Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar on 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

07 Mar 2022 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (10 Mar 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 07 Mar 2022 18:00 - 08 Mar 2022 06:00 in Madagascar

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1000000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	111	1000 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-15.6, 51.3
1	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.4, 50.3	Madagascar
1	08 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-14.9, 48.8	Madagascar
1	09 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	710000 people	-14.6, 47.6	Madagascar
1	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	810000 people	-14.6, 46.8
1	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	410000 people	-14.8, 45.1
1	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	1400 people	-15.1, 43.2
1	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-16, 42.6

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar
Juan De Nova I.

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Antsiranana	Madagascar
Toamasina	Madagascar
Mahajanga	Madagascar
Juan De Nova I.	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Antalaha Antsirabato	ANM	6	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Antsohihy Ambalabe	WAI	28	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Anahidrano		60				0
Port Berge	WPB	65	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Analalava	HVA	105	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3900
Mahajanga Amborovy	MJN	26	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Soalala	DWB	43	Civ.	Paved	No	4100

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Maromandia		Madagascar
Analalava		Madagascar
Majunga (Mahajanga)	MGMJN	Madagascar
Soalala	MGDWB	Madagascar
Bali		Madagascar
Cape St. Andre		Madagascar

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Antanamazava, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 10 Mar 2022 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (123 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 07 Mar 2022 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.5
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.4
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 12:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 11:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 11:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 11:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 11:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.3
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 20:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 20:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 20:00	Ampohana	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Ampasimena	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 22:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 22:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.2
	10 Mar 2022 21:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Mahavanona	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 09:00	Antakobola	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 11:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 13:00	Berafia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Maromanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Andamoty	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Maromandia	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Fenerive	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 10:00	Analanampotsy	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Antsianitia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 19:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 09:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Ambodiadabo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Androlavy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 08:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 08:00	Soahanina	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 10:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 20:00	Dzamandzar	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 19:00	Ampasina	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 12:00	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 12:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.