Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen
10 Oct 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Yemen
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Oct 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Yemen)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 139 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      139 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 310000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
        Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
        Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
        Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
        Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
        Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
        Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
        Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
        Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
          GREEN
          		 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
          GREEN
          		 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
          GREEN
          		 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
          GREEN
          		 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
          GREEN
          		 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
          GREEN
          		 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
          GREEN
          		 9 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.4, 58.4
          GREEN
          		 9 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.6, 57.8
          GREEN
          		 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.7, 57.2
          GREEN
          		 9 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.8, 56.4
          GREEN
          		 9 13 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 140000 people 14.8, 54.6 Yemen
          ORANGE
          		 9 14 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 310000 people 1.5 million people 14.7, 51.6 Yemen
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.9, 48.7 Yemen
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Yemen

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Al Mahrah Yemen
          Hadhramaut Yemen

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Ghayl Ba Wazir Yemen City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Riyan RIY 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Ash Shihr Yemen
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (14 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 10 Oct 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Oct 2018 00:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Asarsa India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Tankari India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Kambhat India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Kavi India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Sarod India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Muler India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 16:00 Wadgam India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 15:00 Harinagar India  0.1
          11 Oct 2018 02:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
          11 Oct 2018 02:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
          11 Oct 2018 02:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 14:00 Ghogha India  0.1
          08 Oct 2018 14:00 Dahej India  0.1