Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for JOANINHA-19 in , Mauritius from 22 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC to 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JOANINHA-19

in , Mauritius

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOANINHA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Mauritius,
Exposed population	40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (26 Mar 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	148 km/h	0.9 m	1113 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	148 km/h	0.5 m	1036 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

148 km/h

Up to 40 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Mauritius	43,508	+
	Mauritius	43,361
	Other countries	147

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	21 Mar 2019 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Mar 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Mar 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Mar 2019 00:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Mar 2019 12:00	148	40 thousand	-		-	-	-	-	Mauritius, Other countries

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Mauritius	43,508	+
	Mauritius	43,361
	Other countries	147
100-250 mm	Reunion	13,770
50-100 mm	Mauritius, Reunion	291,829	+
	Mauritius	28,382
	Other countries	194
	Reunion	263,253

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	21 Mar 2019 12:00	486	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Mar 2019 00:00	853	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Mar 2019 12:00	1266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Mar 2019 00:00	1353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Mar 2019 12:00	1113	60 thousand				-	-	-	Mauritius, Other countries, Reunion

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in La Ferme, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 26 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Mar 2019 12:00	La Ferme	Mauritius	0.9
	26 Mar 2019 12:00	Port Mathurin	Mauritius	0.9
	26 Mar 2019 00:30	Anse Volbert Village	Seychelles	0.3
	26 Mar 2019 00:30	Victoria	Seychelles	0.3
	26 Mar 2019 00:30	Anse Boileau	Seychelles	0.3
	25 Mar 2019 04:15	La Reunion	Seychelles	0.3
	26 Mar 2019 02:15	Saint-Denis	Reunion	0.1
	26 Mar 2019 02:15	Saint-Marie	Reunion	0.1
	26 Mar 2019 02:15	Sainte-Suzanne	Reunion	0.1
	26 Mar 2019 02:15	Saint-Andre	Reunion	0.1
	26 Mar 2019 02:15	Bras-Panon	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 02:00	Saint-Antoine	Mauritius	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 02:00	Riviere du Rempart	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Mar 2019 02:15	Riche-en-Eau	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Mar 2019 02:15	Maheboug	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Mar 2019 02:15	Grande Reviere Sud Est	Mauritius	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 12:00	Trou aux Biches	Mauritius	0.1
	24 Mar 2019 02:30	Le Port	Reunion	0.1
	24 Mar 2019 02:30	La Possession	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 06:30	Saint-Paul	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 06:30	Saint-Leu	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 06:30	Trois Bassins	Reunion	0.1
	23 Mar 2019 14:45	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.1
	23 Mar 2019 14:45	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Les Avirons	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Etang Sale	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 10:45	Port Louis	Mauritius	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Saint-Louis	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Saint-Pierre	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Petite Ile	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Saint-Joseph	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 17:00	Saint-Benoit	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 10:45	Black River	Mauritius	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 17:00	Sainte-Rose	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 17:00	Cascades	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 16:45	Saint-Philippe	Reunion	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 11:00	Choisy	Mauritius	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 11:00	Chemin Grenier	Mauritius	0.1
	25 Mar 2019 17:00	Souillac	Mauritius	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.