Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen
Green 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 139 1.5 million 40 thousand Yemen
Green 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 139 950 thousand 40 thousand Yemen
Green 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 139 1.1 million 70 thousand Yemen
Green 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
GREEN
2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
GREEN
4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
GREEN
5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
GREEN
6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
GREEN
7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
GREEN
8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
GREEN
9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
GREEN
10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.2, 58.9
GREEN
11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, 58.5
GREEN
12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.5
GREEN
13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
13 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.6, 57.6
GREEN
13 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.6, 57
GREEN
13 12 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.7, 56.1
GREEN
13 13 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 210000 people 14.7, 55 Yemen
GREEN
13 14 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1.3 million people 14.9, 51.8 Yemen
GREEN
13 15 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1 million people 15.8, 49 Yemen
GREEN
13 16 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 17.3, 48.3 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (27 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 11 Oct 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Qishn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 07:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 08:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Asarsa India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Tankari India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Kambhat India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Kavi India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Sarod India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Muler India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Wadgam India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Harinagar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Hasana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Raida Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:00 Ghogha India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:00 Dahej India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Sarar Yemen  0.1