Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for HAROLD-20 in , Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu from 02 Apr 2020 18:00 UTC to 09 Apr 2020 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAROLD-20

in , Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAROLD-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Vanuatu
Exposed population	30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (03 Apr 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	104 km/h	0.3 m	138 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	317 km/h	0.6 m	1019 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

317 km/h

Up to 150 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Vanuatu	33,045
Tropical Storm	Vanuatu	152,341

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	02 Apr 2020 18:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Solomon Islands
2	03 Apr 2020 00:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Solomon Islands
3	03 Apr 2020 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	03 Apr 2020 12:00	144	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	Vanuatu

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Solomon Islands, Vanuatu	173,227	+
	Solomon Islands	2,514
	Vanuatu	170,713
50-100 mm	Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Vanuatu, Tonga, Niue, New Caledonia	513,532	+
	Solomon Islands	26,044
	Papua New Guinea	31,571
	Fiji	387,939
	Vanuatu	65,208
	Tonga	2,163
	Niue	29
	New Caledonia	578

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	02 Apr 2020 18:00	170	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
2	03 Apr 2020 00:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Solomon Islands
3	03 Apr 2020 06:00	80	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	03 Apr 2020 12:00	812	170 thousand			-	-	-	-	Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Vanuatu, Tonga, Niue, New Caledonia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Torakina, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Torakina	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Koiaris	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	03 Apr 2020 12:15	Jaba	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Korosi	Fiji	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Korotasere	Fiji	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Naweni	Fiji	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Nakarambo	Fiji	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Viani	Fiji	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Ndrekeniwai	Fiji	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Kamaleai	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Moisuru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	East Pt	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Olava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Ghaomai	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Harapa	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Koliai	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Harehare	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Nila	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Fauro I	Solomon Islands	0.2
	03 Apr 2020 18:00	Zambanarungga	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 18:00	Vure	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 18:00	Boemboe	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 18:00	Rob Roy I	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 18:00	Jiku	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 18:00	Posarae	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:30	Togowere	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:30	Rakiraki	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:30	Vaileka	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:30	Nanukuloa	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Namboutini	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Lao	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Nailou	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Nawi	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Vunikura	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Napuka	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Shortland I	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Maleai	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:30	Barora Fa I	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:30	Kia	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Veranaue	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Saua	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Dhadhaje	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Tatamba	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Sidu	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Lokiha	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Sepi	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:45	Vuluva	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 17:45	Suavanao	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 17:45	Zuzuao Point	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:00	Malake	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:00	Biagunu	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:00	Mbangasau	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Vangai	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:00	Ho	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:00	Meomo	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:00	Houailou	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:00	Ouakaya	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:00	Poro	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:00	Kouaoua	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Aitara Mission	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Poum	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Poum-Plage	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Paagoumene	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Arama	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 12:00	Pam	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 14:30	Ouasse	New Caledonia	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Yandina	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Nayavutoka	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Korovou	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Lodoni	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Lawaki	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Naingani	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Navuti	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Nasaga	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Rukuruku	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:00	Hovoro	Solomon Islands	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 13:15	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Ucunivanua	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Lovoni	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Nauouo	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:45	Levuka	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Naua	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 15:15	Tawake	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:45	Koroinasolo	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:45	Savu Sau	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:45	Navinggiri	Fiji	0.1
	03 Apr 2020 16:45	Yangganga	Fiji	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.