Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
20 Sep 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (20 Sep 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 266 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

108 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico5,665 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 405 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2020 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2020 23:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 21:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 23:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 23:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 23:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 23:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 20:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 23:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 23:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 22:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 23:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1