Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IAN-22
in United States, Cuba
26 Sep 2022 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IAN-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2022-000320-CUB
    Exposed countries United States, Cuba
    Exposed population 5.2 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 3.1 m (28 Sep 19:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Cuba)
    Landfall between
    29 Sep 2022 06:00 - 30 Sep 2022 06:00
    in United States

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 3.1 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 250 km/h 3.1 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 980000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 23 Sep 2022 09:00 176 18.2 million No people Jamaica, Cuba, Cayman Islands, United States
        Green 2 23 Sep 2022 15:00 185 21.2 million No people Jamaica, Cuba, Cayman Islands, United States
        Green 3 23 Sep 2022 21:00 185 16 million No people Cayman Islands, Cuba, United States
        Green 4 24 Sep 2022 03:00 185 22 million No people Cayman Islands, Cuba, United States
        Orange 5 24 Sep 2022 09:00 185 15.6 million 4.1 million Cayman Islands, Cuba, United States
        Orange 6 24 Sep 2022 15:00 194 14.5 million 1.4 million Cuba, United States
        Green 7 24 Sep 2022 21:00 213 5.8 million 40 thousand Cuba
        Orange 8 25 Sep 2022 03:00 213 10.3 million 100 thousand Cuba, United States
        Green 9 25 Sep 2022 09:00 222 11.8 million 150 thousand Cuba, United States
        Green 10 25 Sep 2022 15:00 213 11.5 million 150 thousand Cuba, United States
        Green 11 25 Sep 2022 21:00 213 15.3 million 750 thousand Cuba, United States
        Green 12 26 Sep 2022 03:00 213 23.9 million 960 thousand Cuba, United States
        Orange 13 26 Sep 2022 09:00 194 25.4 million 980 thousand Cuba, United States

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.9, -68.6
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -70.1
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.7, -71.3
          GREEN
          		 4 24 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -72
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.7, -73.5
          GREEN
          		 6 24 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.4, -75.2
          GREEN
          		 7 24 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, -77
          GREEN
          		 8 25 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.7, -77.7
          GREEN
          		 9 25 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.9, -78.8
          GREEN
          		 10 25 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.2, -79.8
          GREEN
          		 11 25 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.2, -80.3
          GREEN
          		 12 26 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 58000 people 17.3, -81.4
          GREEN
          		 13 26 Sep 2022 09:00 Category 1 120 no people 58000 people 18.2, -82
          GREEN
          		 13 26 Sep 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 18000 people 2.6 million people 19.7, -83
          ORANGE
          		 13 27 Sep 2022 06:00 Category 3 194 510000 people 3.7 million people 21.7, -83.9
          GREEN
          		 13 27 Sep 2022 18:00 Category 4 213 no people 5.1 million people 23.6, -84.1
          GREEN
          		 13 28 Sep 2022 06:00 Category 4 222 no people 9.2 million people 25.3, -84.1
          GREEN
          		 13 28 Sep 2022 18:00 Category 4 213 no people 19.8 million people 26.7, -83.7
          GREEN
          		 13 29 Sep 2022 06:00 Category 3 185 170000 people 20.5 million people 27.7, -83.4
          GREEN
          		 13 30 Sep 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 330000 people 14.5 million people 29.2, -83 United States
          GREEN
          		 13 01 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 32, -82.9 United States
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          !No content available ..

          Provinces

          !No content available ..

          Populated places

          !No content available ..

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          !No content available ..

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Santa Lucia Cuba
          La Esperanza Cuba
          Clearwater USCXI Wake Island
          Tarpon Springs Wake Island
          Suwannee Wake Island

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Inglis Withlacoochee 1909

          Nuclear plants

          Name Country Reactors
          CRYSTAL RIVER UNITED STATES 1
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          3.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  3.1m in Naples Park, United States. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2022 19:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (1324 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 34 of 01 Oct 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          !No content available ..