Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TREVOR-19
in Australia
17 Mar 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TREVOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Papua New Guinea, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (19 Mar 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.0 m 447 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 151 km/h 1.0 m 932 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPapua New Guinea, Australia158
+
Papua New Guinea151 
Australia07 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Mar 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia1,219
+
Indonesia885 
Australia334 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia341,497
+
Indonesia136,360 
Papua New Guinea119,589 
Australia85,548 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia1,395,614
+
Indonesia498,014 
Papua New Guinea755,925 
Other countries12 
Australia141,663 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Mar 2019 00:00 447 340 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Other countries, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Running Creek, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Mar 2019 16:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Mar 2019 16:45 Running Creek Australia  0.5
19 Mar 2019 16:15 Aloszville Australia  0.5
19 Mar 2019 07:30 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 06:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Per Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Jow Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 04:45 Agats Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 05:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 22:15 Mapoon Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 00:00 Hammond I Australia  0.2
20 Mar 2019 00:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 22:00 Badu Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 11:15 Cooktown Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 11:15 Elim Australia  0.2
19 Mar 2019 23:15 Halifax Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:15 Cassady Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:15 Lucinda Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:30 Mutarnee Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:30 Moongobulla Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:30 Rollingstone Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:30 Kinduro Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 21:45 Mossman Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 21:45 Miallo Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 21:45 Wonga Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 21:45 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 22:15 Hockley Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 21:00 Ayton Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Mar 2019 09:00 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Mar 2019 00:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 00:00 Seisia Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Matara Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Urum Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 05:45 Daub Indonesia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:45 Pallarenda Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 23:45 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 22:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 22:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 22:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1