Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIO-20
Off-shore
05 Sep 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (05 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.1 m 339 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.2 m 573 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico11,954 
100-250 mmMexico3,895,620 
50-100 mmMexico, United States14,589,693
+
Mexico14,589,680 
United States13 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2020 00:00 533 3.9 million
- - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Rancho Magueyes, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Sep 2020 12:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 12:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 12:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 05:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 05:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 05:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 10:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 10:30 Salinas Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 10:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 10:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 12:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 04:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 06:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1