Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ALEX-22
in Bermuda, Bahamas, United States, Cuba, Mexico
03 Jun 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ALEX-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Bermuda, United States, Bahamas, Cuba
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (03 Jun 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.8 m 99 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 1.2 m 358 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 190 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBermuda, United States, Bahamas, Cuba191,071
+
Bermuda13,369 
United States119,661 
Bahamas57,886 
Cuba153 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Cuba
GREEN 3 03 Jun 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Jun 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Jun 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - Bermuda, United States, Bahamas, Cuba
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmUnited States1,205,543 
100-250 mmUnited States, Bahamas4,831,073
+
United States4,775,801 
Bahamas55,272 
50-100 mmUnited States, Bahamas, Cuba674,534
+
United States540,569 
Bahamas6,324 
Cuba127,640 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2022 18:00 182 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 03 Jun 2022 00:00 177 100 thousand
- - - - Cuba
Blue 3 03 Jun 2022 06:00 290 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 4 03 Jun 2022 12:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Jun 2022 18:00 406 6 million
- - - United States, Bahamas, Cuba




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC