Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19
in , India, Pakistan
12 Jun 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India, Pakistan
Exposed population 3.8 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 187 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.4 m (15 Jun 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 187 km/h 2.4 m 928 mm 2.5
HWRF Overall 191 km/h 1.5 m 1628 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

191 km/h

Up to 3.8 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2India128,812 
CAT. 1India3,658,034 
Tropical StormIndia, Pakistan16,941,252
+
India16,655,288 
Pakistan285,964 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
ORANGE 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
RED 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
RED 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
RED 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
RED 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
RED 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
RED 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 187 3.8 million
- - - India, Pakistan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmIndia159,836 
500-750 mmIndia2,387,117 
250-500 mmIndia5,859,191 
100-250 mmIndia5,239,085 
50-100 mmIndia, Pakistan5,763,915
+
India5,759,959 
Pakistan3,956 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Jun 2019 12:00 362 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Jun 2019 18:00 616 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 11 Jun 2019 00:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 11 Jun 2019 06:00 295 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 11 Jun 2019 12:00 361 -
- - - - - India
Blue 6 11 Jun 2019 18:00 343 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 12 Jun 2019 00:00 394 -
- - - - - India
Blue 8 12 Jun 2019 06:00 928 13.6 million
- India, Pakistan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.4m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 15 Jun 2019 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jun 2019 01:15 New Kandla India  2.4
15 Jun 2019 01:15 Navlakhi India  2.4
15 Jun 2019 01:15 Jodiya India  2.2
13 Jun 2019 11:45 Wadgam India  1.7
13 Jun 2019 11:45 Kambhat India  1.7
13 Jun 2019 11:45 Kavi India  1.7
13 Jun 2019 11:45 Sarod India  1.7
15 Jun 2019 00:30 Tuna India  1.6
13 Jun 2019 11:00 Asarsa India  1.6
13 Jun 2019 09:45 Harinagar India  1.5
13 Jun 2019 09:45 Ghogha India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 09:30 Tankari India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 09:30 Muler India  1.4
13 Jun 2019 09:30 Dahej India  1.4
14 Jun 2019 14:15 Jambura India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Chudeswar India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Salaya India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Jhankhar India  1.3
14 Jun 2019 09:30 Sika India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Veraval India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Somnath India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Sutrapada India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Lodhwa India  1.3
13 Jun 2019 07:45 Bhagva India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 07:45 Olpad India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 07:45 Hansot India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 09:15 Mangrol India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 09:15 Chorwad India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Kodinar India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 08:00 Damka India  1.2
13 Jun 2019 06:45 Kotada India  1.1
14 Jun 2019 12:15 Mundra India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Mahuva India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Jafarabad India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Dharabandar India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Rohisa India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 02:45 Delvada India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 02:45 Nawabandar India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 02:30 Kotra Nes India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 02:30 Dangarvadi India  1.1
13 Jun 2019 09:45 Shil India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Surat India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 04:30 Gadechi India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 04:30 Okha India  1.0
14 Jun 2019 04:30 Aramda India  1.0
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Jalalpur India  0.9
13 Jun 2019 06:30 Mahuver India  0.9
14 Jun 2019 12:00 Navinal India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Nausari India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Navsari India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Dharasana India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Bilimora India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 12:30 Valsad India  0.9
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Udvada India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:45 Daman India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:00 Umbargam India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 12:00 Maroli India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 12:30 Gorser India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Tarapur India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Gholvad India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Malyan India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Bordi India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 11:30 Sakhare India  0.8
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Boisar India  0.8
13 Jun 2019 12:30 Ratia India  0.7
14 Jun 2019 11:15 Bhadia India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Shirgaon India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Palghar India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Mahim India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Mumbai India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Asumumbay India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Uran India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 16:00 Trombay India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Nalasopara India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Agashi India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Dongri India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Vasai India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.7
13 Jun 2019 16:00 Adodar India  0.7
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Malad India  0.7
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Mandvi India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 15:45 Mandve India  0.6
13 Jun 2019 16:15 Porbandar India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Alibag India  0.6
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Revadanda India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 10:30 Murud India  0.5
12 Jun 2019 10:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Srivardhan India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 18:30 Bankot India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Kelshi India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Anjanwel India  0.4
12 Jun 2019 19:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 08:15 Guhagar India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Filim Oman  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Mirya India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Ratnagiri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Boria India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Miyani India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Jaigarh India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 23:45 Lamba India  0.3
13 Jun 2019 00:00 Bhogat India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 18:15 Akri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Purnagad India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 18:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Lakhpat India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Purangad India  0.3
13 Jun 2019 00:30 Madhi India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Anjuna India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Marmagao India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Panaji India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Agacaim India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Madgaon India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 17:00 Suthri India  0.3
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Adiura India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Bada Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 01:00 Dwarka India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Gokarn India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:30 Kumta India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Pural India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Malvan India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Devgarh India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Achra India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 07:15 Chopdem India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:30 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Honavar India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Manki India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 18:45 Belekeri India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 18:45 Ankola India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Bainduru India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:00 Chittadi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Mavalli India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 23:15 Shirali India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 18:45 Karwar India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Vengurla India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Terekhol India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Kundapura India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Advota India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Chaudi India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Miski Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:45 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Nizampatam India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Kottapalem India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:30 Keti Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:30 Majali India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Pishukan Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:30 Akara Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
14 Jun 2019 17:30 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 13:00 Udipi India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 06:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 09:45 Isa Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 11:00 Kakinada India  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:30 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Masnaah Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Billa Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:30 Murayjat Oman  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Pudimadaka India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Chipurupalle India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Pentakota India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Venkatapuram India  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Barka Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 17:15 Manumah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Dorri Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Machan Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:45 Konarak Iran  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Gwadar Pakistan  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.2
13 Jun 2019 10:15 Brar Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Malan Pakistan  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Kottapatnam India  0.2
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
13 Jun 2019 18:45 'Urf Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Tis Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Ramin Iran  0.2
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Baghan Iran  0.2
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.2
13 Jun 2019 17:45 Jask Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 15:45 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Gurdim Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Guraim Iran  0.2
12 Jun 2019 16:15 Kereti Iran  0.2
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Qalhat Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Bilad as Sur Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Sur Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Masqat Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Yiti Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:30 As Sifah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Derangu Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:15 Bir Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Sib Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Mawalis Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 18:15 Azaiba Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Antarvedi India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 08:15 Karap Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:00 Had Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 19:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Sam Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Beris Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Pusht Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
12 Jun 2019 16:45 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 16:45 Matrah Oman  0.1
13 Jun 2019 05:15 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:00 Vanak Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Pakala India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Kamshahr Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Ullapalem India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:30 Bayahi Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Bandamurlanka India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Mulki India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Kodur India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Baleh Sar Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Kizhdab Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:15 Kachow Iran  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
13 Jun 2019 09:30 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Therunattam India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:00 Ennore India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 17:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 15:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Ramlah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Quryat Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Daghmar Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 09:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 16:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Madhavaram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Chennai India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Tiruvottiyur India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:30 Fins Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:30 Dibab Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Bimmah Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 18:45 Tiwi Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Kelambakkam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 17:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Mahabalipuram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Madayipara India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Madayi India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 07:00 Cannanore India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Kuvattur India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 12:45 Kodigeri India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Edakkad India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 06:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 12:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Pondicherry India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Kalapettai India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:30 Marakkanam India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 12:30 Chervattur India  0.1
12 Jun 2019 12:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Cuddalore India  0.1
14 Jun 2019 10:45 Purnankuppam India  0.1