Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 16 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

16 Feb 2024 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (16 Feb 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)
Landfall	between 16 Feb 2024 00:00 - 16 Feb 2024 06:00 in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1600 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	65	2 thousand	No people	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	65	2 thousand	No people	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	65	2 thousand	No people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	-15.5, 137.5
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1600 people	-15.5, 137.5
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1600 people	-16.2, 137.1	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-16.7, 136	Australia
3	17 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-17.3, 134.6	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Australia	1600 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Northern Territory	Australia	1600 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Robinson River	RRV	unknown				0
Borroloola	BOX	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4000
McArthur River Mine		40	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4900

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2024 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (52 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 16 Feb 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Karumba	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 23:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Gove	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:00	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 04:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 03:00	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 03:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 03:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.