Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 27 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Jun 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 30 Jun 2021 06:00 - 01 Jul 2021 06:00 in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	148 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	139	20 thousand	No people	Mexico
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	157	440 thousand	No people	Mexico
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	157	80 thousand	No people	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	176	290 thousand	No people	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	176	450 thousand	No people	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	176	650 thousand	No people	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	148	570 thousand	No people	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	148	360 thousand	No people	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	157	400 thousand	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15, -101.7
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.6, -102.5
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.9, -103.3
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.3, -104.1
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	16.7, -104.7
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	460000 people	17.1, -105.3
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	260000 people	17.3, -105.9
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	28000 people	17.3, -105.9
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	89000 people	17.6, -106
9	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	95000 people	18.5, -106.1
9	28 Jun 2021 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	13000 people	19.4, -106.6
9	28 Jun 2021 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	20.1, -107.2
9	29 Jun 2021 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	20.7, -107.7
9	29 Jun 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	21.3, -108.2
9	30 Jun 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	310000 people	22.1, -109
9	01 Jul 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.5, -110.5	Mexico
9	02 Jul 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	24.7, -112	Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in La Puerta, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (42 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 27 Jun 2021 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2021 02:00	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2021 02:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2021 02:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2021 02:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 16:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 18:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Union Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Chicapa	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 19:00	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 16:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 16:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 09:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 07:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 19:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Flake	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Elmgrove	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Crystal Beach	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Patton	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Bolivar Peninsula	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Caplen	United States	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Gilchrist	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.