Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
31 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Jun 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 293 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 76 km/h 0.2 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 May 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras1,425,274
+
Mexico997,549 
Guatemala382,446 
Honduras40,660 
El Salvador4,619 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica23,370,654
+
Mexico6,225,252 
Belize74,984 
Guatemala10,266,032 
Honduras1,037,887 
El Salvador5,356,979 
Nicaragua221,719 
Costa Rica187,801 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica18,661,567
+
Mexico5,590,662 
Belize250,845 
Guatemala3,734,135 
Honduras3,719,415 
El Salvador763,914 
Nicaragua2,889,806 
Costa Rica1,712,790 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 00:00 117 6 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 30 May 2020 12:00 152 730 thousand
- - - - Mexico, El Salvador, Nicaragua
Blue 3 31 May 2020 00:00 405 1.2 million
- - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 4 31 May 2020 12:00 410 24.8 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 19:15 Corozal Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 19:15 Chunox Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 19:15 Chetumal Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 19:15 Calderita Mexico  0.3
31 May 2020 19:15 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Albania Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 La Herradura El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 El Zapote El Salvador  0.2
01 Jun 2020 13:30 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 13:30 Calderas Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 El Sunzal El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 La Libertad El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 San Diego El Salvador  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:45 Santeneja Belize  0.2
31 May 2020 19:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 El Nispero El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 El Moray Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Buena Vista Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 El Tambor Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 20:15 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 20:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Belize City Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 18:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 18:30 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 18:30 El Capulin Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:45 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:45 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:45 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Campamento Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Hato Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 La Union El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 14:30 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Gales Point Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:30 Mullins Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 19:00 El Zapote Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 Agua El Salvador  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 20:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2020 14:15 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 14:15 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
01 Jun 2020 14:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 14:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 14:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 14:30 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1