Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SURIGAE-21
in Japan, Philippines, Palau

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SURIGAE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Philippines, Palau
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 306 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (17 Apr 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Palau)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 250 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 306 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

250 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 13 Apr 2021 12:00 213 No people No people
Green 2 13 Apr 2021 18:00 213 No people No people
Green 3 14 Apr 2021 00:00 213 30 thousand No people Palau
Green 4 14 Apr 2021 06:00 222 10 thousand No people Palau
Green 5 14 Apr 2021 12:00 222 10 thousand No people
Green 6 14 Apr 2021 18:00 213 10 thousand No people Palau
Green 7 15 Apr 2021 00:00 213 20 thousand No people Palau
Green 8 15 Apr 2021 06:00 213 1.1 million No people Palau, Philippines
Green 9 15 Apr 2021 12:00 213 780 thousand No people Palau, Philippines
Green 10 15 Apr 2021 18:00 222 4.8 million No people Palau, Philippines
Green 11 16 Apr 2021 00:00 222 850 thousand Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 12 16 Apr 2021 06:00 222 1.2 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 13 16 Apr 2021 12:00 222 7.4 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 14 16 Apr 2021 18:00 231 7 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 15 17 Apr 2021 00:00 241 1.2 million Few people Palau, Philippines
Green 16 17 Apr 2021 06:00 250 1.4 million Few people Philippines, Palau
Green 17 17 Apr 2021 12:00 287 2.2 million Few people Philippines, Palau
Green 18 17 Apr 2021 18:00 306 3 million Few people Philippines, Palau
Green 19 18 Apr 2021 00:00 278 1.2 million Few people Philippines, Palau
Green 20 18 Apr 2021 06:00 250 1.8 million Few people Philippines, Palau

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 13 Apr 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 7.9, 137.3
GREEN
2 13 Apr 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 8.1, 137.1
GREEN
3 14 Apr 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9600 people 8.5, 137.7
GREEN
4 14 Apr 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9600 people 8.9, 137.4
GREEN
5 14 Apr 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.9, 137
GREEN
6 14 Apr 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 9700 people 8.9, 136.8
GREEN
7 15 Apr 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 13000 people 9, 136.4
GREEN
8 15 Apr 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 31000 people 8.9, 136.3
GREEN
9 15 Apr 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 21000 people 9, 135.7
GREEN
10 15 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 21000 people 8.6, 135.2
GREEN
11 16 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 1 139 <1000 people 21000 people 8.8, 134.6
GREEN
12 16 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 21000 people 9.2, 133.7
GREEN
13 16 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 21000 people 9.4, 132.9
GREEN
14 16 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 10, 132.1
GREEN
15 17 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 10.7, 131.1
GREEN
16 17 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 11.3, 130.2
GREEN
17 17 Apr 2021 12:00 Category 5 287 no people 930000 people 12, 129.2
GREEN
18 17 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 5 306 no people 2.3 million people 12.6, 128.4
GREEN
19 18 Apr 2021 00:00 Category 5 278 no people 600000 people 13.2, 127.7
GREEN
20 18 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 4 250 no people 1.8 million people 13.5, 127.2
GREEN
20 18 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 4 231 no people 860000 people 14.2, 126.7
GREEN
20 19 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 4 222 no people 270000 people 15, 126.4
GREEN
20 19 Apr 2021 18:00 Category 4 213 no people 250000 people 15.6, 126.2
GREEN
20 20 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 3 194 no people 2900 people 16.4, 125.9
GREEN
20 21 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.2, 125.4
GREEN
20 22 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 20.1, 126.4
GREEN
20 23 Apr 2021 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 22.1, 130.4
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Mualbual, Philippines. This height is estimated for 17 Apr 2021 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (142 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 18 Apr 2021 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Apr 2021 21:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.3
17 Apr 2021 20:00 San Andres Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Pequit Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Wright Philippines  0.3
18 Apr 2021 10:00 Bangon Philippines  0.3
17 Apr 2021 20:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.2
17 Apr 2021 20:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.2
17 Apr 2021 19:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.2
17 Apr 2021 19:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.2
17 Apr 2021 20:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Bikal Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Babatngon Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Daram Philippines  0.2
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
18 Apr 2021 06:00 Bantayan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Pagsanjan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Igot Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Mapid Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 22:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Barugo Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 14:00 Santa Margarita Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
20 Apr 2021 02:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 06:00 Carigara Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Cadiz Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Sagay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Toboso Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Vito Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Salamanca Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tuburan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tabuelan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tabunok Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Batad Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 San Remigio Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Antipolo Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tindog Sur Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tagaytay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Bogo Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Catmon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tindog Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Borbon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tabogon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Nailon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Calape Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Salag Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Odlot Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tagnucan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Calubian Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Lico Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Tucdao Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Biliran Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Paet Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 11:00 Balat-guti Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 11:00 Corocauayan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 11:00 Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 17:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 19:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 19:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Sillon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Bais Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Ayungon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Malatapay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Tanjay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Tayasan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Jimalalud Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 La Libertad Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Calamba Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Basak Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tabon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Anao Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Santander Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Alegria Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Moalboal Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Alo Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Badian Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Ronda Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 San Carlos Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Dumanjug Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Tigbon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Cankamalig Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Boljoon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Calatrava Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Candugay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Aloquinsan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Napo Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Awihao Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Carcar Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Balamban Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Abaca Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Plaridel Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Caridad Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Cebu Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 13:00 Silanga Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 10:00 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 19:00 Bahay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Maya Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 08:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Bitoon Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 22:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
20 Apr 2021 02:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Capoocan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 23:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 06:00 Sugud Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 15:00 Bantayan Philippines  0.1
17 Apr 2021 18:00 Pambujan Philippines  0.1
17 Apr 2021 18:00 Laoang Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 07:00 Escalante Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Culaba Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Tabojab Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Cabucgayan Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Caibiran Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Bonga Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Madridejos Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 19:00 Calbayog Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 19:00 Balud Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Union Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 21:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.1
17 Apr 2021 20:00 Consuegra Philippines  0.1
18 Apr 2021 09:00 Managasnas Philippines  0.1
19 Apr 2021 18:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1