Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIKAA-19
in Oman, Saudi Arabia
24 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIKAA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Oman, Saudi Arabia
Exposed population 2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (24 Sep 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 157 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 42000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Green 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 74 30 thousand No people Oman, Saudi Arabia
Green 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 83 40 thousand No people Oman, Saudi Arabia
Green 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 120 40 thousand No people Oman
Green 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 120 40 thousand Few people Oman
Green 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 130 30 thousand Few people Oman
Green 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 157 40 thousand 3 thousand Oman
Green 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 148 30 thousand 1 thousand Oman
Green 8 24 Sep 2019 12:00 139 40 thousand 1 thousand Oman
Green 9 24 Sep 2019 18:00 111 40 thousand 2 thousand Oman

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)		 Population in
Tropical Storm		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher		 Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 22 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.5, 67.2
GREEN
 2 23 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.3, 65.9
GREEN
 3 23 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.2, 64.6
GREEN
 4 23 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 20.2, 63.5
GREEN
 5 23 Sep 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 20.2, 62.3
GREEN
 6 24 Sep 2019 00:00 Category 2 157 18000 people <1000 people 20.1, 60.9 Oman
GREEN
 7 24 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 1 148 23000 people 1400 people 20, 59.5 Oman
GREEN
 8 24 Sep 2019 12:00 Category 1 139 27000 people 1100 people 19.9, 58.4 Oman
GREEN
 9 24 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 24000 people no people 19.7, 57 Oman
GREEN
 9 25 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.5, 54.7 Oman
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Oman
Saudi Arabia

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Al Wusta Oman -
Ash Sharqiyah Oman -
Zufar Oman -
Ash Sharqiyah Saudi Arabia -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Haima 122 Civ. Unpaved No 5400
Masirah MSH 19 Mil. Paved Yes 10000

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Al Khaluf Oman
Duwwah Oman
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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in As Sirab, Oman. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (21 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 24 Sep 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2019 15:00 As Sirab Oman  0.7
24 Sep 2019 15:00 Nafun Oman  0.6
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Filim Oman  0.6
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.6
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Duqm Oman  0.4
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.3
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Mursays Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 10:00 Dawwah Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 10:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 16:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
24 Sep 2019 08:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 10:00 'Urf Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 09:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 17:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
24 Sep 2019 10:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Asarsa India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Tankari India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.1
23 Sep 2019 06:00 Sarod India  0.1