Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SURIGAE-21
in Japan, Philippines, Palau

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SURIGAE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan, Philippines, Palau
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 Apr 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Palau)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.3 m 207 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 234 km/h 0.5 m 1249 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan, Philippines, Palau3,522,653
+
Taiwan1,419,690 
Philippines2,081,928 
Palau21,035 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Apr 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Apr 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Apr 2021 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
GREEN 4 14 Apr 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Apr 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 14 Apr 2021 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Apr 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 15 Apr 2021 06:00 119 -
- - - - - Palau
GREEN 9 15 Apr 2021 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Palau
GREEN 10 15 Apr 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Palau
GREEN 11 16 Apr 2021 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Palau
GREEN 12 16 Apr 2021 06:00 209 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines, Palau
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1249 mm

Up to 9.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines1,197,582 
100-250 mmPhilippines8,362,945 
50-100 mmPhilippines, Palau2,010,503
+
Philippines2,010,398 
Palau105 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Apr 2021 12:00 349 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Apr 2021 18:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Apr 2021 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Apr 2021 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Apr 2021 12:00 287 -
- - - - - Palau
Blue 6 14 Apr 2021 18:00 253 Few people
- - - - Palau
Blue 7 15 Apr 2021 00:00 183 3 thousand
- - - - Palau
Blue 8 15 Apr 2021 06:00 223 6 thousand
- - - - Palau
Blue 9 15 Apr 2021 12:00 232 3 thousand
- - - - Palau
Blue 10 15 Apr 2021 18:00 220 Few people
- - - - Palau
Blue 11 16 Apr 2021 00:00 198 -
- - - - - Palau
Blue 12 16 Apr 2021 06:00 823 9.6 million
- - - Philippines, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Surigao, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 Apr 2021 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Apr 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Surigao Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Buenavista Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Tagana-an Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Placer Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Matas Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Cadgianao Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Talavera Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Kinabutan Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Gigaquit Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Claver Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Urbistondo Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Taganito Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Adlay Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Pamosaingan Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Socorro Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Cabugao Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Dapa Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:00 Numancia Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Abucay Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Orani Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Samal Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Balanga Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Pilar Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Orion Philippines  0.3
16 Apr 2021 09:00 San Benito Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 09:00 Sapao Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 09:00 Beilon Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 09:00 Burgos Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Amontay Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Mascarina Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Apad Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Gumaca Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Argosino Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Lopez Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Calauag Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Apad Lutao Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Alabat Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:15 Limay Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Cabag Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Atimonan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Layagoang Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Batang Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Damipac Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Ugnisan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bonongan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Carigmalan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Molpok Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Culion Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bataguanan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bulalacao Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bancuan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Coron Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 09:00 Alegria Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Manila Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bogtong Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Kiwit Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 San Nicolas Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bangwang Daan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Banuang Daan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Talingting Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Cavite Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Perez Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Cavilla Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 07:45 Amaya Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 07:45 Tehero Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 07:45 Tanza Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 07:45 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 07:45 General Trias Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 07:45 Imus Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Pangas Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Binauangan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Mactang Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Borac Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:30 San Jose Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 08:45 Valencia Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Polillo Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Abucay Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Paet Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Rizal Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Daram Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 San Andres Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Igot Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Calbiga Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Salay Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Calamias Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Bisliang Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Santa Rita Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Mauban Philippines  0.2
16 Apr 2021 10:45 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:45 Mariveles Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:00 Lamitan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:00 Bojelebung Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:00 Kandiis Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:15 San Isidro Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Pilar Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:15 Caridad Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Labayat Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Koror Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Calmung Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Binaluan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Liminancong Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Bebeladan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 El Nido Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Camago Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Manlalec Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Real Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Almongui Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Konlei Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Karaeru Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Ulubosan Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Galap Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Jomalig Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Infanta Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 08:45 San Jose Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Bagahupi Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Palo Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Tacloban Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Santa Elena Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Mongabong Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Tanauan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Basey Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Nouvelas Oriental Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Osmena Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Binocyahan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Icting Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Marabut Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 08:15 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 08:15 Naic Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Barceloneta Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Mandao Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Barana Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Fundado Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Karigsa Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:45 Calabanga Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Capalonga Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:30 Linao Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:30 Bisagu Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:30 Aparri Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:30 Alilinu Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:30 Punta Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 07:30 Balza Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Dabadoru Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Airai Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Goikul Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Galakasan Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 06:00 Melekeok Palau  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Barotuan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 Pandan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 Dipnay Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 Calibangbangan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 Pinamalayan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 San Pedro Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:15 Maroyogroyog Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Alayao Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:30 San Nicolas Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Guadalupe Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 10:30 Linapacan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Bislig Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Mangagoy Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Otiela Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Lingig Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Lawigan Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Barcelona Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:15 Oton Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 09:00 Malinao Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Busuanga Philippines  0.1
16 Apr 2021 11:00 Salvacion Philippines  0.1