Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (03 Jun 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 126 km/h 0.4 m 378 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 133 km/h 1.0 m 367 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia6,139,492 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 130 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

367 mm

Up to 17.3 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia201,443 
100-250 mmIndia17,063,487 
50-100 mmIndia72,925,399 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 440 17.3 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Murud, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Murud India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 New Kandla India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 02:30 Bankot India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 02:30 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kambhat India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kavi India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Sarod India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Wadgam India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 04:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 02:15 Anjanwel India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jodiya India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Revadanda India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Alibag India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:30 Guhagar India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Tuna India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Asarsa India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Boria India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Mirya India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Jambura India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Purnagad India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Purangad India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 13:00 Harinagar India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 13:00 Tankari India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 13:00 Muler India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Mandve India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Adiura India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Anjuna India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Marmagao India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Panaji India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Agacaim India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 00:00 Madgaon India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
05 Jun 2020 13:00 Dahej India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 13:00 Ghogha India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Vijayadurg India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.3
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Bainduru India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Kumta India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Pural India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Chopdem India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:30 Akri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Devgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Okha India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Aramda India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Honavar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Manki India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Mavalli India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 11:15 Bhagva India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 11:15 Olpad India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Achra India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Malvan India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Mundra India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Ankola India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Shirali India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 11:15 Damka India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Karwar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Salaya India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Advota India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Chaudi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Majali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Udipi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:45 Navinal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Surat India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Jalalpur India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 10:30 Mahuver India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
05 Jun 2020 12:00 Udvada India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 12:00 Dharasana India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 12:00 Valsad India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 12:00 Bilimora India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 10:45 Nausari India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 10:45 Navsari India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:45 Malan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:30 Miski Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:30 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Mumbai India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Asumumbay India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Uran India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Trombay India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:30 Suthri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:30 Bhadia India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:45 Daman India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 09:45 Kotada India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Mandvi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 22:30 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 22:30 Keti Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 22:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Mahuva India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 22:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 21:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 21:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 23:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 17:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mulki India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 12:00 Umbargam India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 12:00 Maroli India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Jafarabad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Palghar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Mahim India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Agashi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Vasai India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Navghar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 11:45 Dwarka India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:30 Bordi India  0.1