Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
30 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Jun 15:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 152 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 76 km/h 0.2 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 May 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 May 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmGuatemala214,761 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras11,204,484
+
Mexico2,210,569 
Guatemala5,615,094 
Honduras16,210 
El Salvador3,362,611 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica16,312,310
+
Mexico4,849,106 
Belize66,302 
Guatemala6,314,657 
Honduras1,856,269 
El Salvador2,762,901 
Nicaragua458,905 
Costa Rica4,170 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica13,916,487
+
Mexico3,740,150 
Belize264,670 
Guatemala2,452,026 
Honduras3,619,517 
Nicaragua2,902,513 
Costa Rica937,611 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 00:00 117 6 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 30 May 2020 12:00 669 27.7 million
- - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jun 2020 15:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jun 2020 15:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2020 15:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 15:45 Victoria Mexico  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
30 May 2020 13:30 Albania Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Santeneja Belize  0.1
01 Jun 2020 00:45 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 00:45 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 08:15 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 08:15 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 08:15 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Belize City Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 08:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 08:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 08:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 08:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 05:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 06:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 07:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 11:00 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 10:30 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 19:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 19:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tonala Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Moray Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Campamento Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Hato Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Buena Vista Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Tambor Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 06:30 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 06:30 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 06:30 Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 06:30 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 04:45 Gales Point Belize  0.1
01 Jun 2020 04:45 Mullins Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 21:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1