Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (09 Aug 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.8 m 286 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.8 m 364 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico883 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico881 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 336 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.8
10 Aug 2020 16:00 Molino Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2020 16:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.5
09 Aug 2020 17:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 16:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 16:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 16:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 16:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 16:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 17:30 Cedros Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 19:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 17:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
10 Aug 2020 15:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 Austwell United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 09:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 13:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 14:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 23:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 18:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 03:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 18:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 01:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 13:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 18:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 00:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 23:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 23:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 23:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 18:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 18:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 13:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 00:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 19:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 18:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Copala Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 12:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 13:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 23:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 El Marques Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 02:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 02:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 02:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 02:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Estes United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Rockport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 North Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Doyle United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Portland United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Gregory United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 07:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Coyote Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 17:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:30 Lamar United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 18:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Joluta Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 02:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:45 Fulton United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 23:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 23:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 01:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 23:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 01:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 08:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 08:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 12:00 Maruata Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 00:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 11:45 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1