Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.9 m (08 Feb 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 151 km/h 3.9 m 171 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 180 km/h 3.0 m 650 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia20105 
CAT. 2Australia3806 
CAT. 1Australia706 
Tropical StormAustralia24969 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 209 20 thousand
- - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia3 
250-500 mmAustralia6067 
100-250 mmAustralia22703 
50-100 mmAustralia14419 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 406 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 398 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 696 30 thousand
- - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.9m in Karratha, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 04:15 Karratha Australia  3.9
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Dampier Australia  3.9
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Wickham Australia  2.8
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Point Samson Australia  2.8
08 Feb 2020 03:45 Cossack Australia  2.8
08 Feb 2020 06:30 East Lewis I Australia  1.6
07 Feb 2020 23:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.9
07 Feb 2020 21:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 06:00 Condon Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 09:45 Pardoo Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 18:45 Mardie Australia  0.4
07 Feb 2020 01:15 Albany Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2020 01:15 Emu Point Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2020 04:00 Derby Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2020 20:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 09:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 07:45 Derby Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Waterbank Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Broome Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 11:45 Glenroy Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Exmouth Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Oakdale Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 11:15 Eyre Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2020 11:15 Thundulda Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Minarup Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 11:30 Learmonth Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 03:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 04:30 Warroora Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 10:15 Cardabia Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 16:30 Aermata Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 16:30 Klampis Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 16:30 Sapulu Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 16:15 Tlagabiru Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 16:15 Banjoeates Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:45 Tambak Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:45 Sangkapura Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 08:30 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:45 Kelapang Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Guying Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 02:30 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:30 Sokabana Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 03:30 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 03:30 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 03:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 05:15 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:15 Pender Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 14:00 Puteran Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 14:00 Lombang Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 14:00 Banraas Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 14:00 Sokaramme Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Denmark Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Youngs Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:00 Ambunten-timu Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 15:00 Belukares Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 01:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
08 Feb 2020 00:45 Parryville Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 10:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link