Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-20
in , Fiji, Vanuatu
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries New Caledonia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (12 Dec 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.2 m 20 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.4 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Caledonia489 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Dec 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Dec 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 11 Dec 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Dec 2020 00:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFiji, Vanuatu, New Caledonia4,588
+
Fiji2,164 
Vanuatu75 
New Caledonia2,349 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Vanuatu, Samoa, Tonga, Fiji, New Caledonia182,812
+
Tuvalu39 
Fiji13,673 
Vanuatu7,602 
Samoa11,678 
Tonga23,153 
New Caledonia126,667 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Dec 2020 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Dec 2020 00:00 17 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Dec 2020 12:00 20 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Dec 2020 00:00 437 5 thousand
- - - - Tuvalu, Fiji, Vanuatu, Samoa, Tonga, New Caledonia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Koroinasolo, Fiji. This height is estimated for 12 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Dec 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Dec 2020 00:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Lao Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Nailou Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Nawi Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
13 Dec 2020 21:15 Napuka Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 18:30 Takataka Solomon Islands  0.2
12 Dec 2020 18:30 Ahia Solomon Islands  0.2
12 Dec 2020 11:00 Moneo New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 11:00 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 11:00 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 11:00 Houailou New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 11:00 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 11:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 07:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 07:45 Pam New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Togowere Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Korovou Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Naingani Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Navuti Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:30 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:30 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:30 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:30 Ba Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Paola New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Naindi Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:30 Mamie New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:30 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:30 Waho New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:30 Goro New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Luganville Vanuatu  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Saraotou Vanuatu  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.2
13 Dec 2020 14:30 Namaka Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Nasea Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
14 Dec 2020 01:15 Vangai Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 06:30 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
12 Dec 2020 01:30 Naua Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 01:30 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
12 Dec 2020 14:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:30 Pek Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:30 Crepeta Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:30 Ngusui Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Kaokaona Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Umara Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Pamua Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Sungasau Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Tawarodo Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Hulihale Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Kaonasughu Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Waimapuru Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Mwanimauru Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Manihinua Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Manchuki Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Ngorangora Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Arohane Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Tawani Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 02:30 Manewiriwiri Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 10:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Pouebo New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Yambe New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Diahoue New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Colnett New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:00 Solevu Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:45 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.1
14 Dec 2020 21:15 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 21:15 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 21:15 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 21:15 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
14 Dec 2020 21:15 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:45 Levuka Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:45 Natua Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:45 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 22:45 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Nasau Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:30 Waisa Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 06:30 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Narano Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Napurongo Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Naganea Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Nakuhu Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Naparaohau Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Naana Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Mwaniwowo Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Mwarairaru Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Maniborkosi Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Nasuragena Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Funakumwa Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Tawarogha Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Geta Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Star Harb Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Mami Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Fageifa Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Ragapu Solomon Islands  0.1
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Ghupuna Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 11:15 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:30 Gadji New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:30 Kuto New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:30 Wapan New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:30 Vao New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 10:30 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:15 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
14 Dec 2020 01:15 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Koumac New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Kaala-Gomen New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 05:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Nausori Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Lokia Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Cautata Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:15 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 11:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 11:30 Thavanga Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 11:30 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 11:30 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Loanatom Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Loounemeloupang Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Loounimhapeun Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Laounalang Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Lowkahmal Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Lownepina Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Imwareupo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 04:45 Waisisi Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 01:15 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 01:15 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 01:15 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 01:15 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 01:15 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Tavua Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 14:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:45 Malake Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 00:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 09:00 Tawake Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Soso Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 03:15 Sisili Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:15 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:15 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:15 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
12 Dec 2020 20:15 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
13 Dec 2020 14:15 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 06:00 Hog Harbour Vanuatu  0.1
12 Dec 2020 08:00 Fagani Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 08:00 Bio I Solomon Islands  0.1
12 Dec 2020 08:00 Suenn Solomon Islands  0.1