Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JOANINHA-19
in , Mauritius

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOANINHA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Mar 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 130 km/h 0.5 m 486 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 148 km/h 0.5 m 1036 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Mar 2019 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1036 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMauritius43,508
+
Mauritius43,361 
Other countries147 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion214,685
+
Mauritius213,194 
Reunion1,491 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Mar 2019 12:00 486 40 thousand
- - - - Mauritius, Other countries, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Victoria, Seychelles. This height is estimated for 22 Mar 2019 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Victoria Seychelles  0.5
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.5
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.5
22 Mar 2019 07:30 La Reunion Seychelles  0.5
21 Mar 2019 19:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
21 Mar 2019 19:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Mar 2019 10:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 10:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:15 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
22 Mar 2019 06:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Black River Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 07:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Le Port Reunion  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 La Possession Reunion  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
24 Mar 2019 02:30 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1