Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for OMA-19 in New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands from 12 Feb 2019 00:00 UTC to 16 Feb 2019 18:00 UTC

16 Feb 2019 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OMA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Solomon Is.)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	167 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	12 Feb 2019 00:00	93	190 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
2	12 Feb 2019 06:00	93	300 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
3	12 Feb 2019 12:00	102	280 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
4	12 Feb 2019 18:00	93	340 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
5	13 Feb 2019 00:00	93	320 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
6	13 Feb 2019 06:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
7	13 Feb 2019 12:00	111	230 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
8	13 Feb 2019 18:00	120	310 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
9	14 Feb 2019 00:00	120	290 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
10	14 Feb 2019 06:00	130	290 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
11	14 Feb 2019 12:00	139	290 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
12	14 Feb 2019 18:00	148	300 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
13	15 Feb 2019 00:00	167	300 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
14	15 Feb 2019 06:00	167	300 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
15	15 Feb 2019 12:00	167	300 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
16	15 Feb 2019 18:00	167	290 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
17	16 Feb 2019 00:00	167	310 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Solomon Islands
18	16 Feb 2019 06:00	167	320 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Solomon Islands
19	16 Feb 2019 12:00	167	330 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia
20	16 Feb 2019 18:00	157	350 thousand	No people	Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, New Caledonia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	12 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	15000 people	-14, 164.5	Vanuatu
2	12 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	160000 people	-13.7, 164.9	Solomon Islands
3	12 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	160000 people	-13.7, 165.5	Solomon Islands
4	12 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	200000 people	-14, 166	Solomon Islands
5	13 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	160000 people	-14.4, 166.1	Solomon Islands
6	13 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	170000 people	-14.6, 165.1	Solomon Islands
7	13 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	200000 people	-14, 165	Solomon Islands
8	13 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	250000 people	-14.7, 165.4	Solomon Islands
9	14 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	250000 people	-14.7, 165.5	Solomon Islands
10	14 Feb 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	150000 people	-14.9, 165.5	Vanuatu
11	14 Feb 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	130000 people	-15.5, 165.2	Vanuatu
12	14 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	150000 people	-15.4, 165.4	Vanuatu
13	15 Feb 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	92000 people	-15.1, 165.2	Vanuatu
14	15 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	82000 people	-15, 165.1	Vanuatu
15	15 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	71000 people	-15.3, 164.6	Vanuatu
16	15 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	17000 people	-15.5, 164.3	Vanuatu
17	16 Feb 2019 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	60000 people	-15.5, 163.9	Vanuatu
18	16 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	9000 people	-15.5, 164.1	Vanuatu
19	16 Feb 2019 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	60000 people	-15.3, 164.2	Vanuatu
20	16 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	78000 people	-15.3, 164.4	Vanuatu
20	17 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	79000 people	-15.7, 164.4	Vanuatu
20	17 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	100000 people	-16.6, 164.1	New Caledonia
20	18 Feb 2019 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	47000 people	-17.8, 163.7	New Caledonia
20	18 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	59000 people	-19, 163	New Caledonia
20	19 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	53000 people	-20.9, 162	New Caledonia
20	20 Feb 2019 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-22.4, 160.9
20	21 Feb 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-24.4, 160.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Poum-Plage, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (42 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 15 Feb 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Feb 2019 00:00	Poum-Plage	New Caledonia	0.3
	19 Feb 2019 01:00	Arama	New Caledonia	0.3
	18 Feb 2019 21:00	Pam	New Caledonia	0.2
	18 Feb 2019 22:00	Tiabet	New Caledonia	0.2
	18 Feb 2019 18:00	Panane	New Caledonia	0.2
	18 Feb 2019 18:00	Mouane	New Caledonia	0.2
	18 Feb 2019 23:00	Ono	New Caledonia	0.2
	18 Feb 2019 23:00	Wala	New Caledonia	0.2
	18 Feb 2019 18:00	Houone	New Caledonia	0.1
	18 Feb 2019 18:00	Bweo	New Caledonia	0.1
	18 Feb 2019 18:00	Pairome	New Caledonia	0.1
	14 Feb 2019 01:00	Segond	Vanuatu	0.1
	14 Feb 2019 01:00	Luganville	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Poullappoe	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Menogoro	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Wunpuku	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Walpey	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Lolominiou	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Gavigamana	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Vipaka	Vanuatu	0.1
	14 Feb 2019 01:00	Palikoulo	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Nogugu	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Hokua	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Papoulassemouli	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Wonisule	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Vesalia	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Tasmate	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Wousi	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Takumuna	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Pualapa	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Wora	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Souleisere	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Piapouria	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Mae	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Tourebiou	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Lavatavo	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Iakobone	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Atsaritibi	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Robertsons	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Terou	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Worovok	Vanuatu	0.1
	12 Feb 2019 03:00	Ladhu	Vanuatu	0.1