Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
21 Sep 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (21 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.5 m 137 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico237 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 333 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.5
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Cedros Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 11:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 09:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 09:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 09:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 12:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 11:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 11:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 10:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1