Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Jun 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Jun 2020 21:00 93 2.1 million No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.6, -91.2
GREEN
1 02 Jun 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.8, -92.3
GREEN
1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 140000 people 19.5, -92.8 Mexico
GREEN
1 03 Jun 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.9 million people 19.2, -93 Mexico
GREEN
1 03 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.9 million people 18.8, -93.2 Mexico
GREEN
1 04 Jun 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.9 million people 18.8, -93.2 Mexico
GREEN
1 04 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.1 million people 18.8, -93.2 Mexico
GREEN
1 05 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1 million people 19, -92.8 Mexico
GREEN
1 06 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 23, -91
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Campeche Mexico
Tabasco Mexico
Chiapas Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ciudad del Carmen Campeche Mexico City -
Frontera Tabasco Mexico City 23000 people
Jalpa Tabasco Mexico City 15000 people
Villahermosa Tabasco Mexico City 360000 people
Cunduacán Tabasco Mexico City 17000 people
Cárdenas Tabasco Mexico City 81000 people
Huimanguillo Tabasco Mexico City 26000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Capitan Carlos Perez VSA 13 Civ. Paved Yes 7200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cayo Arcas Terminal MXCAT Mexico
Ciudad Del Carmen MXCME Mexico
Frontera MXFRN Mexico
Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Francisco I. Madero, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Jun 2020 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (132 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 01 Jun 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Jun 2020 19:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.4
04 Jun 2020 05:00 Majahual Mexico  0.4
05 Jun 2020 18:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Calderas Mexico  0.3
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
05 Jun 2020 21:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
05 Jun 2020 17:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2020 01:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Condega Honduras  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 12:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Palacios United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 14:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Surfside United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Texas City United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Flake United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 La Union El Salvador  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Freeport United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Mims United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 09:00 Galveston United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Estes United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Rockport United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Fulton United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Patton United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 09:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Quintana United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
04 Jun 2020 12:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 12:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 06:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:00 Caplen United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 High Island United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1