Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TREVOR-19 in Australia from 17 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC to 23 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19

in Australia

17 Mar 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	119 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (20 Mar 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	119 km/h	0.0 m	609 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	151 km/h	1.0 m	932 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	5,555

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	17 Mar 2019 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Mar 2019 12:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

932 mm

Up to 650 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Australia	02
250-500 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	35,990	+
	Indonesia	13,459
	Papua New Guinea	3,033
	Australia	19,498
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	610,622	+
	Indonesia	163,196
	Papua New Guinea	279,370
	Australia	168,056
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	2,021,212	+
	Indonesia	443,482
	Papua New Guinea	1,519,582
	Other countries	12
	Australia	58,136

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	17 Mar 2019 00:00	447	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Mar 2019 12:00	609	650 thousand					-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Other countries, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Mapoon, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Mar 2019 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20 Mar 2019 09:15	Mapoon	Australia	0.4
	20 Mar 2019 09:15	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 09:15	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 10:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	19 Mar 2019 06:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 09:30	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 09:30	Seisia	Australia	0.3
	19 Mar 2019 05:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Mar 2019 05:45	Aloszville	Australia	0.3
	20 Mar 2019 09:45	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 09:45	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 03:15	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 02:15	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 02:15	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 02:15	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 02:30	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 02:30	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Mar 2019 02:30	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:30	Cooktown	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:30	Elim	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Mossman	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Miallo	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Wonga	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Port Douglas	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 10:45	Hockley	Australia	0.2
	20 Mar 2019 10:30	Ayton	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 08:00	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Trinity Beach	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Barron Falls	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Yorkeys Knob	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Freshwater	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Stratford	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Edge Hill	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 01:15	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 11:45	Lower Tully	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:15	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 15:00	Mutarnee	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 15:00	Moongobulla	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 15:00	Rollingstone	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 15:00	Kinduro	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Woree	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	White Rock	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 05:45	Cairns	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 15:00	Cassady	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 14:45	Halifax	Australia	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 14:45	Lucinda	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Kamma	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 11:15	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 07:45	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 07:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 07:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 07:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Mar 2019 07:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 11:30	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 04:30	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:15	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 06:30	Pallarenda	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 06:30	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 06:30	Townsville	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 06:30	Oonoonba	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 06:30	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	20 Mar 2019 08:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.