Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 28 Jun 2021 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Jun 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 30 Jun 2021 06:00 - 30 Jun 2021 18:00 in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	148 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	139	20 thousand	No people	Mexico
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	157	440 thousand	No people	Mexico
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	157	80 thousand	No people	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	176	290 thousand	No people	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	176	450 thousand	No people	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	176	650 thousand	No people	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	148	570 thousand	No people	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	148	360 thousand	No people	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	157	400 thousand	No people	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 15:00	157	870 thousand	No people	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 21:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
12	28 Jun 2021 03:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
13	28 Jun 2021 09:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
14	28 Jun 2021 15:00	139	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
15	28 Jun 2021 21:00	111	1.3 million	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15, -101.7
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.6, -102.5
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.9, -103.3
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.3, -104.1
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	16.7, -104.7
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	460000 people	17.1, -105.3
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	260000 people	17.3, -105.9
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	28000 people	17.3, -105.9
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	89000 people	17.6, -106
10	27 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	300000 people	18.2, -105.9
11	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	850000 people	19, -105.7
12	28 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	650000 people	19.6, -106
13	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	540000 people	20, -106.3
14	28 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	41000 people	20.4, -106.7
15	28 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	6400 people	20.7, -107.3
15	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	21.4, -107.8
15	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	230000 people	22.1, -108.5
15	30 Jun 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	360000 people	22.8, -109.4
15	30 Jun 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.7, -110.3	Mexico
15	01 Jul 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	24.3, -111.1	Mexico
15	01 Jul 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	24.7, -111.9	Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nayarit	Mexico
Jalisco	Mexico
Colima	Mexico
Baja California Sur	Mexico

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Punta Mita	Nayarit	Mexico	City	-
Puerto Vallarta	Jalisco	Mexico	City	190000 people
Talpa de Allende	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Autlán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	40000 people
Manzanillo	Colima	Mexico	City	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Isla Maria Madre		5				0
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International	PVR	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100
El Llano		12				0
La Gloria		34				0
Autlan		884				0
Playa de Oro International	ZLO	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Los Cabos International	SJD	109	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Cabo San Lucas		139				0
Punta Colorada	PCO	unknown				0
Leon	LAP	21	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
La Paz		26				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Ipala		Mexico
Puerto Vallarta	MXPVR	Mexico
El Tabaco		Mexico
Chamela		Mexico
San Hose Del Cabo		Mexico
Manzanillo	MXZLO	Mexico
San Lucas		Mexico
Buenavista		Mexico

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Cajon de Peda	Tomatlan	1976
	Corrinchis	Mascota	1977

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in San Jose del Cabo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (54 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 28 Jun 2021 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Union Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Chicapa	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 15:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:00	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 19:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 19:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 17:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 19:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 21:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 21:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 21:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 10:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 07:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jun 2021 18:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 11:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 16:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 06:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.