Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (11 Aug 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h 0.6 m 83 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.8 m 364 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico05 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico05 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 363 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 123 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2020 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Aug 2020 05:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.6
11 Aug 2020 02:45 Molino Mexico  0.5
11 Aug 2020 02:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.5
11 Aug 2020 02:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.5
11 Aug 2020 03:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.5
11 Aug 2020 03:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.5
11 Aug 2020 03:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
13 Aug 2020 13:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
12 Aug 2020 15:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Novillero Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 00:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 13:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 13:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 13:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Cedros Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 07:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 21:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
14 Aug 2020 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 03:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 10:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 00:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 05:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 07:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Austwell United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 12:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 03:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 12:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 06:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 06:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 23:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 06:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 11:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 11:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 10:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 21:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 10:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Chamela Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 16:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 16:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 12:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 09:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 16:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Apisa Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:15 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 23:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 22:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Coyote Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 North Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Doyle United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Portland United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Gregory United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 09:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Calvario Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Estes United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 08:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 11:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 10:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 12:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 22:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
13 Aug 2020 23:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:45 Lamar United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 06:15 Fulton United States  0.1
13 Aug 2020 00:00 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 05:15 El Martillo United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 05:15 Yarborough United States  0.1