Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOBO-21
in Tanzania, Seychelles
23 Apr 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOBO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Tanzania
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (23 Apr 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Tanzania)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.1 m 159 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.2 m 699 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTanzania02 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Apr 2021 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 2 21 Apr 2021 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 3 21 Apr 2021 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 4 21 Apr 2021 18:00 130 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 5 22 Apr 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Apr 2021 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Apr 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 22 Apr 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 23 Apr 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Tanzania
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Comoros40,605
+
Tanzania300 
Mozambique31,516 
Comoros8,789 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Comoros638,371
+
Tanzania187,102 
Mozambique367,836 
Comoros83,433 
50-100 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Comoros442,996
+
Tanzania145,789 
Mozambique190,051 
Comoros107,156 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Apr 2021 00:00 202 -
- - - - - Seychelles
Blue 2 21 Apr 2021 06:00 229 Few people
- - - - Seychelles
Blue 3 21 Apr 2021 12:00 353 Few people
- - - - Seychelles
Blue 4 21 Apr 2021 18:00 651 Few people
- - - - Seychelles
Blue 5 22 Apr 2021 00:00 343 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Apr 2021 06:00 315 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Apr 2021 12:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Apr 2021 18:00 219 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 23 Apr 2021 00:00 875 680 thousand
- - - Tanzania, Mozambique, Comoros




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Gulioni, Tanzania. This height is estimated for 23 Apr 2021 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Apr 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 00:30 Paje Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 04:30 Ndumbwe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 04:30 Kiswa Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 04:30 Msangamkuu Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:45 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:45 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:45 Dondo Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:45 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:45 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Taandani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Chekea Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Uchangani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Bopwe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Chake Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Ziwani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Kijichame Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Dutani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Hurumuzi Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Vumba Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:00 Chokaningayo Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Donge Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Temi Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Jojo Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:15 Kitwea Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Ambalihabe Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2021 03:30 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
23 Apr 2021 12:15 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 13:30 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
24 Apr 2021 09:45 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:45 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:00 Ruvu Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:00 Mchinga Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:00 Mbanja Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 02:00 Likonga Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Songa Manara I Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Magesani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Kuwea Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Lihimalyao Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 13:15 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 13:15 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Ecota Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Nacala Velha Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Namelala Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Capelelene Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Nacala Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Chepa Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Matiquite Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2021 16:00 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 15:00 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 19:15 Kilwa Masoko Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 19:30 Sitarehe Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 19:30 Kengeja Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 01:15 Madimba Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 01:15 Msimbati Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 01:45 Mtwara Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 04:00 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
23 Apr 2021 04:00 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1