Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.8 m (08 Feb 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h 3.8 m 398 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 180 km/h 3.0 m 650 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

180 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Australia18251 
CAT. 2Australia1482 
CAT. 1Australia4940 
Tropical StormAustralia25680 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 209 20 thousand
- - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia959 
100-250 mmAustralia40342 
50-100 mmAustralia4643 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 406 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 618 40 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

3.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.8m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2020 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2020 03:15 Dampier Australia  3.8
08 Feb 2020 03:15 Karratha Australia  3.8
08 Feb 2020 03:45 East Lewis I Australia  2.5
08 Feb 2020 01:45 Wickham Australia  2.0
08 Feb 2020 01:45 Point Samson Australia  2.0
08 Feb 2020 01:45 Cossack Australia  2.0
08 Feb 2020 00:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.8
07 Feb 2020 22:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.5
06 Feb 2020 09:45 Derby Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 21:15 Condon Australia  0.5
07 Feb 2020 22:00 Pardoo Australia  0.5
06 Feb 2020 08:45 Derby Australia  0.5
06 Feb 2020 13:45 Albany Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 13:45 Emu Point Australia  0.3
07 Feb 2020 08:00 Mardie Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 09:00 Thangoo Australia  0.3
06 Feb 2020 12:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 12:45 Waterbank Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 12:45 Broome Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 06:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
06 Feb 2020 12:15 Pender Australia  0.2
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Oakdale Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 05:15 Minarup Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 07:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 12:00 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
07 Feb 2020 12:00 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2020 00:30 Glenroy Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link