Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia

Global Telecommunication Service

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2019-09-24 21:11

WTIO51 PGTW 242100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924184749
2019092418 03A HIKAA 009 01 265 11 SATL 020
T000 197N 0570E 060 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 195N 0547E 035
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 57.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 57.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.5N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

>

2019-09-24 21:11

WTIO31 PGTW 242100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 57.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 57.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.5N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 56.4E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 241725Z METOP-A AMSU 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE

>

2019-09-24 20:48

WTIO51 PGTW 242100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924184749
2019092418 03A HIKAA 009 01 265 11 SATL 020
T000 197N 0570E 060 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 195N 0547E 035
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 57.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 57.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.5N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 56.4E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092412 198N 582E 75
0319092412 198N 582E 75
0319092412 198N 582E 75
0319092418 197N 570E 60
0319092418 197N 570E 60
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 20:48

WTIO31 PGTW 242100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 57.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 57.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.5N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 56.4E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 241725Z METOP-A AMSU 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
SHOW A MIDGET TROPICAL CYCLONE WEAKENING OVER LAND AS DRY AIR WRAPS
INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, LENDING GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE
INITIAL POSITION. BASED ON A DECAYING CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AND A
241701Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 60 KTS
WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS MAINTAINS MODERATE
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS) IMPACTING THE SYSTEM. FOLLOWING A WESTERLY TRACK, TC 03A
REMAINS STEERED BY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH OF THE
ARABIAN SEA. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS
FURTHER INLAND, DETERIORATING TO 35 KTS BY TAU 12. THERE IS OVERALL
GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK AS NUMERICAL MODELS SHOW
37 NM OF SPREAD AT TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 14:21

WTIO51 PGTW 241500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924132958
2019092412 03A HIKAA 008 01 265 10 SATL 030
T000 199N 0584E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 045 SE QD
040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 197N 0560E 040
T024 193N 0538E 025
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 19.9N 58.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-24 14:21

WTIO31 PGTW 241500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 19.9N 58.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 58.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 56.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.3N 53.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

>

2019-09-24 14:19

WTIO51 PGTW 241500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924132958
2019092412 03A HIKAA 008 01 265 10 SATL 030
T000 199N 0584E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 197N 0560E 040
T024 193N 0538E 025
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 19.9N 58.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 58.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 56.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.3N 53.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 57.8E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 38
NM SOUTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z AND 250900Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092412 199N 584E 75
0319092412 199N 584E 75
0319092412 199N 584E 75
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 14:17

WTIO31 PGTW 241500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 19.9N 58.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 58.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 56.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.3N 53.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 57.8E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 38
NM SOUTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A MIDGET TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A 10 NM OBLONG EYE THAT
IS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE, SUPPORTING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION. BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (77
KTS) BY PGTW AND AN ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE (ADT) OF T4.4 (75 KTS)
BY CIMSS, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 75 KTS WITH GOOD
CONFIDENCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
AND MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). WARM (26-28
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTRIBUTE TO AN OVERALL FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT. A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH OF THE ARABIAN
SEA WILL CONTINUE TO STEER THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK.
AFTER LANDFALL AROUND TAU 6, EXPECT SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING FROM LAND
INTERACTION WHICH WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 24, TC
03A WILL WEAKEN TO 25 KTS. THERE IS OVERALL FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC FORECAST TRACK AS NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z AND 250900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 12:19

WTIN01 DEMS 241200
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1200 UTC 24 SEPTEMBER 2019.

PART-I STORM WARNING (.)

THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM HIKAA OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 13
KTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0900 UTC OF TODAY, THE 24
TH SEPTEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 58.9 DEG E,
OVER WESTCENTRAL AND ADJOINING NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA ABOUT 1010 KM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI (41780) (PAKISTAN), 85 KM SOUTHEAST OF
MASIRAH (41288) (OMAN) AND ABOUT 135 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DUQM
(41290) (OMAN). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS OMAN COAST BETWEEN LAT. 19.5 DEG N AND
20 DEG N CLOSE TO DUQM (41290) AROUND 1500 UTC OF 24TH SEPTEMBER 2019
AS A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH A WIND SPEED OF 60-65 KTS GUSTING TO
75 KTS (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KTS GUSTING TO 85
KTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS PHENOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978HPA (.)

12 HRS VALID 2019/09/24 AT 21 UTC 19.6 N / 55.8 E MAX WIND 45 KTS
CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/09/25 AT 09 UTC 19.2 N / 53.9 E MAX WIND 20 KTS AS
A LOW (.)

PART-II

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 65 DEG E:SW/W-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC SW/W-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE E
OF 73 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 65 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 67 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 62 DEG E:SW-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)N OF 5 DEG N TO E OF 62 DEG E: W/SW-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
3)REST AREA: SE/S-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 16 DEG N: CYCLONIC 65/80 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA:SW-LY 15/25 KTS BEC W/NW-LY 10/20 KTS TO THE E OF 64
DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 16 DEG N AND W OF 65 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 16 DEG N AND W OF 65 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:1)N OF 16 DEG N: OVER 14.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.5-5.0 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E: S/SW-LY 20/30 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 15/20 KTS BEC SW-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE
E OF 72 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)E OF 65 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 65 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-5.0 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG
E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 85 DEG E: W/SW-LY 10/15 KTS BEC
SW/S-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE N OF 6 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)W OF 85 DEG E:W/SW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
S/SE-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE N OF 7 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: S/SE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)E OF 84 DEG E:ANTI-CYCLONIC 05/10
KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: S/SE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 15 DEG N:FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 15 DEG N:4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.0 MTR (.)
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

2019-09-24 10:12

WTIN01 DEMS 241000
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1000 UTC 24 SEPTEMBER 2019.

PART-I STORM WARNING (.)

THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM HIKAA NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF
14 KTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0600 UTC OF 24 TH
SEPTEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 59.5 DEG E,
OVER THE SAME REGION ABOUT 960 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI (41780)
(PAKISTAN), 95 KM SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH (41288) (OMAN) AND ABOUT
195 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DUQM (41290) (OMAN). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO
MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS OMAN COAST BETWEEN LAT. 19.5 DEG
N AND 20 DEG N CLOSE TO DUQM (41290) AROUND 1500 UTC OF 24TH
SEPTEMBER 2019 AS A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH A WIND SPEED OF
60-65 KTS GUSTING TO 75 KTS (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KTS GUSTING TO 85
KTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS PHENOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978HPA (.)

12 HRS VALID 2019/09/24 AT 18 UTC 19.8 N / 56.9 E MAX WIND 60 KTS
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/09/25 AT 06 UTC 19.5 N / 54.8 E MAX WIND 30 KTS
DEPRESSION (.)

PART-II

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 65 DEG E:SW/W-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC SW/W-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE E OF 73
DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 65 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 67 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 62 DEG E:SW-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)N OF 5 DEG N TO E OF 62 DEG E: W/SW-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
3)REST AREA: SE/S-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 16 DEG N: CYCLONIC 65/80 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA:SW-LY 15/25 KTS BEC W/NW-LY 10/20 KTS TO THE E OF 64
DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 16 DEG N AND W OF 65 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 16 DEG N AND W OF 65 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:1)N OF 16 DEG N: OVER 14.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.5-5.0 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E: S/SW-LY 20/30 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 15/20 KTS BEC SW-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE
E OF 72 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)E OF 65 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: II)WEATHER:1)E OF 65 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-5.0 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG
E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 85 DEG E: W/SW-LY 10/15 KTS BEC
SW/S-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE N OF 6 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)W OF 85 DEG E: W/SW-LY 05/10 KTS
BEC S/SE-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE N OF 7 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: S/SE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)E OF 84 DEG E:ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: S/SE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 15 DEG N:FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 15 DEG N:4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.0 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

2019-09-24 09:01

WTIN01 DEMS 240900
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0900 UTC 24 SEPTEMBER 2019.

PART-I STORM WARNING (.)

THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM HIKAA OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA MOVED NEARLY WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 11
KNOTS DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF 24TH
SEPTEMBER, 2019 NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 DEG N AND LONGITUDE 60.3 DEG E,
OVER THE SAME REGION ABOUT 880 KM WESTSOUTHWEST OF KARACHI (41780)
(PAKISTAN), 160 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH (41288) (OMAN) AND ABOUT
280 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DUQM (41290) (OMAN). IT IS LIKELY TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY FOR NEXT SIX HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY
THEREAFTER. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS
OMAN COAST BETWEEN LAT. 19.5 DEG N AND 20 DEG N CLOSE TO DUQM (41290)
AROUND 1500 UTC OF 24TH SEPTEMBER 2019 AS A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
WITH A WIND SPEED OF 60-65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 73 KNOTS. (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90
KNOTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS PHENOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 HPA (.)

12 HRS VALID 2019/09/24 AT 15 UTC 19.8 N / 57.9 E MAX WIND 60 KTS
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/09/25 AT 03 UTC 19.6 N / 55.8 E MAX WIND 35 KTS
CYCLONIC STORM (.)

PART-II

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 65 DEG E:SW/W-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC SW/W-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE
E OF 73 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 65 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 67 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 62 DEG E:SW-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)N OF 5 DEG N TO E OF 62 DEG E: W/SW-LY 10/15 KTS (.)
3)REST AREA: SE/S-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 64 DEG E: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 64 DEG E: 4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 16 DEG N: CYCLONIC 60/70 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA:SW-LY 15/25 KTS BEC W/NW-LY 10/20 KTS TO THE E OF 64
DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 16 DEG N AND W OF 65 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 16 DEG N AND W OF 65 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:1)N OF 16 DEG N: 9.0-14.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 60 DEG E: S/SW-LY 20/25 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 15/20 KTS BEC SW-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE
E OF 72 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)E OF 65 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: II)WEATHER:1)E OF 65 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-5.0 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG
E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)W OF 85 DEG E: W/SW-LY 10/15 KTS BEC
SW/S-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE N OF 6 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)W OF 85 DEG E: W/SW-LY 05/10 KTS
BEC S/SE-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE N OF 7 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: E/NE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: S/SE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)E OF 84 DEG E:ANTICYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: S/SE-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 15 DEG N:FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 15 DEG N:4-3 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.0 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

2019-09-24 08:54

WTIO51 PGTW 240900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924073448
2019092406 03A HIKAA 007 01 265 13 SATL 030
T000 200N 0595E 080 R064 010 NE QD 005 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 040 SE QD
040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 197N 0571E 055 R050 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 193N 0546E 035 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 20.0N 59.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-24 08:54

WTIO31 PGTW 240900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 20.0N 59.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 59.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.7N 57.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-24 08:45

WTIO51 PGTW 240900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924073448
2019092406 03A HIKAA 007 01 265 13 SATL 030
T000 200N 0595E 080 R064 010 NE QD 005 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 197N 0571E 055 R050 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 193N 0546E 035 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 20.0N 59.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 59.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.7N 57.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.3N 54.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 58.9E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 46
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092406 200N 595E 80
0319092406 200N 595E 80
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 08:45

WTIO31 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 20.0N 59.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 59.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.7N 57.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.3N 54.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 58.9E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 46
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL (MSI) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A MIDGET TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A 10 NM OBLONG EYE,
SUPPORTING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. BASED ON A DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (77 KTS) BY PGTW AND AN ADVANCED DVORAK
TECHNIQUE (ADT) OF T4.9 (87 KTS) BY CIMSS, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
SET AT 80 KTS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS
MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS). WARM (27-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTRIBUTE TO AN
OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH
OF THE ARABIAN SEA WILL CONTINUE TO STEER THE SYSTEM ON A WESTERLY
TRACK UNTIL LANDFALL AROUND TAU 14. AFTER LANDFALL, EXPECT
SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING AS TC 03A SHIFTS TO A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY COURSE
AND FRICTION FROM LAND INTERACTION RAPIDLY DETERIORATES THE SYSTEM.
BY TAU 24, TC 03A WILL WEAKEN TO 35 KTS. THERE IS OVERALL FAIR
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK AS NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR
AGREEMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 03:14

WTIO51 PGTW 240300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924011447
2019092400 03A HIKAA 006 01 265 13 SATL 015
T000 201N 0609E 085 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 030 SE QD
040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 200N 0584E 080 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
025 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD
020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 197N 0558E 050
T036 191N 0531E 035
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 60.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-24 02:39

WTIO51 PGTW 240300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190924011447
2019092400 03A HIKAA 006 01 265 13 SATL 015
T000 201N 0609E 085 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 200N 0584E 080 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 197N 0558E 050
T036 191N 0531E 035
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 60.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 60.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.0N 58.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.1N 53.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 60.3E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092312 202N 635E 70
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092318 202N 623E 75
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
0319092400 201N 609E 85
NNNN

>

2019-09-24 02:33

WTIO31 PGTW 240300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 60.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 60.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.0N 58.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-24 02:04

WTIO31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 60.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 60.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.0N 58.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 55.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.1N 53.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 60.3E.
24SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
120 NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A MIDGET TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A 14 NM
OBLONG EYE, SUPPORTING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION.
BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KTS) BY PGTW AND AN
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE (ADT) OF T4.8 (85 KTS) BY CIMSS, THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 85 KTS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS
STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS) AS TC 03A TRANSITS UNDER AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE.
WARM (27-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTRIBUTE TO AN
OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
NORTH OF THE ARABIAN SEA WILL CONTINUE TO STEER THE SYSTEM ON A
WESTERLY TRACK UNTIL LANDFALL AROUND TAU 18. AFTER LANDFALL, EXPECT
SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING AS TC 03A SHIFTS TO A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
COURSE AND FRICTION FROM LAND INTERACTION RAPIDLY DETERIORATES THE
SYSTEM. BY TAU 36, TC 03A WILL WEAKEN TO 35 KTS. THERE IS OVERALL
FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK AS NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
IN FAIR AGREEMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 25
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 21:44

WTIO51 PGTW 232100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923195742
2019092318 03A HIKAA 005 01 270 11 SATL 020
T000 202N 0623E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 035 SE QD
040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 201N 0598E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD
030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 199N 0574E 050 R050 015 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R034
030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 195N 0547E 035
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 20.2N 62.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 21:44

WTIO31 PGTW 232100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 20.2N 62.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 62.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.1N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 20:43

WTIO31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 20.2N 62.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 62.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.1N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.9N 57.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.5N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 61.7E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 197
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS (KTS)
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A MIDGET SYSTEM WITH CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A TILTING,
INTERMITTENT EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON AN EYE FEATURE IN A 231851Z GPM 37 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE AND A 231648Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 70
KTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (77KTS) AND A
231330Z SMAP INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 67 KTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS
LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ACCOMPANIED BY
STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THERE IS INDICATION OF
UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE TO THE WEST BEGINNING TO HINDER THE SYSTEM.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN CONDUCIVE AT 27-29 CELSIUS. TC 03A
WILL CONTINUE ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE ARABIAN SEA. THE EYE FEATURE HAS BECOME
MORE RAGGED AND VISIBLE LESS OFTEN OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS TC 03A
HAS BEGUN TO WRAP DRY AIR INTO THE SYSTEM. THIS WILL LEAD TO GRADUAL
WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES LAND. OVER LAND AT TAU 24,
TC 03A WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN, FALLING
TO 35 KTS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN
FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK, SUPPORTING OVERALL GOOD CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z
IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z AND 242100Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 20:39

WTIO51 PGTW 232100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923195742
2019092318 03A HIKAA 005 01 270 11 SATL 020
T000 202N 0623E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 201N 0598E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 199N 0574E 050 R050 015 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 195N 0547E 035
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 20.2N 62.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 62.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.1N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.9N 57.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.5N 54.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 61.7E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 197
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z AND 242100Z.//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092306 202N 647E 55
0319092312 202N 635E 65
0319092312 202N 635E 65
0319092312 202N 635E 65
0319092318 202N 623E 70
0319092318 202N 623E 70
0319092318 202N 623E 70
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 15:02

WTIO31 PGTW 231500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 63.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 63.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.3N 61.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 14:56

WTIO51 PGTW 231500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923131535
2019092312 03A HIKAA 004 01 270 10 SATL 015
T000 202N 0635E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 203N 0612E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050
025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD
040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 201N 0588E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 197N 0564E 045
T048 194N 0542E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 63.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 14:45

WTIO51 PGTW 231500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923131535
2019092312 03A HIKAA 004 01 270 10 SATL 015
T000 202N 0635E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 203N 0612E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 201N 0588E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 197N 0564E 045
T048 194N 0542E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 63.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 63.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.3N 61.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.1N 58.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 56.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.4N 54.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 62.9E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 646E 55
0319092306 202N 646E 55
0319092312 202N 635E 60
0319092312 202N 635E 60
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 14:43

WTIO31 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 63.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 63.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.3N 61.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.1N 58.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.7N 56.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 19.4N 54.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 62.9E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A MIDGET SYSTEM WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A
DEVELOPING EYE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE
BASED ON A SMALL MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE PRESENT IN A 231122Z SSMIS
91GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE. THIS SSMIS IMAGE ALSO SHOWS A
75NM DIAMETER CONVECTIVE CORE, TYPICAL OF MIDGET SYSTEMS. TC 03A HAS
RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED 30 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS FROM 30 KNOTS AT
22/12Z TO THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM
T3.5-4.0 (55-65 KNOTS). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS ROBUST
EQUATORWARD AND FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW, HINDERED BY EASTERLY
CONVERGENT FLOW OVER THE EASTERN QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ENVIRONMENT (10-15 KNOTS) AND
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK OVER A REGION OF WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD, STEERED BY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED NORTH OF THE
ARABIAN SEA. THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF A VISIBLE EYE STRUCTURE,
COUPLED WITH PERSISTENT LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG THE FORECAST
TRACK SUGGESTS A BRIEF PERIOD OF INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ONCE OVER LAND NEAR TAU 30, TC HIKAA WILL RAPIDLY
ERODE DUE TO THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF TERRAIN AND LACK OF
UNDERLYING OCEAN DRIVEN CONVECTION. NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO
AGREE ON THE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, LENDING TO OVERALL HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z,
240900Z AND 241500Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 09:14

WTIO51 PGTW 230900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923080621
2019092306 03A HIKAA 003 01 265 13 SATL 015
T000 202N 0646E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 202N 0621E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 050 SE QD
050 SW QD 065 NW QD
T024 200N 0598E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034
055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T036 197N 0574E 045 R034 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 193N 0554E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 64.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 09:14

WTIO31 PGTW 230900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 64.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 64.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 62.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 09:09

WTIN01 DEMS 230900

GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0900 UTC 23 SEPTEMBER 2019.

PART-I STORM WARNING (.)

THE CYCLONIC STORM HIKAA OVER NORTHEAST AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL
ARABIAN SEA MOVED NEARLY WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 11 KTS DURING
PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0600 UTC OF TODAY, THE 23 RD
SEPTEMBER, 2019 OVER THE SAME REGION NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 DEG N AND
LONGITUDE 65.0 DEG E, ABOUT 560 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VERAVAL (42909),
GUJARAT (INDIA),560 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI (41780), PAKISTAN
AND 630 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH (41288), OMAN. IT IS LIKELY TO
INTENSIFY FURTHER DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY FROM 24
TH MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NEARLY WESTWARDS AND CROSS
OMAN COAST BETWEEN LATITUDE 19 DEG N AND 20 DEG N AROUND 2100 UTC OF
24 TH SEPTEMBER 2019 AS A DEEP DEPRESSION (.)

THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KTS GUSTING TO
50 KTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS HIGHAROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 HPA (.)

12 HRS VALID 2019/09/23 AT 18 UTC 20.1 N / 62.9 E MAX WIND 55 KTS
CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/09/24 AT 06 UTC 19.9 N / 60.5 E MAX WIND 45 KTS
CYCLONIC STORM (.)

PART-II

ARB A1 ARABIAN SEA: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 62 DEG E:SW/W-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: W/NW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC SW/W-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE
E OF 76 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 62 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTEREDR RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 62 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 62 DEG E:SW-LY 10/25 KTS (.)
2)E OF 60 DEG E TO W OF 70 DEG E: ANTI-CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
3)REST AREA:SW-LY 10/15 KTS BEC SW/W-LY 10/15 KTS TO THE N OF 4
DEG N (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)E OF 66 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTEREDRA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)E OF 66 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA:-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)N OF 16 DEG N: CYCLONIC 45/55 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA:SW-LY 15/25 KTS BEC W/NW-LY 10/20 KTS TO THE E OF 64
DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 17 DEG N AND E OF 60 DEG E:WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 17 DEG N AND E OF 60 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:1)N OF 16 DEG N: 6.0-10.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

A2-FORCAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)N OF 17 DEG N: CYCLONIC 20/30 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA: SW/W-LY 15/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)N OF 16 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)N OF 16 DEG N TO W OF 64 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1)N OF 16 DEG N: 3.5-5.0 MTR (.)
2)REST AREA: 1.5-3.0 MTR (.)

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG
E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)W OF 88 DEG E SE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
S/SW-LY 10/20 KTS TO THE N OF 4 DEG N (.)
2)REST AREA: SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: W OF 90 DEG E WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: W OF 90 DEG E 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: 1)W OF 88 DEG E SE-LY 05/10 KTS
BEC S/SW-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)REST AREA SE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC E-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE N OF 5
DEG N (.)
II)WEATHER:1)W OF 92 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:1)W OF 92 DEG E: 3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA: 6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: S/SE-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.5 MTR (.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS BEC SE-LY 10/15 KTS
TO THE W OF 90 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT: 1.5-2.0 MTR (.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

>

2019-09-23 08:58

WTIO51 PGTW 230900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923080621
2019092306 03A HIKAA 003 01 265 13 SATL 015
T000 202N 0646E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 202N 0621E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD
T024 200N 0598E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T036 197N 0574E 045 R034 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 193N 0554E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 64.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 64.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 62.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.0N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.7N 57.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.3N 55.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 64.0E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z, 240300Z AND 240900Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092300 203N 660E 50
0319092306 202N 646E 55
0319092306 202N 646E 55
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 08:57

WTIO31 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (HIKAA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 20.2N 64.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 64.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.2N 62.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.0N 59.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 19.7N 57.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 19.3N 55.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 64.0E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (HIKAA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327
NM EAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, OMAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING WRAPPING
INTO A DEVELOPING EYE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE PRESENT IN A 230536Z GMI
37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. AN INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK
ESTIMATE OF 3.5/55KTS FROM PGTW AND A 230256Z SATCON INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF 58 KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS ROBUST
EQUATORWARD AND FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW, HINDERED BY EASTERLY
CONVERGENT FLOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ENVIRONMENT (5-10 KNOTS) AND
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK OVER A REGION OF WARM (27-29 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD, STEERED BY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED NORTH OF THE
ARABIAN SEA. THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF A VISIBLE EYE STRUCTURE,
COUPLED WITH PERSISTENT LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG THE FORECAST
TRACK SUGGESTS A BRIEF PERIOD OF INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL AT TAU 36, SOUTH OF MASIRAH ISLAND. ONCE OVER LAND, 03A
WILL RAPIDLY ERODE DUE TO THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF TERRAIN AND LACK
OF UNDERLYING OCEAN DRIVEN CONVECTION. NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO
AGREE ON THE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, LENDING TO OVERALL HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z,
240300Z AND 240900Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 03:12

WTIO51 PGTW 230300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923020243
2019092300 03A THREE 002 01 260 11 SATL 030
T000 203N 0659E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 203N 0639E 045 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 203N 0618E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 201N 0594E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 198N 0571E 035 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 193N 0528E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 20.3N 65.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 65.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.3N 63.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 03:12

WTIO31 PGTW 230300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 20.3N 65.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 65.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.3N 63.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.3N 61.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-23 02:54

WTIO51 PGTW 230300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190923020243
2019092300 03A THREE 002 01 260 11 SATL 030
T000 203N 0659E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 203N 0639E 045 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 203N 0618E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 201N 0594E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 198N 0571E 035 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 193N 0528E 030
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 20.3N 65.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 65.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.3N 63.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.3N 61.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.1N 59.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.8N 57.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.3N 52.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 65.4E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 277
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND 240300Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 670E 35
0319092300 203N 659E 45
NNNN

>

2019-09-23 02:51

WTIO31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 20.3N 65.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 65.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.3N 63.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.3N 61.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.1N 59.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 19.8N 57.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 19.3N 52.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 65.4E.
23SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 277
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A COMPACT
AREA OF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED OVERTOP OF AND OCCLUDING THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). BASED ON THE COMPACT NATURE OF
THE SYSTEM, IT IS ASSESSED AS A MIDGET CYCLONE. THE INITIAL POSITION
IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE
EVIDENT IN THE 192319Z SSMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0/45KTS
FROM PGTW AND KNES AND IS SUPPORTED BY A 221709Z METOP-C ASCAT IMAGE
THAT SHOWED 40 KNOT WIND BARBS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS) AND IS TRACKING THROUGH A REGION OF WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW AND LIMITED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO TRACK
GENERALLY WST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PREVENTING
SUBSTANTIAL INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE LANDFALL SOUTH OF
MASIRAH, OMAN AFTER TAU 36 AND TRACK INLAND. ONCE OVER LAND, THE
SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY ERODE DUE TO THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF TERRAIN
INTERACTION. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. EARLIER VARIATIONS IN ALONG TRACK SPEED
HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT LENDING TO OVERALL HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
230000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND
240300Z.//
NNNN

>

2019-09-22 21:37

WTIO31 PGTW 222100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 20.5N 67.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 67.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.4N 65.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.3N 63.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-22 21:22

WTIO51 PGTW 222100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190922195952
2019092218 03A THREE 001 01 275 08 SATL 060
T000 205N 0672E 035 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 204N 0654E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 203N 0634E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 202N 0613E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 200N 0590E 035 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 196N 0566E 035
T096 192N 0542E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 20.5N 67.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 67.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.4N 65.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

2019-09-22 21:08

WTIO31 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 20.5N 67.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 67.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.4N 65.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.3N 63.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.2N 61.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 20.0N 59.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.6N 56.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 19.2N 54.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 66.8E.
22SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 258
NM SOUTH OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS AN OVERALL COMPACT SYSTEM WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO A SMALL AREA OF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED
OVERTOP OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE BANDING
FEATURES IN THE EIR LOOP AND A 221626Z MHS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
SHOWING A LOW REFLECTIVITY NOTCH FEATURE TO THE EAST OF A POCKET OF
DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS ON THE LOWER
END OF DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T2.5/35KTS FROM PGTW AND T3.0/45KTS FROM
KNES AND IS SUPPORTED BY AN EARLIER ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING A SMALL AREA
OF 30 KNOT WIND BARBS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM
IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND
IS TRACKING THROUGH A REGION OF WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
AND LIMITED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA, MAKING
LANDFALL NEAR MASIRAH, OMAN AFTER TAU 48 AND TRACK INLAND. THE
PERSISTENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL PREVENT AN EXTENSIVE
INTENSIFICATION, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH A PEAK OF
40 KNOTS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ONCE OVERLAND, THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY
WEAKEN DUE TO TERRAIN INTERACTION. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WESTWARD TRACK. THE MODELS DO VARY IN ALONG
TRACK SPEED AFTER TAU 36 HOWEVER THERE IS STILL OVERALL HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z,
231500Z AND 232100Z.
//
NNNN

>

2019-09-22 21:05

WTIO51 PGTW 222100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 190922195952
2019092218 03A THREE 001 01 275 08 SATL 060
T000 205N 0672E 035 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 204N 0654E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 203N 0634E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 202N 0613E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T048 200N 0590E 035 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 196N 0566E 035
T096 192N 0542E 030
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 20.5N 67.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 67.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.4N 65.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.3N 63.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.2N 61.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 20.0N 59.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 19.6N 56.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 19.2N 54.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 66.8E.
22SEP19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 258
NM SOUTH OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.
//
0319092018 192N 712E 20
0319092100 192N 708E 20
0319092106 192N 705E 25
0319092112 192N 702E 25
0319092118 194N 698E 25
0319092200 197N 695E 25
0319092206 201N 689E 30
0319092212 204N 681E 30
0319092218 205N 672E 35
NNNN

>