Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (03 Nov 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall between
03 Nov 2020 18:00 - 04 Nov 2020 06:00

in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 241 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 100000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
Green 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 148 3.4 million 100 thousand Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
GREEN
2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
GREEN
3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.2, -75.7
GREEN
3 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.3, -77.7
GREEN
3 02 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.3, -79.7
GREEN
3 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 230000 people 15.1, -81.2
GREEN
3 03 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 14000 people 890000 people 14.7, -82.2
GREEN
3 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 100000 people 2.4 million people 14.4, -83
GREEN
3 04 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 3.3 million people 14.2, -83.7 Nicaragua
GREEN
3 05 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.3, -85.7 Honduras
GREEN
3 06 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15, -87.5 Honduras
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Nicaragua

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zelaya Nicaragua

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
Tuapi Nicaragua
Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (176 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 01 Nov 2020 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  1.4
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  1.4
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Graytown Nicaragua  1.4
03 Nov 2020 22:00 Awastara Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Raya Honduras  0.9
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Clubki Honduras  0.9
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.8
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Kanko Honduras  0.7
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.7
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.7
04 Nov 2020 01:00 Uhi Honduras  0.6
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.6
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.5
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Canco Honduras  0.5
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.5
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.4
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Dapat Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Kaski Honduras  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.3
04 Nov 2020 04:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 20:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.3
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Ararca Colombia  0.3
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.3
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Leticia Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Polonia Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Santa Ana Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Barrancas Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Bajo Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Bajo Grande Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 El Encanto Panama  0.2
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Pendales Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Porto Nao Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 La Concepcion Venezuela  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 La Palma Panama  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Boca Chica Panama  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Callelarga Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Punta Gordo Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 San Antonio Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 La Pica Roja Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabeza de Toro Venezuela  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Huarta Honduras  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Zaragocilla Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Santa Maria Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Majagual Colombia  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 La Vaca Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 El Porvenir Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Agua Clara Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Ciuiad Ojeda Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Guera Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Isla Torta Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Mayorquin Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Baru Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Corea Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Los Ahorcados Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Rosario Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Troja del Tigre Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 La Peluda Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Patino Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Quebrada Honda Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tolu Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 San Matias Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Chepillo Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Medina del Este Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Gonzalo Vasquez Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Escondido Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Josefa Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 La Cantina Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Rio Congo Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Garachine Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Taimati Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Barro Colorado Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 La Quebrada Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Lagarto Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Mogue Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Miraflores Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Paratilla Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Arrizal Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Aguadilla Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Jose Paganti Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Seteganti Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Gollito Diaz Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Chepigana Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Tutumito Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Campeon Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Canablancal Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 La Plaza Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Bijagual Panama  0.1
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 02:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Hiqueron Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Montemar Colombia  0.1
04 Nov 2020 02:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Lagunillas Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pueblo Viejo Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 El Cinco Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Barraquano Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Casaya Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Floral Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 La Legua Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Martin Perez Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Palenque Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Rio Sucio Adentro Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Guinea Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Rio Ostion Adentro Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 La Ensenada Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 La Puntita Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cucunati Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Sibarco Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 La Retirada Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Patrerite Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Campo Alegre Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Ebano Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Platanico Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Curarire Venezuela  0.1
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Rincon Colombia  0.1