Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
23 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Oman
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.3 m 68 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m 190 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

61 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Oman30,791
+
Afghanistan53 
Oman30,738 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Oman
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia, Maldives23,698
+
India16,064 
Maldives7,634 
100-250 mmIndia, Maldives105,997
+
India2,257 
Maldives103,740 
50-100 mmIndia, Oman, Ethiopia, Maldives34,807,522
+
India15,245,412 
Oman3,239 
Ethiopia19,556,408 
Maldives2,463 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 346 130 thousand
- - - India, Oman, Ethiopia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2019 18:00 New Kandla India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Navlakhi India  0.3
23 Sep 2019 23:15 Akri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Bhagva India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Olpad India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 21:00 Aramda India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Kavi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Tankari India  0.2
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Tuna India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Dagabta Eritrea  0.2
23 Sep 2019 20:30 Suthri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Agashi India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Dongri India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Vasai India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Navghar India  0.2
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Rasa Eritrea  0.2
23 Sep 2019 21:00 Okha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:15 Dahej India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Jambura India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Pahel Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Laft Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Mandvi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:00 Gadechi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:15 Malad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:15 Trombay India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 19:45 Ghogha India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:30 Palghar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:30 Mahim India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:30 Mumbai India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:45 Bhadia India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:00 Navinal India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:15 Asumumbay India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:15 Asarsa India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:15 Harinagar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:15 Muler India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Doleh Eritrea  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Sika India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:45 Mundra India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:00 Mandve India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:00 Uran India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 20:45 Dwarka India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Chudeswar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Salaya India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Jhankhar India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:15 Alibag India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Kambhat India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Sarod India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:00 Tarapur India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:00 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:15 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Gholvad India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Malyan India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Bordi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Umbargam India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 23:30 Maroli India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Daman India  0.1
24 Sep 2019 00:00 Udvada India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Dawanij Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 21:30 Suhar Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:00 Keti Pakistan  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Mora Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Horena Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Miida Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Sahli Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 18:30 Tio Eritrea  0.1
23 Sep 2019 22:15 Revadanda India  0.1