Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DOLORES-21 in Mexico from 18 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 21:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21

in Mexico

18 Jun 2021 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (19 Jun 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 19 Jun 2021 18:00 - 20 Jun 2021 06:00 in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	18 Jun 2021 09:00	102	1.4 million	No people	Mexico
2	18 Jun 2021 15:00	111	2 million	No people	Mexico
3	18 Jun 2021 21:00	102	4.6 million	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	18 Jun 2021 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.4, -101.6
2	18 Jun 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.7, -102.5
3	18 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	460000 people	15.6, -102.3
3	19 Jun 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.2 million people	16.6, -103.1
3	19 Jun 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	3.8 million people	18.5, -104
3	20 Jun 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2 million people	21.2, -104.7	Mexico
3	20 Jun 2021 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	23.6, -105.4	Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Guerrero	Mexico
Michoacan	Mexico
Colima	Mexico
Jalisco	Mexico
Nayarit	Mexico
Zacatecas	Mexico
Durango	Mexico
Sinaloa	Mexico

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Petatlán	Guerrero	Mexico	City	20000 people
Tecpan	Guerrero	Mexico	City	14000 people
Coalcomán	Michoacán de Ocampo	Mexico	City	10000 people
Tecomán	Colima	Mexico	City	75000 people
Armería	Colima	Mexico	City	16000 people
Colima	Colima	Mexico	Major city	130000 people
Manzanillo	Colima	Mexico	City	110000 people
Tecalitlán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	13000 people
Tamazula de Gordiano	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Ciudad Guzmán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Sayula	Jalisco	Mexico	City	25000 people
Atoyac	Jalisco	Mexico	City	5300 people
Autlán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	40000 people
Zacoalco de Torres	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Cocula	Jalisco	Mexico	City	14000 people
Ameca	Jalisco	Mexico	City	35000 people
Ahulalulco de Mercado	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Talpa de Allende	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
Amatitán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	9400 people
Etzatlán	Jalisco	Mexico	City	13000 people
Puerto Vallarta	Jalisco	Mexico	City	190000 people
Ixtlán del Río	Nayarit	Mexico	City	21000 people
Ahuacatlán	Nayarit	Mexico	City	6300 people
Punta Mita	Nayarit	Mexico	City	-
San Martín de Bolaños	Nayarit	Mexico	City	-
Compostela	Nayarit	Mexico	City	16000 people
Tepic	Nayarit	Mexico	Major city	280000 people
Santiago Ixcuintla	Nayarit	Mexico	City	-
Tuxpan	Nayarit	Mexico	City	23000 people
Tecuala	Nayarit	Mexico	City	15000 people
Acaponeta	Nayarit	Mexico	City	18000 people
Escuinapa	Sinaloa	Mexico	City	28000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo International	ZIH	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Lazaro Cardenas	LZC	12	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Coahuayana		61				0
Colima	CLQ	723	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7500
Tuxpan		1225	Mil.	Paved	No	6700
Playa de Oro International	ZLO	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Ciudad Guzman		1520				0
Autlan		884				0
La Gloria		34				0
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International	PVR	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100
El Llano		12				0
Tepic	TPQ	960	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7500
San Blas		3				0
Acaponeta		84				0
Teacapan		6				0
La Candelaria del Alto		1940				0
Rancho los Cabras		3				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Lazaro Cardenas	MXLZC	Mexico
Manzanillo	MXZLO	Mexico
Chamela		Mexico
El Tabaco		Mexico
Puerto Vallarta	MXPVR	Mexico
San Blas	MXSBS	Mexico

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Jose M. Morelos	Balsas	1968
	Trojes	Coahuayana	1994
Basilio Vadillo	Basilio Vadillo	San Migue	1973
	Trigomil	Ayuquila	1993
	Tacotan	Amuquila	1958
	Cajon de Peda	Tomatlan	1976
	La Vega	Teuchitlan	1956
	Corrinchis	Mascota	1977
Agua Milpa	Agua Milpa	Santiago	1994
	Presa Guadalupe Victoria	Tunal	1962

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Real, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Jun 2021 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (25 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 18 Jun 2021 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Jun 2021 20:00	El Real	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 19:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 20:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 20:00	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 17:00	San Telmo	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 16:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 15:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.2
	19 Jun 2021 01:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 19:00	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 04:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 21:00	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 03:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 21:00	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 04:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 23:00	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 17:00	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	19 Jun 2021 01:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.