Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-20
in , Fiji, Vanuatu
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Dec 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 23 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.4 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Dec 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Dec 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 11 Dec 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Dec 2020 00:00 72 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 5 12 Dec 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFiji, Tonga, New Caledonia152,929
+
Fiji137,322 
Tonga15,430 
New Caledonia177 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa, Tonga, Vanuatu, New Caledonia215,000
+
Tuvalu442 
Solomon Islands7,282 
Fiji161,564 
Wallis and Futuna12,963 
Samoa15,998 
Tonga1,814 
Vanuatu3,468 
New Caledonia11,469 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Dec 2020 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Dec 2020 00:00 17 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Dec 2020 12:00 20 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Dec 2020 00:00 20 Few people - - - - - - New Caledonia
Blue 5 12 Dec 2020 12:00 508 150 thousand
- - - - Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa, Tonga, Vanuatu, New Caledonia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Lao, Fiji. This height is estimated for 14 Dec 2020 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Dec 2020 05:00 Lao Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 05:00 Nailou Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 05:00 Nawi Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 05:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 05:00 Napuka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 23:00 Ba Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Moneo New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Houailou New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 18:30 Takataka Solomon Islands  0.2
12 Dec 2020 18:30 Ahia Solomon Islands  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Namaka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Tavua Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 13:45 Togowere Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Korovou Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Naingani Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Navuti Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:30 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Thavanga Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Vangai Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 21:45 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Solevu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Nasea Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 16:30 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:45 Natua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:45 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:45 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:45 Naindi Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 12:45 Korosi Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 02:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 02:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 02:00 Naua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 02:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:30 Pek Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:30 Ngusui Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 16:15 Crepeta Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Kaokaona Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Umara Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Pamua Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Sungasau Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Tawarodo Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Hulihale Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Kaonasughu Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Waimapuru Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Mwanimauru Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Manihinua Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Manchuki Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Ngorangora Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Arohane Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Tawani Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:45 Manewiriwiri Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Levuka Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 12:30 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:30 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 13:15 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 13:15 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 18:15 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 18:15 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 18:15 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 18:15 Hog Harbour Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Tavua Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:00 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:00 Waisa Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 23:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Narano Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Napurongo Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Naganea Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Nakuhu Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Naparaohau Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Naana Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Mwaniwowo Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Mwarairaru Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Maniborkosi Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Nasuragena Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Funakumwa Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Tawarogha Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Geta Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Star Harb Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Mami Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Fageifa Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Ragapu Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 03:15 Ghupuna Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 15:15 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:45 Gadji New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:45 Kuto New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:45 Wapan New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:45 Vao New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:15 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 19:00 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 05:15 Nepoui New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 05:15 Station Ouaneko New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 05:15 Station de Beaupre New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 09:15 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:00 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:00 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 23:15 Korotasere Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 23:15 Naweni Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 23:15 Nakarambo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 23:15 Viani Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Loanatom Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Loounemeloupang Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Loounimhapeun Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Laounalang Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Lowkahmal Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Lownepina Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Imwareupo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 21:45 Waisisi Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:30 Nausori Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:30 Lokia Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:30 Cautata Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:30 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:30 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 10:00 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 10:00 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 10:00 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 10:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 10:00 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 10:00 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Nakondu Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Nathamaki Fiji  0.1
13 Dec 2020 23:15 Nasau Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 02:15 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1