Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FENGSHEN-19 Off-shore from 11 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC to 17 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (14 Nov 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	104 km/h	0.3 m	174 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	234 km/h	0.3 m	630 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

234 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	11 Nov 2019 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Nov 2019 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Nov 2019 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Nov 2019 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	12 Nov 2019 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	12 Nov 2019 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	13 Nov 2019 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	13 Nov 2019 06:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	13 Nov 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Nov 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	14 Nov 2019 00:00	212	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	11 Nov 2019 12:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	11 Nov 2019 18:00	409	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Nov 2019 00:00	281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Nov 2019 06:00	215	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	12 Nov 2019 12:00	270	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	12 Nov 2019 18:00	273	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	13 Nov 2019 00:00	183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	13 Nov 2019 06:00	268	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	13 Nov 2019 12:00	292	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Nov 2019 18:00	239	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	14 Nov 2019 00:00	560	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Shomushon, Northern Mariana Islands. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Nov 2019 15:00	Shomushon	Northern Mariana Islands	0.3
	14 Nov 2019 15:00	Marasu	Northern Mariana Islands	0.3
	15 Nov 2019 02:45	Colonia	Micronesia	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Sunharon Roads	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Afetna	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Susupi	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Laolao	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Garapan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Mutcho	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Chalan Kanoa	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Aslito	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Tanapag	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Saipan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	San Roque	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 14:45	Kagman	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Lockwood Terrace	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Camp Bright	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Piti	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Asan	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Hagatna	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Sinajana	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Mongmong	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Yona	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Tamuning	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Barrigada	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Camp Quezon	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Harmon Village	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Oceanview	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Dededo	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	South Acres	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Asbeco	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Adacao	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Ipapao	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Potts Junction	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Perez Acres	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Spring Hill Subdivision	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Upi	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Gayinero	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Asatdas	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Lupog	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 08:45	Songsong	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 08:45	Teteto	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 08:45	Rota	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 08:45	Sinapalo	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Agat	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Santa Rita	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Talofofo	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 09:15	Ylig	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 06:15	Omura	Japan	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 06:15	Ogigaura	Japan	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 06:15	Sakaiura	Japan	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 18:00	Higashi	Japan	0.1
	15 Nov 2019 09:45	Inarajan	Guam	0.1
	16 Nov 2019 21:15	Umatac	Guam	0.1
	16 Nov 2019 21:15	Merizo	Guam	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 11:45	Oki	Japan	0.1
	14 Nov 2019 11:45	Hyogidaira	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.