Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JOANINHA-19
in , Mauritius

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOANINHA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 223 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (27 Mar 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 223 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 220 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius43,508
+
Mauritius43,361 
Other countries147 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Mar 2019 00:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Mar 2019 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Mar 2019 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 7 23 Mar 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 8 23 Mar 2019 18:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Mar 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 10 24 Mar 2019 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 24 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 14 25 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 15 25 Mar 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 16 25 Mar 2019 18:00 223 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 17 26 Mar 2019 00:00 230 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 18 26 Mar 2019 06:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Mar 2019 12:00 223 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 24 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 25 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 25 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 25 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 26 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 26 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Victoria, Seychelles. This height is estimated for 27 Mar 2019 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Mar 2019 03:15 Victoria Seychelles  0.5
27 Mar 2019 03:15 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.5
28 Mar 2019 07:00 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.4
26 Mar 2019 13:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.4
26 Mar 2019 12:45 La Reunion Seychelles  0.4
26 Mar 2019 14:45 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.3
26 Mar 2019 14:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:15 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:15 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:00 Le Port Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:00 La Possession Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 08:45 La Ferme Mauritius  0.3
26 Mar 2019 19:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.3
27 Mar 2019 10:30 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.3
27 Mar 2019 10:30 Maheboug Mauritius  0.3
28 Mar 2019 05:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
26 Mar 2019 20:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
26 Mar 2019 18:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
26 Mar 2019 18:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
27 Mar 2019 01:30 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.2
27 Mar 2019 01:30 Cascades Reunion  0.2
26 Mar 2019 13:30 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2
26 Mar 2019 13:30 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
26 Mar 2019 13:30 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 10:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
26 Mar 2019 13:30 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 10:30 Black River Mauritius  0.1
29 Mar 2019 10:15 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
29 Mar 2019 10:15 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
28 Mar 2019 19:45 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
28 Mar 2019 19:45 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 10:15 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
29 Mar 2019 10:30 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1