Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FENGSHEN-19 Off-shore from 11 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC to 17 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	151 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (14 Nov 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	151 km/h	0.2 m	214 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	234 km/h	0.3 m	630 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	11 Nov 2019 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Nov 2019 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Nov 2019 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Nov 2019 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	12 Nov 2019 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	12 Nov 2019 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	13 Nov 2019 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	13 Nov 2019 06:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	13 Nov 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Nov 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	14 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	14 Nov 2019 06:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	14 Nov 2019 12:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	14 Nov 2019 18:00	227	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

630 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	11 Nov 2019 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Nov 2019 18:00	409	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Nov 2019 00:00	281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Nov 2019 06:00	215	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	12 Nov 2019 12:00	270	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	12 Nov 2019 18:00	273	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	13 Nov 2019 00:00	183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	13 Nov 2019 06:00	268	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	13 Nov 2019 12:00	292	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Nov 2019 18:00	239	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	14 Nov 2019 00:00	174	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	14 Nov 2019 06:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	14 Nov 2019 12:00	212	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	14 Nov 2019 18:00	675	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Shomushon, Northern Mariana Islands. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Nov 2019 18:00	Shomushon	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	14 Nov 2019 18:00	Marasu	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Colonia	Micronesia	0.2
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Harmon Village	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Oceanview	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Dededo	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Potts Junction	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Spring Hill Subdivision	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Upi	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Asatdas	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:00	Lupog	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Sunharon Roads	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Afetna	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Susupi	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Laolao	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Chalan Kanoa	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Aslito	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Saipan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 16:15	Kagman	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:30	Garapan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:30	Mutcho	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:30	Tanapag	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:30	San Roque	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 00:45	Oki	Japan	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 00:45	Hyogidaira	Japan	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Piti	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Asan	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Inarajan	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Hagatna	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Sinajana	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Talofofo	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Mongmong	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Ylig	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Yona	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Tamuning	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Barrigada	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Camp Quezon	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	South Acres	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Asbeco	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Adacao	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Ipapao	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Perez Acres	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 04:00	Gayinero	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Lockwood Terrace	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Agat	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Camp Bright	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Umatac	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Santa Rita	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 10:15	Merizo	Guam	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:15	Songsong	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:15	Teteto	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:15	Rota	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	17 Nov 2019 09:15	Sinapalo	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 18:15	Higashi	Japan	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 18:45	Omura	Japan	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 18:45	Ogigaura	Japan	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 18:45	Sakaiura	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.