Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for AMPHAN-20 in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan from 16 May 2020 06:00 UTC to 20 May 2020 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20

in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan

17 May 2020 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Bangladesh, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (17 May 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	104 km/h	0.4 m	143 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	166 km/h	2.5 m	658 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

166 km/h

Up to 300 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Bangladesh, India	296,991	+
	Bangladesh	18,638
	India	278,353

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 May 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 May 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 May 2020 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 May 2020 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 May 2020 12:00	212	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	2,916
100-250 mm	Bhutan, Burma, India	7,014,857	+
	India	6,997,589
	Burma	16,333
	Bhutan	935
50-100 mm	India, Burma, Bhutan, Nepal, China, Bangladesh, Thailand, Sri Lanka	18,250,857	+
	India	13,216,247
	Burma	4,624,240
	Bhutan	9,413
	Nepal	8,030
	China	6,350
	Bangladesh	382,089
	Thailand	1,044
	Sri Lanka	3,444

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 May 2020 12:00	242	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	16 May 2020 00:00	179	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	16 May 2020 12:00	347	120 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
4	17 May 2020 00:00	222	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 May 2020 12:00	587	7 million				-	-	-	India, Burma, Bhutan, Nepal, China, Bangladesh, Thailand, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Shwe-o, Myanmar. This height is estimated for 17 May 2020 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2020 15:00	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 15:00	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 15:00	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 15:00	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 15:00	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 15:00	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 15:00	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.4
	17 May 2020 14:45	Damathat	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 15:00	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 15:00	Zokali	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 15:00	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:15	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:15	Budin	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:15	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:15	Donwun	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 15:00	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:15	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 15:00	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:30	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:45	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:45	Khindan	Myanmar	0.3
	17 May 2020 14:30	Darein	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 14:30	Paung	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 13:00	Munaing	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 13:00	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 13:00	Kawpamagon	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 19:00	Bandamurlanka	India	0.2
	17 May 2020 14:30	Kala-ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 14:30	Ase-ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 13:00	Kwanhla	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 15:45	Hngetkyidaung	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 15:45	Thegondan	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 15:45	Thaunggon	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 15:45	Mibya	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 13:30	Kyaikkami	Myanmar	0.2
	17 May 2020 19:30	Vishakhapatnam	India	0.2
	17 May 2020 17:45	Gangra	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 17:30	Kakdwip	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 17:30	Namkhana	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 17:30	Belpukur	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:45	Antarvedi	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 23:30	Chittivalasa	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 23:30	Bhimunipatnam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 23:30	Konada	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:15	Tirumullaivasal	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:15	Kaveripattanam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Porto Novo	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:15	Baruva	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Dublat	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 16:45	Peddapatnam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 19:30	Aunghlaing	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 19:30	Polaung	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 19:30	Kadonkani	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 19:30	Yegyawgyi	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 19:30	Ama	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:15	Koyyam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:15	Dharmavaram	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 17:00	Venkatapuram	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 17:00	Pata Polvaram	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 17:00	Pudimadaka	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Kayindaung	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Pentakota	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:45	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:30	Accarapatam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:30	Velangann	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:30	Nagappattinam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Srikurman	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Govundlapalem	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:00	Tawgyaik	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:30	Ale-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:30	Chaunggyi	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:15	Palalankwe	India	0.1
	18 May 2020 00:00	Therunattam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:15	Bogon	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Kalingapatnam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Naupada	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Ullapalem	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Pakala	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Tawbaing	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Alandaing	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Hseikma	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Dawnvein	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:15	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Saint Thomas Mount	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Madhavaram	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Chennai	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Tiruvottiyur	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:30	Kelambakkam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 23:30	Kakinada	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:45	Kyauktazi	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 13:00	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:00	Seikkyi	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Chipurupalle	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Cuddalore	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Purnankuppam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Pondicherry	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:00	Kalapettai	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 16:00	Ennore	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:15	Kuvattur	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:15	Mahabalipuram	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Keaiya	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 14:45	Taka-roait	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Karen	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Hastmatabad	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Hobdaypur	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Mahglutan	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Garacherama	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Bamboo Flat	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Rangachang	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Jangli Ghat	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 18:00	Port Blair	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 12:45	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 13:45	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 15:30	Marakkanam	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 20:15	Ase	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 19:00	Ammalapadu	India	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Zibyugyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Pyinkayaing	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Wagon	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Ledaung	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Chaunggwa	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Magyigyaing	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 21:30	Thetkethaung	Myanmar	0.1
	17 May 2020 23:00	Gollapalem	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.