z 13.6N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 06/1200Z 13.4N 134.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 07/1200Z 12.9N 134.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 08/1200Z 12.2N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 031453
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 AM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2026
EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.6N 128.2W
ABOUT 1475 MI...2375 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was
located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 128.2 West. Amanda is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the west and
west-southwest at a slower forward motion is forecast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next
couple of days. A weakening trend is forecast later this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Adams


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 031451
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 128.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 128.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 127.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.2N 129.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.1N 130.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.5N 132.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.6N 133.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.4N 134.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 12.9N 134.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 12.2N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 128.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/ADAMS=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 030837
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 AM PDT WED JUN 03 2026

A COMBINATION OF GEOSTATIONARY AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS A SMALL, BUT WELL-DEFINED,
CIRCULATION WITH A CLUSTER OF CONVECTION JUST TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. VARIOUS SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE
IN THE 25-35 KT RANGE AND HAVE INCREASED SOME SINCE THE LAST
ADVISORY. BASED ON THIS INCREASE, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED
TO 30 KT.

THE CYCLONE IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE
INITIAL MOTION NOW 310/5 KT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE SYSTEM SHOULD CAUSE A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. AFTER THAT, A WESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD TURN IS EXPECTED
AS A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
CYCLONE. THE MAIN CHANGE IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE SINCE THE LAST
ADVISORY IS TO SHOW A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK AFTER 36 H. BASED ON
THIS, THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK
THROUGH 36 H AND THEN LIES SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

WHILE THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING SOME SOUTHEASTERLY
SHEAR, IT IS EMBEDDED IN A MOIST AIR MASS AND OVER WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. INDEED, DURING THE NEXT 48 H THE ENVIRONMENT IS
FAVORABLE ENOUGH THAT THE SHIPS MODEL RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDICES
ARE SHOWING A 25-30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RI. HOWEVER, THE DYNAMICAL
GUIDANCE IS NOT AS BULLISH ON STRENGTHENING. THE FORECAST PEAK
INTENSITY HAS BEEN RAISED TO 55 KT, WHICH LIES BETWEEN THE GFS- AND
ECMWF-BASED SHIPS MODELS ON ONE SIDE AND THE LESS INTENSE DYNAMICAL
MODELS ON THE OTHER. AFTER PEAK INTENSITY, A COMBINATION OF
INCREASING SHEAR, A DRIER AIR MASS, AND UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0900Z 10.2N 127.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 03/1800Z 10.8N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 04/0600Z 11.6N 129.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 06/0600Z 13.7N 133.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 07/0600Z 13.4N 134.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 08/0600Z 12.8N 135.4W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 030836
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
200 AM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026

...DEPRESSION GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM ON LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.2N 127.4W
ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 10.2 North, longitude 127.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A
slightly faster northwestward to west-northwestward motion is
forecast through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the system is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 030836
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0900 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 127.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 127.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 127.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.6N 129.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.6N 133.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.7N 133.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 13.4N 134.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 12.8N 135.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 127.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 030411

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 9.7N 126.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 03.06.2026 9.7N 126.5W WEAK
12UTC 03.06.2026 10.5N 127.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 04.06.2026 11.0N 129.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 04.06.2026 11.5N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 05.06.2026 12.2N 131.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 05.06.2026 12.7N 132.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.06.2026 12.6N 132.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.06.2026 12.4N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.06.2026 12.2N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.06.2026 11.7N 134.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 08.06.2026 11.4N 135.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 08.06.2026 11.2N 136.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 11.3N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 11.1N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 11.2N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.4N 101.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 08.06.2026 14.5N 100.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 09.06.2026 15.1N 99.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 09.06.2026 16.1N 99.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 10.06.2026 18.2N 100.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 030411


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 030411

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 03.06.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E ANALYSED POSITION : 9.7N 126.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 03.06.2026 0 9.7N 126.5W 1007 22
1200UTC 03.06.2026 12 10.5N 127.6W 1006 29
0000UTC 04.06.2026 24 11.0N 129.0W 1007 29
1200UTC 04.06.2026 36 11.5N 130.1W 1007 29
0000UTC 05.06.2026 48 12.2N 131.3W 1008 30
1200UTC 05.06.2026 60 12.7N 132.3W 1008 28
0000UTC 06.06.2026 72 12.6N 132.8W 1008 26
1200UTC 06.06.2026 84 12.4N 133.4W 1007 25
0000UTC 07.06.2026 96 12.2N 134.3W 1007 26
1200UTC 07.06.2026 108 11.7N 134.7W 1007 26
0000UTC 08.06.2026 120 11.4N 135.4W 1006 24
1200UTC 08.06.2026 132 11.2N 136.2W 1007 23
0000UTC 09.06.2026 144 11.3N 137.3W 1007 23
1200UTC 09.06.2026 156 11.1N 138.3W 1008 23
0000UTC 10.06.2026 168 11.2N 139.9W 1009 23

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.4N 101.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.06.2026 132 14.5N 100.6W 1003 27
0000UTC 09.06.2026 144 15.1N 99.6W 1002 28
1200UTC 09.06.2026 156 16.1N 99.8W 1003 28
0000UTC 10.06.2026 168 18.2N 100.4W 1001 26


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 030411


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 030231
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026
800 PM PDT Tue Jun 02 2026

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.7N 126.8W
ABOUT 1440 MI...2320 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 9.7 North, longitude 126.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A
slightly faster northwestward to west-northwestward motion is
forecast through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the system is expected to become a tropical storm on Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 030231
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
800 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

THE SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE EARLIER TODAY. A SMALL AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTING NEAR AND JUST WEST OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION, BUT CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES ARE LIMITED AT THIS
TIME. CIRRUS CLOUD MOTIONS SHOW FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE AREA. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS
HELD AT 25 KT BASED ON A DVORAK CLASSIFICATION OF T1.5 FROM TAFB, AN
ADT ESTIMATE FROM CIMSS, AND OSCAT DATA.

CENTER FIXES INDICATE A SLOW, BUT GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD, MOTION AT
AROUND 310/3 KT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM
SHOULD CAUSE A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT AT A
SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A WESTWARD
TO SOUTHWESTWARD TURN IS FORECAST IN 3-5 DAYS IN RESPONSE TO A
SLIGHT BUILDING OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE CORRECTED CONSENSUS MODEL GUIDANCE, HCCA.

GIVEN THE SEEMINGLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND WARM SSTS, SOME
STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED. HOWEVER, SINCE THE CYCLONE IS EMBEDDED
IN AN ELONGATED CONVERGENCE ZONE, THIS COULD IMPEDE SIGNIFICANT
INTENSIFICATION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS MODEST STRENGTHENING
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHICH IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH HCCA
AND THE HAFS REGIONAL HURRICANE MODELS. LATER IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD
LEAD TO WEAKENING.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0300Z 9.7N 126.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 03/1200Z 10.2N 127.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 04/0000Z 11.1N 128.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 04/1200Z 12.0N 129.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 05/1200Z 13.6N 132.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 06/0000Z 13.9N 133.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 07/0000Z 13.8N 134.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 08/0000Z 13.3N 135.0W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 030230
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
0300 UTC WED JUN 03 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 126.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 126.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 126.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.2N 127.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 11.1N 128.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 12.9N 131.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.6N 132.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.9N 133.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N 134.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 13.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 126.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=


Original Message :

WTPZ31 KNHC 022036
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON FORMS
OVER OPEN WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 126.7W
ABOUT 1450 MI...2335 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 126.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH (6 KM/H), BUT A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THEN, A SLIGHTLY FASTER
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB (29.77 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=


Original Message :

WTPZ41 KNHC 022037
TCDEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 02 2026

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE (90E) THAT NHC HAS BEEN MONITORING FOR
DEVELOPMENT HAS SHOWED INCREASED SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION TODAY. AN
AREA OF SHEARED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS OBSERVED TO THE NORTH OF
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, ALONG WITH FRAGMENTED CURVED BANDS OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. SCATTEROMETER WIND DATA
REVEALED THE SYSTEM HAD A CLOSED CIRCULATION, AND ITS DEFINITION HAS
IMPROVED IN RECENT PASSIVE MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES.
BASED ON THESE DEVELOPMENTS, THE NHC IS INITIATING ADVISORIES ON THE
FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2026 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON, WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD (280/3 KT), BUT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE A BIT FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF A STEERING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE BASIN. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST, AND THE OFFICIAL NHC PREDICTION
LIES BETWEEN THE SIMPLE AND CORRECTED-CONSENSUS AIDS. BY DAYS 4-5, A
SLOWDOWN IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE AND
STEERING CURRENTS COLLAPSE. THERE IS INCREASED TRACK SPREAD DURING
THIS PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOST MODELS GENERALLY SHOW A SLOW WESTWARD OR
SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT, WHICH IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

WARM SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 DEG C AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
DIVERGENCE IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OR SO. HOWEVER,
EASTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BY LATE WEEK, WHICH WILL
LIKELY LIMIT THE EXTENT OF STRENGTHENING THAT OCCURS. THE OFFICIAL
NHC FORECAST SHOWS THE SYSTEM REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY
WEDNESDAY, WITH A PEAK INTENSITY IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE HCCA
CONSENSUS AID AND THE HAFS MODELS. A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST BY
THIS WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A DRIER AND MORE STABLE
MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER COOLER SSTS, AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
SYSTEM COULD BECOME DEVOID OF CONVECTION BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 9.4N 126.7W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 9.9N 127.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 10.6N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 05/1800Z 13.7N 133.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 06/1800Z 13.7N 134.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 07/1800Z 13.0N 135.5W 30 KT 35 MPH

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=


Original Message :

WTPZ21 KNHC 022036
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
2100 UTC TUE JUN 02 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 126.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 126.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 9.9N 127.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.6N 128.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 11.5N 129.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.6N 130.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.3N 132.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.7N 133.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 13.7N 134.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 13.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 126.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=