Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BUALOI-25
in Viet Nam, Philippines, Laos

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 290300
WARNING 290300.
WARNING VALID 300300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 985 HPA
AT 18.9N 104.3E LAOS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 20.6N 101.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 21.8N 099.2E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 282100
WARNING 282100.
WARNING VALID 292100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 18.5N 105.6E VIETNAM MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290900UTC AT 20.2N 102.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 21.3N 100.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 281947

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 281800 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ZERO SIX
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000044900
31562


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 281647

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 281500 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ZERO SIX
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 281500
WARNING 281500.
WARNING VALID 291500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 975 HPA
AT 17.7N 106.7E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 19.4N 104.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 20.4N 101.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 281347

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 281200 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 281047

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280900 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN
POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (103.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 280900
WARNING 280900.
WARNING VALID 290900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 975 HPA
AT 17.4N 107.7E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 18.8N 105.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290900UTC AT 19.9N 102.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 280747

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280600 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 280447

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280300 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (104.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 280300
WARNING 280300.
WARNING VALID 290300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 975 HPA
AT 16.6N 108.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 18.0N 106.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 19.2N 104.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 280147

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280000 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ZERO NINE
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 240 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (105.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 272247

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 272100 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE ZERO
POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 272100
WARNING 272100.
WARNING VALID 282100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 975 HPA
AT 16.2N 109.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 17.6N 107.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 18.7N 105.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271947

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271800 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE ZERO
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000004100
23859


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271647

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271500 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE ONE ONE
POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (101.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 271500
WARNING 271500.
WARNING VALID 281500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 975 HPA
AT 15.8N 111.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 17.1N 109.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 18.4N 106.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271347

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271200 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT
THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (102.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000051400
21900


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271047

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270900 UTC, TYPHOON BUALOI (2520) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE ONE TWO
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (103.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 270900
WARNING 270900.
WARNING VALID 280900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 975 HPA
AT 15.2N 113.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 16.3N 110.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 17.7N 108.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 15.2N 113.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 19KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 272100UTC 16.3N 110.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 280900UTC 17.7N 108.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 290600UTC 19.9N 104.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 300600UTC 21.1N 100.2E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 2520 BUALOI (2520)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY BUALOI IS LOCATED AT 14.7N, 114.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-C/MHS
85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND HIGH
TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT36 DUE
TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY
UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT60. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2520 BUALOI (2520) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 14.7N 114.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 20KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 271800UTC 16.0N 110.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 280600UTC 17.3N 108.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 290600UTC 19.9N 104.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 300600UTC 21.1N 100.2E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270600
WARNING 270600.
WARNING VALID 280600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975
HPA
AT 14.7N 114.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 16.0N 110.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 17.3N 108.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 19.9N 104.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 21.1N 100.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270447

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (14.7
N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (104.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 270300
WARNING 270300.
WARNING VALID 280300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 14.2N 114.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 15.9N 111.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 16.8N 109.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 14.2N 114.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 20KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 271500UTC 15.9N 111.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 280300UTC 16.8N 109.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 290000UTC 19.3N 105.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 300000UTC 20.7N 100.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270147

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3
N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (104.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000046300
18106


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS BUALOI IS LOCATED AT 13.8N, 115.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT60. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS
CURRENT INFIRM STRUCTURE. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT36
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH
LAND AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL
FT60 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY
BY FT60. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 13.8N 115.8E FAIR
MOVE W 20KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 271200UTC 15.4N 112.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 280000UTC 16.6N 109.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 290000UTC 19.3N 105.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 300000UTC 20.7N 100.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270000
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 13.8N 115.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.4N 112.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 16.6N 109.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 19.3N 105.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 20.7N 100.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 262247

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 262100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 272100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 262100
WARNING 262100.
WARNING VALID 272100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 13.3N 117.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 15.1N 113.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 16.1N 110.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 13.3N 117.4E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 270900UTC 15.1N 113.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 272100UTC 16.1N 110.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 281800UTC 18.6N 106.4E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 291800UTC 20.3N 100.9E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS BUALOI IS LOCATED AT 13.1N, 118.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND STRONG VWS.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT60. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS
CURRENT INFIRM STRUCTURE. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP RAPIDLY
UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS,
HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT60 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT60. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261947

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 261800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (101.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 13.1N 118.5E FAIR
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 270600UTC 14.9N 114.3E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 22KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 271800UTC 15.9N 110.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 281800UTC 18.6N 106.4E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 291800UTC 20.3N 100.9E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261800
WARNING 261800.
WARNING VALID 271800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 13.1N 118.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 14.9N 114.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 15.9N 110.9E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 18.6N 106.4E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 20.3N 100.9E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261647

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 261500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3
N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (118.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (101.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000012500
15129


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 261500
WARNING 261500.
WARNING VALID 271500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 13.1N 119.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 14.9N 114.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 15.4N 111.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 13.1N 119.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 270300UTC 14.9N 114.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 23KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 271500UTC 15.4N 111.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 281200UTC 17.6N 107.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 291200UTC 19.2N 100.8E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS BUALOI IS LOCATED AT 12.9N, 119.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. S-NPP/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT60. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS
CURRENT INFIRM STRUCTURE. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP RAPIDLY
UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS,
HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261347

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 261200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (101.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 12.9N 119.8E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 270000UTC 14.8N 115.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 271200UTC 15.4N 112.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 281200UTC 17.6N 107.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 291200UTC 19.2N 100.8E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261200
WARNING 261200.
WARNING VALID 271200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 12.9N 119.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 14.8N 115.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.4N 112.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 17.6N 107.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 19.2N 100.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261047

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N)
ONE ZERO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (102.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260900
WARNING 260900.
WARNING VALID 270900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 985 HPA
AT 13.0N 120.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 19 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 14.6N 116.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 15.2N 113.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 13.0N 120.3E FAIR
MOVE W 19KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 262100UTC 14.6N 116.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 20KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 270900UTC 15.2N 113.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 280600UTC 17.1N 109.1E 115NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 290600UTC 19.2N 103.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 300600UTC 20.0N 101.5E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS BUALOI IS LOCATED AT 12.6N, 120.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF
A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96
DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260747

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (103.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 12.6N 120.5E FAIR
MOVE W 24KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 210NM SOUTHWEST 150NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 261800UTC 14.2N 117.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 270600UTC 15.2N 114.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW 19KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 280600UTC 17.1N 109.1E 115NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 290600UTC 19.2N 103.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 300600UTC 20.0N 101.5E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260600
WARNING 260600.
WARNING VALID 270600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 985 HPA
AT 12.6N 120.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 24 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 14.2N 117.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.2N 114.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 17.1N 109.1E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 19.2N 103.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 20.0N 101.5E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260447

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ZERO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (100.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000044100
11295


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260300
WARNING 260300.
WARNING VALID 270300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 12.4N 121.7E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 22 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 13.9N 119.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 15.0N 115.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2520 BUALOI (2520)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 12.4N 121.7E FAIR
MOVE W 22KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 261500UTC 13.9N 119.2E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 270300UTC 15.0N 115.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE WNW 18KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 280000UTC 16.2N 110.6E 115NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 290000UTC 18.9N 106.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 300000UTC 20.2N 102.9E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260147

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BUALOI (2520) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (12.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (122.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (115.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ZERO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (100.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260000
WARNING 260000.
WARNING VALID 270000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 980 HPA
AT 12.2N 122.9E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 13.5N 120.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 14.7N 116.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 16.2N 110.6E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 18.9N 106.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 20.2N 102.9E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 252100
WARNING 252100.
WARNING VALID 262100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2520 BUALOI (2520) 990 HPA
AT 12.8N 124.2E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 22 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260900UTC AT 13.2N 121.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 14.2N 117.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 251500
WARNING 251500.
WARNING VALID 261500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2520 BUALOI (2520) 965 HPA
AT 11.8N 126.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260300UTC AT 12.8N 123.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 13.6N 120.1E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 242128
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bualoi (26W) Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP262025
728 AM ChST Thu Sep 25 2025

...TROPICAL STORM BUALOI MOVING AWAY FROM PALAU...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.9N 129.6E

About 400 miles west-northwest of Kayangel
About 415 miles northwest of Koror
About 415 miles northwest of Peleliu
About 415 miles northwest of Angaur
About 425 miles north-northwest of Sonsorol
About 585 miles west of Yap
About 1040 miles west of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...65 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bualoi
was located near Latitude 10.9 degrees North and Longitude
129.6 degrees East. Bualoi is moving west-northwest at 10 mph. It
is expected to maintain this general course with an increase in
forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 65 mph. Bualoi is
forecast to intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This will be the last advisory issued by the National Weather
Service on Bualoi.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 241621
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bualoi (26W) Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP262025
221 AM ChST Thu Sep 25 2025

...TROPICAL STORM BUALOI MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.6N 130.5E

About 335 miles west-northwest of Kayangel
About 350 miles northwest of Koror
About 520 miles west of Yap
About 985 miles west of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...60 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...295 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bualoi was
located near Latitude 10.6 degrees North and Longitude 130.5 degrees
East. Bualoi is moving west-northwest at 10 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course with a slight increase in forward speed
through Friday. This track is expected to have Tropical Storm Bualoi
exiting Micronesia later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 60 mph. Bualoi is
forecast to intensify through tonight, then weaken slightly.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
145 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 240930
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bualoi (26W) Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP262025
730 PM ChST Wed Sep 24 2025

...TROPICAL STORM BUALOI MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AWAY FROM PALAU AND
YAP...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.2N 131.3E

About 275 miles west-northwest of Kayangel
About 295 miles northwest of Koror
About 465 miles west of Yap
About 940 miles west-southwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...290 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bualoi
was located near Latitude 10.2 degrees North and Longitude
131.3 degrees East. Bualoi is moving west-northwest at 10 mph. It
is expected to maintain this general course into the Philippine
Sea with a slight increase in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph. Bualoi is
forecast to gradually intensify over the next few days,
potentially becoming a typhoon late Thursday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
145 miles, mainly to the northwest.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Thursday morning.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 240316
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bualoi (26W) Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP262025
116 PM ChST Wed Sep 24 2025

...BUALOI UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AND IS MOVING AWAY FROM
PALAU AND YAP...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Tropical Depression 26W Bualoi was upgraded to a Tropical Storm.


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...9.7N 132.6E

About 185 miles northwest of Kayangel
About 205 miles northwest of Koror
About 215 miles north-northwest of Peleliu
About 220 miles north-northwest of Angaur
About 375 miles west of Yap
About 865 miles west-southwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bualoi
was located near Latitude 9.7 degrees North and Longitude
132.6 degrees East. Bualoi is moving west at 8 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with an
increase in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph. Bualoi is
forecast to intensify through at least Thursday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
145 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 232119
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Bualoi (26W) Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP262025
719 AM ChST Wed Sep 24 2025

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUALOI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...9.5N 133.4E

About 135 miles northwest of Kayangel
About 165 miles north-northwest of Koror
About 180 miles north-northwest of Peleliu
About 320 miles west of Yap
About 815 miles west-southwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression
Bualoi was located near Latitude 9.5 degrees North and Longitude
133.4 degrees East. Bualoi is moving west-southwest at 10 mph. It
is expected to make a turn toward the west-northwest with little
change in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 35 mph. Bualoi is
forecast to intensify through next 36 hours possibly becoming a
tropical storm.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 231528
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 26W Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP262025
128 AM ChST Wed Sep 24 2025

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W FORMS NORTH OF KOROR...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Tropical Depression 26W has just formed north of Koror, Palau.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...9.9N 134.0E

About 135 miles north-northwest of Kayangel
About 180 miles north of Koror
About 200 miles north of Peleliu
About 280 miles west of Yap
About 770 miles west-southwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...30 mph
Present movement...west...260 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 26W was
located near Latitude 9.9 degrees North and Longitude 134.0 degrees
East. 26W is moving west at 13 mph. It is expected to make a slight
turn toward the west-northwest with a slight decrease in forward
speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph. 26W is forecast to intensify
through Thursday possibly becoming a tropical storm later today.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko