Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIO-20
Off-shore
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (06 Sep 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 308 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.2 m 573 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Sep 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico30895 
100-250 mmMexico2174939 
50-100 mmMexico14762366 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2020 00:00 339 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 05 Sep 2020 12:00 502 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 06 Sep 2020 00:00 308 960 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Salinas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Sep 2020 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Sep 2020 14:30 Salinas Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 14:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 14:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2020 14:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2020 14:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2020 14:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2020 00:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2020 00:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2020 00:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2020 14:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 23:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 23:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2020 15:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
05 Sep 2020 14:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 15:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 15:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 15:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 22:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 22:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 04:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 21:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 05:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 05:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 05:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 00:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 20:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
07 Sep 2020 20:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 13:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 15:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 06:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 06:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 06:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 15:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 14:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 14:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 14:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 14:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 16:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 00:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link